Just International

Iraqis Rise Up Against 16 Years of ‘Made in the USA’ Corruption

By Nicolas J S Davies

Iraqis are mourning 60 protesters killed by police and soldiers on Thursday in Baghdad, Najaf and Nasiriyah. Nearly 400 protesters have been killed since hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets at the beginning of October. Human rights groups have described the crisis in Iraq as a “bloodbath,” Prime Minister Abdul-Mahdi has announced he will resign, and Sweden has opened an investigation against Iraqi Defense Minister Najah Al-Shammari, who is a Swedish citizen, for crimes against humanity.

According to Al Jazeera, “Protesters are demanding the overthrow of a political class seen as corrupt and serving foreign powers while many Iraqis languish in poverty without jobs, healthcare or education.” Only 36% of the adult population of Iraq have jobs, and despite the gutting of the public sector under U.S. occupation, its tattered remnants still employ more people than the private sector, which fared even worse under the violence and chaos of the U.S.’s militarized shock doctrine.

Western reporting conveniently casts Iran as the dominant foreign player in Iraq today. But while Iran has gained enormous influence and is one of the targets of the protests, most of the people ruling Iraq today are still the former exiles that the U.S. flew in with its occupation forces in 2003, “coming to Iraq with empty pockets to fill” as a taxi-driver in Baghdad told a Western reporter at the time. The real causes of Iraq’s unending political and economic crisis are these former exiles’ betrayal of their country, their endemic corruption and the U.S.’s illegitimate role in destroying Iraq’s government, handing it over to them and maintaining them in power for 16 years.

The corruption of both U.S. and Iraqi officials during the U.S. occupation is well documented. UN Security Council resolution 1483 established a $20 billion Development Fund for Iraq using previously seized Iraqi assets, money left in the UN’s “oil for food” program and new Iraqi oil revenues. An audit by KPMG and a special inspector general found that a huge proportion of that money was stolen or embezzled by U.S. and Iraqi officials.

Lebanese customs officials found $13 million in cash aboard Iraqi-American interim Interior Minister Falah Naqib’s plane. Occupation crime boss Paul Bremer maintained a $600 million slush fund with no paperwork. An Iraqi government ministry with 602 employees collected salaries for 8,206. A U.S. Army officer doubled the price on a contract to rebuild a hospital, and told the hospital’s director the extra cash was his “retirement package.” A U.S. contractor billed $60 million on a $20 million contract to rebuild a cement factory, and told Iraqi officials they should just be grateful the U.S. had saved them from Saddam Hussein. A U.S. pipeline contractor charged $3.4 million for non-existent workers and “other improper charges.” Out of 198 contracts reviewed by the inspector general, only 44 had documentation to confirm the work was done.

U.S. “paying agents” distributing money for projects around Iraq pocketed millions of dollars in cash.The inspector general only investigated one area, around Hillah, but found $96.6 million dollars unaccounted for in that area alone. One American agent could not account for $25 million, while another could only account for $6.3 million out of $23 million. The “Coalition Provisional Authority” used agents like these all over Iraq and simply “cleared” their accounts when they left the country. One agent who was challenged came back the next day with $1.9 million in missing cash.

The U.S. Congress also budgeted $18.4 billion for reconstruction in Iraq in 2003, but apart from $3.4 billion diverted to “security,” less than $1 billion of it was ever disbursed. Many Americans believe U.S. oil companies have made out like bandits in Iraq, but that’s not true either. The plans that Western oil companies drew up with Vice President Cheney in 2001 had that intent, but a law to grant Western oil companies lucrative “production sharing agreements” (PSAs) worth tens of billions per year was exposed as a smash and grab raid and the Iraqi National Assembly refused to pass it.

Finally, in 2009, Iraq’s leaders and their U.S. puppet-masters gave up on PSAs (for the time being…) and invited foreign oil companies to bid on “technical service agreements” (TSAs) worth $1 to $6 per barrel for increases in production from Iraqi oilfields. Ten years later, production has only increased to 4.6 million barrels per day, of which 3.8 million are exported. From Iraqi oil exports of about $80 billion per year, foreign firms with TSAs earn only $1.4 billion, and the largest contracts are not held by U.S. firms. China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) is earning about $430 million in 2019; BP earns $235 million; Malaysia’s Petronas $120 million; Russia’s Lukoil $105 million; and Italy’s ENI $100 million. The bulk of Iraq’s oil revenues still flow through the Iraq National Oil Company (INOC) to the corrupt U.S.-backed government in Baghdad.

Another legacy of the U.S. occupation is Iraq’s convoluted election system and the undemocratic horse-trading by which the executive branch of the Iraqi government is selected. The 2018 election was contested by 143 parties grouped into 27 coalitions or “lists,” plus 61 other independent parties. Ironically, this is similar to the contrived, multi-layered political system the British created to control Iraq and exclude Shiites from power after the Iraqi revolt of 1920.

Today, this corrupt system keeps dominant power in the hands of a cabal of corrupt Shiite and Kurdish politicians who spent many years in exile in the West, working with Ahmed Chalabi’s U.S.-based Iraqi National Congress (INC), Ayad Allawi’s U.K.-based Iraqi National Accord (INA) and various factions of the Shiite Islamist Dawa Party. Voter turnout has dwindled from 70% in 2005 to 44.5% in 2018.

Ayad Allawi and the INA were the instrument for the CIA’s hopelessly bungled military coup in Iraq in 1996. The Iraqi government followed every detail of the plot on a closed-circuit radio handed over by one of the conspirators and arrested all the CIA’s agents inside Iraq on the eve of the coup. It executed thirty military officers and jailed a hundred more, leaving the CIA with no human intelligence from inside Iraq.

Ahmed Chalabi and the INC filled that vacuum with a web of lies that warmongering U.S. officials fed into the echo chamber of the U.S. corporate media to justify the invasion of Iraq. On June 26th 2002, the INC sent a letter to the Senate Appropriations Committee to lobby for more U.S. funding. It identified its “Information Collection Program” as the primary source for 108 stories about Iraq’s fictitious “Weapons of Mass Destruction” and links to Al-Qaeda in U.S. and international newspapers and magazines.

After the invasion, Allawi and Chalabi became leading members of the U.S. occupation’s Iraqi Governing Council. Allawi was appointed Prime Minister of Iraq’s interim government in 2004, and Chalabi was appointed Deputy Prime Minister and Oil Minister in the transitional government in 2005. Chalabi failed to win a seat in the 2005 National Assembly election, but was later elected to the assembly and remained a powerful figure until his death in 2015. Allawi and the INA are still involved in the horse-trading for senior positions after every election, despite never getting more than 8% of the votes – and only 6% in 2018.

These are the senior ministers of the new Iraqi government formed after the 2018 election, with some details of their Western backgrounds:

Adil Abdul-Mahdi – Prime Minister (France). Born in Baghdad in 1942. Father was a government minister under the British-backed monarchy. Lived in France from 1969-2003, earning a Ph.D in politics at Poitiers. In France, he became a follower of Ayatollah Khomeini and a founding member of the Iran-based Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI) in 1982. Was SCIRI’s representative in Iraqi Kurdistan for a period in the 1990s. After the invasion, he became Finance Minister in Allawi’s interim government in 2004; Vice President from 2005-11; Oil Minister from 2014-16.

Barham Salih – President (U.K. & U.S.). Born in Sulaymaniyah in 1960. Ph.D. in Engineering (Liverpool – 1987). Joined Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) in 1976. Jailed for 6 weeks in in 1979 and left Iraq for the U.K. PUK representative in London from 1979-91; head of PUK office in Washington from 1991-2001. President of Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) from 2001-4; Deputy PM in interim Iraqi government in 2004; Planning Minister in transitional government in 2005; Deputy PM from 2006-9; Prime Minister of KRG from 2009-12.

Mohamed Ali Alhakim – Foreign Minister (U.K. & U.S.). Born in Najaf in 1952. M.Sc. (Birmingham), Ph.D. in Telecom Engineering (Southern California), Professor at Northeastern University in Boston 1995-2003. After the invasion, he became Deputy Secretary-General and Planning Coordinator in the Iraqi Governing Council; Communications Minister in interim government in 2004; Planning Director at Foreign Ministry, and Economic Adviser to VP Abdul-Mahdi from 2005-10; and UN Ambassador from 2010-18.

Fuad Hussein – Finance Minister & Deputy PM (Netherlands & France). Born in Khanaqin (majority Kurdish town in Diyala province) in 1946. Joined Kurdish Student Union and Kurdish Democratic Party (KDP) as a student in Baghdad. Lived in Netherlands from 1975-87; incomplete Ph.D. in International Relations; married to Dutch Christian woman. Appointed deputy head of Kurdish Institute in Paris in 1987. Attended Iraqi exile political conferences in Beirut (1991), New York (1999) & London (2002). After the invasion, he became an adviser at the Education Ministry from 2003-5; and Chief of Staff to Masoud Barzani, President of the KRG, from 2005-17.

Thamir Ghadhban – Oil Minister & Deputy PM (U.K.). Born in Karbala in 1945. B.Sc. (UCL) & M.Sc. in Petroleum Engineering (Imperial College, London). Joined Basra Petroleum Co. in 1973. Director General of Engineering and then Planning at Iraqi Oil Ministry from 1989-92. Imprisoned for 3 months and demoted in 1992, but did not leave Iraq, and was reappointed Director General of Planning in 2001. After the invasion, he was promoted to CEO of Oil Ministry; Oil Minister in the interim government in 2004; elected to National Assembly in 2005 and served on 3-man committee that drafted the failed oil law; chaired Prime Minister’s Advisors’ Committee from 2006-16.

Major General (Retd) Najah Al-Shammari – Defense Minister (Sweden). Born in Baghdad in 1967. The only Sunni Arab among senior ministers. Military officer since 1987. Has lived in Sweden and may have been member of Allawi’s INA before 2003. Senior officer in U.S.-backed Iraqi special forces recruited from INC, INA and Kurdish Peshmerga from 2003-7. Deputy commander of “counterterrorism” forces 2007-9. Residency in Sweden 2009-15. Swedish citizen since 2015. Reportedly under investigation for benefits fraud in Sweden, and now for crimes against humanity in killing of over 300 protesters in October-November 2019.

In 2003, the U.S. and its allies unleashed unspeakable, systematic violence against the people of Iraq. Public health experts reliably estimated that the first three years of war and hostile military occupation cost about 650,000 Iraqi lives. But the U.S. did succeed in installing a puppet government of formerly Western-based Shiite and Kurdish politicians in the fortified Green Zone in Baghdad, with control over Iraq’s oil revenues. As we can see, many of the ministers in the U.S.-appointed interim government in 2004 are still ruling Iraq today.

U.S. forces deployed ever-escalating violence against Iraqis who resisted the invasion and hostile military occupation of their country. In 2004, the U.S. began training a large force of Iraqi police commandos for the Interior Ministry, and unleashed commando units recruited from SCIRI’s Badr Brigade militia as death squads in Baghdad in April 2005. This U.S.-backed reign of terror peaked in the summer of 2006, with the corpses of as many as 1,800 victims brought to the Baghdad morgue each month. An Iraqi human rights group examined 3,498 bodies of summary execution victims and identified 92% of them as people arrested by Interior Ministry forces.

The U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency tracked “enemy-initiated attacks” throughout the occupation and found that over 90% were against U.S. and allied military targets, not “sectarian” attacks on civilians. But the U.S. officials used a narrative of “sectarian violence” to blame the work of U.S.-trained Interior Ministry death squads on independent Shiite militias like Muqtada al-Sadr’s Mahdi Army.

The government Iraqis are protesting against today is still led by the same gang of U.S.-backed Iraqi exiles who wove a web of lies to stage manage the invasion of their own country in 2003, and then hid behind the walls of the Green Zone while U.S. forces and death squads slaughtered their people to make the country “safe” for their corrupt government.

More recently they again acted as cheerleaders as American bombs, rockets and artillery reduced most of Mosul, Iraq’s second city, to rubble, after twelve years of occupation, corruption and savage repression drove its people into the arms of the Islamic State. Kurdish intelligence reports revealed that more than 40,000 civilians were killed in the U.S.-led destruction of Mosul.

The cost of rebuilding Mosul, Fallujah and other cities and towns is conservatively estimated at $88 billion. But despite $80 billion per year in oil exports and a federal budget of over $100 billion, the Iraqi government has allocated no money at all for reconstruction. Foreign, mostly wealthy Arab countries, have pledged $30 billion, including just $3 billion from the U.S., but very little of that has been, or may ever be, delivered. On the pretext of fighting the Islamic State, the U.S. has reestablished a huge military base for over 5,000 U.S. troops at Al-Asad airbase in Anbar province.

The history of Iraq since 2003 has been a never-ending disaster for its people. Many of this new generation of Iraqis who have grown up amid the ruins and chaos the U.S. occupation left in its wake believe they have nothing to lose but their blood and their lives, as they take to the streets to reclaim their dignity, their future and their country’s sovereignty.

The bloody handprints of U.S. officials and their Iraqi puppets all over this crisis should stand as a dire warning to Americans of the predictably catastrophic results of an illegal foreign policy based on sanctions, coups, threats and the use of military force to try to impose the will of deluded U.S. leaders on people all over the world.

Nicolas J.S.Davies is the author of Blood On Our Hands: the American Invasion and Destruction of Iraq. He is an independent journalist and a researcher for CODEPINK.

29 November 2019

Source: countercurrents.org

The Coming Trial of the MH17 Suspects. A Piece of Political Theatre?

By Kees van der Pijl[1]

 

 

  1. Introduction. The MH17 Trial as Political Theatre

Legal Bases of the Prosecution

The Hallmarks of a Show Trial

The ‘Integrity Initiative’ and the anti-Russia Campaign

  1. From Outlawing War to ‘Humanitarian Intervention’

The UN Charter and Nuremberg

The Vietnam Tribunal: Salvaging the Nuremberg Legacy Privately

Human Rights and Intervention

  1. The NATO Intervention in Yugoslavia and the Yugoslavia Tribunal

The International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia

Extradition, Trial and Death of Milošević

The ICTY Precedent

  1. The Rwanda Tribunal and the International Criminal Court

Rwanda and the Inculpation of Africa

The International Criminal Court (ICC)

A Return to Nuremberg? Malaysia’s War Crimes Tribunal

  1. Lockerbie and Libya

The Lockerbie Trial in the Netherlands

Aftermath

  1. International Criminal Justice and the Historical Record

 

 

 

  1. Introduction. The MH17 Trials as Political Theatre

 

On 9 March, 2020, the trial of those accused of being responsible for the downing of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 on 17 July 2014, is planned to begin. The decision to hold a trial of MH17 suspects was taken by the Dutch Public Prosecution Service (Openbaar Ministerie, OM) on 19 June 2019, on the basis of the criminal investigation by the Joint investigation Committee, JIT. The JIT members conducting this investigation are the Netherlands, Australia, Belgium, and Ukraine and Malaysia (since March 2015). Prime Minister Mahathir of Malaysia has criticised the late admission of his country to the criminal prosecution, and also has raised doubts about the pertinence of the indictment for murder of three Russians and one Ukrainian, an indictment made public at the JIT press conference also on 19 June 2019.[2]

Whether the JIT under these circumstances is still able to function, is therefore in serious doubt. The decision by the JIT countries that the prosecution and trial of suspects would be conducted by and in the Netherlands, under Dutch law, dates from 5 July 2017. To facilitate the actual trial next year, a special treaty was concluded by the Netherlands and Ukraine covering a number of practical issues such as extradition, video hearing of defendants, and the like. The trial will be held before the Hague District Court, in a special location to accommodate a large trial, the Justice Complex Schiphol (JCS) near Schiphol Airport. On the special website launched to publicise the event, and via which its proceedings will be live-streamed, the court is already being recommended as having extensive experience with cases involving international elements. ‘It has, for instance, heard cases with regard to offences that nowadays are punishable in the International Crimes Act. Examples of offences under this law are genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes and torture.’ As the website continues,

The quality of the Dutch justice system ranks above average compared with other countries. This is confirmed by the EU Justice Scoreboard (a comparison of the justice systems of the European Union member states) and the Rule of Law Index (a global comparison of justice systems). These rankings are based on matters such as the average duration of trials, how judges are trained and the extent to which the justice system is free from discrimination, corruption and political influence. In terms of experience with international proceedings, the Netherlands ranks number one in the world.[3]

 

These self-congratulatory qualifications notwithstanding, we cannot look forward to the trial with confidence, on the contrary. For the sort of justice being dispensed here is a very special, new form of justice, international criminal law. That type of law is not the familiar form of international law, based on treaties, of which states are the legal subjects. It is an individualised form of transnational penal law, national to varying degrees (‘involving international elements’), and with a record that does not give rise to optimism, certainly not where it concerns he role of the Netherlands.

In one of the most disturbing cases, the International Criminal Tribunal for the  Former Yugoslavia (ICTY), which also sat in The Hague, the prosecution was principally directed against Serbians and the chief suspect, Yugoslav president Slobodan Milošević, died in his cell after the main charge against him had been dropped for lack of evidence. On the other hand, NATO bombing of Serbia, without even a UN mandate, was not prosecuted and the secessionists’ actions in the violent dissolution of Yugoslavia profited from a light touch.[4] Since one of the judges assigned to the MH17 trial, Ms. C.I.H. Kerstens-Fockens LLM, was an intern at the ICTY,[5] the Yugoslavia experience deserves to be investigated closely. In the parallel Rwanda tribunal, only Hutus were investigated and indicted for the massacres in 1994, whilst the Tutsi RPF, which triggered the bloodbath by shooting down the plane of the Rwandan president, was not. The International Criminal Court (ICC) only indicted Africans, whilst George W. Bush and Tony Blair, who ordered the invasion of Iraq, are seemingly above the law. In the Lockerbie trial held in the Netherlands (by a Scottish court), a Libyan who had nothing to do with that disaster was found guilty and sentenced. So if in the upcoming MH17 trial, only Russians and pro-Russian Ukrainians are the suspects, this fits the longer trend.

One must fear, then, that the upcoming trial of the MH17 suspects will not depart from the pattern established in the three decades of legal precedent in this area. Indeed, prosecution in international criminal cases has so far turned out to be nothing else but the continuation by different means of so-called ‘humanitarian intervention’. First comes the intervention itself (sanctions, ‘colour revolutions’, coups d’état, regime change wars), and then the judicial sequel follows, all part of a single punitive operation. Indeed ‘humanitarian intervention’, harking back to the mediaeval concept of ‘just war’, in all or most cases has been followed by the application of criminal justice to the parties against whom the intervention was launched in the first place. This is the one similarity with the trials of Nazi and Japanese war criminals at the end of World War II, except that the Nuremberg trial of the former laid down the principle that launching a war is the supreme war crime. Humanitarian intervention has functioned as a way round that principle.

In this introduction, I will first briefly summarise the legal bases of the prosecution, before addressing how in the context of the propaganda war accompanying the post -9/11 ‘War on Terror’, trials are approached from a theatrical, ‘spectacular’ angle rather than a strictly juridical one. For the MH17 trial in particular it is also necessary to bring in the so-called ‘Integrity Initiative’, revealed in late 2018 as a secret UK-led project to launch a full spectrum PR campaign against Russia over its alleged ‘hybrid warfare’ against the West. The rest of the document then deals with the separate court cases.

 

Legal Bases of the Prosecution

 

Criminal prosecution in a national setting is conducted by the state, which seeks to uphold criminal law. In accordance with the separation of powers (legislative, executive, and judicial), the prosecutor acts as an arm of the executive, making the case for the prosecution on behalf of the state. The judge then renders a verdict on the basis of the law and what else can be brought to bear on the case, such as jurisprudence, precedent, fairness, and the like. Internationally, however, there is no state, and the prosecution is established either by the United Nations (through the Security Council), by another international institution (in the case of MH17, by Eurojust, an arm of the European Union), or by a treaty between states.

In the case of MH17, an important component of the prosecution was the technical investigation by the Dutch Safety Board (DSB, Onderzoeksraad voor Veiligheid, OVV), which published its final report in October 2015. Now the law of 2010 establishing the DSB prescribes that the Board will not report on matters affecting the security of the Netherlands, or matters prejudicing the country’s relations with other states and international organisations, or harming its economic or financial interests (article 57, 1 and 2).[6] Given the prominent role of the Netherlands in fomenting ‘civil society’ movements in the run-up to the armed seizure of power in Ukraine in February 2014, the involvement of EU and NATO in it, the investments of Dutch companies in Ukraine, and the role of the Netherlands as a tax haven for Ukrainian (and Russian) oligarchs, the question arises what there remained for the DSB to report, with so many restrictions. Further constrained by a bilateral agreement with its Ukrainian counterpart that included a non-disclosure provision, the DSB eventually came to the conclusion that MH17 had been shot down by a surface-to-air missile ‘Buk’, fired from a rebel-held area in eastern Ukraine.[7]

The Joint Investigation Team (JIT) was established amidst dramatic political developments in Kiev on 7 and 8 August 2014. These events included a crisis of the Yatsenyuk cabinet established by the coup; the resignation of the fascist leader of that coup, Andrij Parubij, from the key post of Secretary of the National Security and Defence Council—three weeks after the downing of MH17; a possible new coup attempt by Far Right militias, and an impromptu visit of NATO Secretary-General Rasmussen to Kiev, apparently to shore up the position of president Poroshenko. The JIT, formally established under the auspices of  Eurojust in The Hague, meanwhile had been constituted with the Netherlands, Australia and Belgium (4 nationals among the victims, against e.g. Indonesia, 12) as members. Ukraine, which is not a member of Eurojust and had no nationals to mourn in the MH17 disaster, was also included as the country where the tragedy happened. It was also granted an effective veto on what the criminal prosecution might reveal.[8] In combination with the initial exclusion of Malaysia, effectively till March 2015, this underscores the idea of a continuation of politics by different means. As with the DSB, the lead role in the JIT was given to the Netherlands, with Fred Westerbeke, a Dutch prosecutor (Officier van Justitie), coordinating the investigation.

Because of the prior role of the DSB, then, the JIT has continued the judicial process as if the guilty party was known in advance and the prosecution merely had to collect the evidence that would lead to a conviction. Here it has come to rely on two sources. One, the controversial Ukrainian intelligence service SBU, which as  demonstrated in the Bonanza Media documentary of Yana Yerlashova and Max van der Werff, has exclusively provided the JIT with telephone taps, many of which have been tampered with or were even entirely pasted together from different conversations; and two, on the British amateur collective, Bellingcat, set up by Elliott Higgins, and which relies exclusively on Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) to construct narratives supporting the Kiev/NATO account.[9] This is all the more remarkable since the JIT, as a body evidently set up to serve the Western position, should have access to all the information that can be provided to it by the extensive US, NATO, and other Western intelligence services, including satellite images.

 

The Hallmarks of a Show Trial

 

One further characteristic that the MH17 prosecution shares with past instances of international criminal law is the use of well-timed press conferences and the weaving of a narrative from which neither the political mainstream nor the media serving as its mouthpiece will depart. Academic work on how to organise trials to back up this narrative strategy, consciously dramatising the situation in highly emotive, human interest terms, has been undertaken to allow the effective stage-management of trials in his sense. In the MH17 trial, bringing the next of kin into the court room as active participants (in the probable absence of defendants) would be a case in point.

Contemporary politics relies on heavily mediatised, mass-psychological operations utilising techniques of advanced public relations and advertising, such as repetition, amplification of what supports a given account and dissimulation of contradictory information. All this allows turning the dominant narrative into an imposed consensus from which it is very difficult to dissent. In his visionary work, The Society of the Spectacle, originally of 1967, Guy Debord described modern capitalist consumer society as one in which the gaze of the masses is fixed on a hypnotising spectacle performed on behalf of the providers of goods and services, in which political and entertainment celebrities play the lead roles. And just as it is difficult for anyone in the audience of a theatre play or a movie to tear oneself loose from what is shown, the society of the spectacle holds its audiences captive.[10]

The trials in the young tradition of international criminal law are also turned into spectacles. The demonisation of targeted political or military leaders as the incarnation of evil, the use of well-timed indictments, publicity on behalf of the prosecution to build up pressure towards a particular reading of events, abandoning the presumption of innocence of suspects prior to a judgment, and the use of grieving relatives to add emotional momentum towards achieving these political goals, all have featured in these trials and are amply in evidence in the MH17 case as well.

The similarity of public, political trials to the sort of collective hypnosis analysed by Debord is not just a metaphor. The idea of a theatrical mise en scène is being studied in  a ‘Terrorists on Trial’ research project focusing on ‘the performative and communicative aspects of a terrorist trial’, has been running for several years. The project is led by and based on the insights of a Protestant fundamentalist International Relations scholar, Beatrice de Graaf, one of many academics recruited into the post-9/11 terrorism growth industry. Through a series of seminars on particular cases the project defines ‘the court room as a stage in the struggle for publicity, public support and legitimacy’ (subtitle of the ‘Terrorists on Trial’ project).

 

The seminars aim … to apply a performative perspective to terrorism trials, hence not solely concentrating on the immediate judicial performance of the magistrates and/or the defence, but putting trials in their wider sociological context, adopting notions of social drama and communication sciences.[11]

 

One expert meeting led by Ms De Graaf was titled ‘Terrorism Trials as Theatre’, an idea certainly not lost on those setting up the DSB presentation of its final report, organising the JIT press conferences, and preparing the 2020 trial of the MH17 suspects.

The exploitation of the bereaved as a source of emotional identification, referred to already, has been going on for years. Representatives of the MH17 family members  not only came on stage in the media, but also were deployed as a tool in Dutch diplomacy. This included the sending of letters by or on behalf of the next of kin to Prime Minister Mahathir of Malaysia after he had expressed doubts on Russian guilt, or to exert pressure on the Council of Europe not to readmit Russia, again in the name of bereaved.[12] Neither did the diplomatic exploitation of the next of kin stop with the Dutch family members; when I attended the conference ‘MH17—Quest for Justice’ in Kuala Lumpur in August 2019, it turned out that the Dutch embassy had been closely involved in the decision of Malaysian next of kin to withdraw from the conference at the last minute, whilst the embassy had lodged a separate protest with the Malaysian government and the organisers over the fact it was being held at all and that ‘conspiracy theorists’ (i.e., critics of the official account, including this author) had been invited.[13]

The invitation to the next of kin to attend the trial is also intended to mobilise the public. The bereaved are being used to create the highly charged atmosphere in which ‘social drama’ and ‘the court room as a stage in the struggle for publicity, public support and legitimacy’ can work to move strictly criminal-legal considerations into the background. The planned appearance of the family members in the courtroom to ‘address the court’[14], as if their grief would count as evidence, is a key ingredient of this dramatisation. Or to cite the ICCT project again,

 

Terrorism trials serve multiple ends, depending on the actors involved, who are all busy trying to mobilise their respective target audiences around their narratives and (in)justice frames. Such trials are a very visible and theatrical means of demonstrating concepts and narratives of (in)justice.’[15]

 

The theatrical approach to political trials intersects with new strategies developed in the British Foreign Office and the US State Department to blockbuster public opinion by massive ‘fake news’ campaigns specifically targeting Russia.

 

The ‘Integrity Initiative’ and the Anti-Russia Campaign

 

In late 2018 it was revealed that the British Foreign Office (FCO) was running a secret disinformation programme, the ‘Integrity Initiative’. The programme was launched in 2015 by an ‘Institute for Statecraft’ nominally located in Scotland, but in fact headquartered in the heart of London, at 2 Temple Place. The Institute itself was set up in 2006 by figures with a background in UK military intelligence. Most of the personnel involved in the Integrity Initiative are also British military intelligence and senior military personnel involved in propaganda. The aim of both the Institute and the Initiative is to mobilise journalists, academics and others involved in propaganda in government and the military, into national clusters committed to a negative view of Russia. Secondly, to launch campaigns against security risks from a point of view of alleged Russian influence, from TV hosts in Serbia via Donald Trump to the leader of the Labour Party in Britain.[16]

The Integrity Initiative is led by Chris N. Donnelly, a former British intelligence officer (he also advises the Lithuanian Ministry of Defence), and co-founder of the Institute for Statecraft. Donnelly’s focus on Russia dates from the Cold War with the Soviet Union and his current mandate is ‘to insert anti-Russia propaganda into the Western media stream’. Possibly its prize achievement in this respect was the idea of one of the Institute for Statecraft writers, Mark Galeotti, to turn around an analysis of Western strategy by General Valerii Gerasimov, then Russia’s Chief of the General Staff, into a positive ‘Gerasimov Doctrine’. Published in February 2013, Gerasimov’s paper  argued that ‘the West was waging a new type of war by mixing propaganda, proxy armies and military force into one unified operation’. Galeotti declared this instead to signify that Russia itself had switched to a doctrine of ‘hybrid war’.[17]

This ideological hoax had politicians and journalists all over the West up in arms about Russian ‘hybrid warfare’, coming on the heels of the highly embarrassing  Snowden revelations and those of Wikileaks before them. The trope of Moscow undermining ‘our’ democracy by disinformation, disseminated by ‘troll farms’,  allowed those favouring a normalisation of relations with Moscow, including Donald Trump after his surprise election to the US presidency in 2016, to be labelled ‘traitors’, and any information or opinion contradicting the official narrative, ‘Russian disinformation’ (and/or ‘conspiracy theory’).[18]

The Integrity Initiative’s documents were hacked and made public by the Anonymous network. They show it is primarily funded by the FCO (one-quarter of its £2 million budget, application for 2018-19); other sponsors include the US State Department, NATO, the Lithuanian MoD, Facebook, and the Smith-Richardson Foundation (which also funds the NATO-affiliated think tank, the International Institute for Strategic Studies, IISS, two doors away from the Institute for Statecraft on Temple Place).[19] The Integrity Initiative works closely with the Public Diplomacy Division at NATO HQ in Brussels and in the same city collaborates with the Institute for European Studies at the Free University (VUB-IES), which has a galaxy of partner institutions linked in turn to the Ministries of Defence of various Western countries. According to one hacked document,

 

Through VUB-IES the Integrity Initiative is firmly linked into the EU East Stratcom Taskforce, the EU Disinfo Lab and the European Parliament. The VUB-IES also supports our programme’s collaboration with HQ NATO, NATO’s International Confederation Reserve Officers (CIOR), the Atlantic Treaty Association and the NATO Parliamentary Assembly…. The VUB-IES also provides a valuable direct link for our programme with major national think tanks such as Egmont, Chatham House, Clingendael, etc.[20]

 

To propagate the Russia scare in the United States the Integrity Initiative hired the self-styled ‘information warrior’ who sold the Iraq war to the public, John Rendon, to train ‘a new generation of Russia-watchers’.[21] In 2012 Joel Harding, a former Special Forces officer, began work in the Hilary Clinton State Department to develop methods to create a dominant narrative towards Russia from which there would be no serious dissent. Specifically focussing on Ukraine, Harding envisaged controlling ‘all the information everyone has access to within the operation zone and every zone that can influence the operation outcome across the world’, including social media. Once this goal would have been achieved, a target like regime change in Russia would turn out to be feasible and would be ‘welcomed by every sane person reading, watching, or hearing the news his channels are publishing’. [22]

The Integrity Initiative also has a direct line to figures like the US Special Representative for Ukraine, Kurt Volker, besides contacts with Washington think tanks such as the Atlantic Council and the Center for European Policy Analysis, as well as the FBI.[23] Under Clinton’s successor, John Kerry, the State Department’s Global Engagement Center, originally established to combat online recruitment for jihadism, in 2016 was redirected to attack Trump over alleged Russian collusion. One of the Global Engagement Center’s senior officials, Todd Leventhal, is actually a member of the Institute for Statecraft’s ‘Temple Place resident team’.[24]

Nearby Chatham House (the Royal Institute of International Affairs in London, publisher of International Affairs, and linked to the Brussels VUB-IES network) is a key relay of the Institute for Statecraft/Integrity Initiative. Of the six authors of an influential Chatham House study of 2015, ‘The Russian Challenge’, four are listed as members of the Integrity Initiative’s UK cluster. One of them, former UK ambassador to Moscow Sir Andrew Wood, who allegedly handed compromising material about Donald Trump (the ‘Steele dossier’) to US counterparts, in his contribution discusses the prospects of regime change in Russia.[25]

Christopher Steele, a former MI6 agent stationed in Moscow, author of a salacious dossier supposedly exposing Trump’s ‘recruitment’ by Russia, is a colleague of one Pablo Miller in the private agency, Orbis Business Intelligence. Miller too was an MI6 agent and was the handler of the former Russian double agent, Sergei Skripal, whose botched ‘assassination attempt’ was turned into a major diplomatic crisis with Moscow. The Integrity Initiative documents show that both the Skripal affair and the downing of Flight MH 17 were considered in light of the fictional ‘Gerasimov doctrine’ as offering opportunities to ‘expose’ Russian disinformation.[26] However, the Mueller investigation into Trump’s alleged collusion with Russia did not uncover any wrongdoing,even though there is no doubt that as a real estate developer, Trump relied on Russian-American mafia connections to finance his business ventures.[27] Since the Integrity Initiative approach (or Harding’s at the State Department) requires a full spectrum coverage of information provision to counter the Russian threat, this has also brought in selected Internet sites as partners of the Integrity Initiative, including Buzzfeed, Irex, Detector Media, and Bellingcat, to name only a few.[28]

The MH17 prosecution too has effectively been made part of the Integrity Initiative. By relying increasingly on Bellingcat, the JIT has surrendered its fact-finding almost completely to this relay of NATO and Ukrainian propaganda. Bellingcat’s Open Source Intelligence (OSINT), analysed in depth by Hector Reban,[29] has come to function as a source for mainstream media too, further rounding out the government-media propaganda loop. Bellingcat’s founder, Elliott Higgins, made his name with Western sponsors when he claimed to have discovered, then still under the pseudonym ‘Brown Moses’, that a chemical warfare incident in Douma, a suburb of Damascus, had been the work of the Assad regime, contradicting the judgement of MIT missile experts and experienced investigative journalists.[30] With Bellingcat, which came online on 15 July 2017, two days before the MH17 tragedy, Higgins placed his OSINT experience at the service of those seeking to build a case against Russia. Because the JIT and the mainstream media chose to give him the credibility of an authoritative source, this could then become the basis for the trial.

Besides the aforementioned Chatham House ‘Russian Challenge’ collection, academic work backing up the Integrity Initiative/ Bellingcat claims has also specifically tackled Russian ‘digital disinformation’ surrounding the MH17 case. One freely available and much-cited article in the Chatham House journal, International Affairs, published in 2018, defines disinformation as a ‘purposeful effort to mislead, deceive, or confuse’.[31] Funded by the EU (through the European Research Council) and the Carlsberg Foundation, the research project ascribes disinformation on the MH17 tragedy exclusively to the Russian state and media, revealing its own propaganda intent by reserving the term ‘information’ (including ‘counter-disinformation’) for one side in the conflict (the West and its client regime in Kiev), and ignoring academic studies that place the civil war and the downing of MH17 in context.[32]

Ratcheting up the circular cross-referencing to the point of caricature, the project’s investigation of ‘citizens’ active on Twitter on the topic of MH17, finds that on the side of ‘information’/‘counter-disinformation’, ‘the most retweeted profile in the entire dataset’ is (surprise, surprise)…  Higgins/Bellingcat. Spreading disinformation on the other hand is the investigative journalist, Max van der Werff, among others. Van der Werff’s name and details have meanwhile been posted on the Kiev Peacemaker (Myrotvorets) list of enemies of the new Kiev regime, several of whom have been assassinated.[33] Also targeted by the ERC/Carlsberg project is Pieter Omtzigt, the one Dutch parliamentarian who kept the government on its toes on the topic (without departing from the mainstream reading of the downing of MH17). In late 2017 Omtzigt was attacked over a trifle by the Dutch mainstream newspaper, NRC-Handelsblad, and forced to give up this portfolio. [34]

The ERC/Carlsberg authors themselves write that ‘historically, intelligence services and propaganda institutions have posed as ordinary citizens to assume a credibility that they lack in their own roles’, but seem oblivious to the possibility that their paragon of ‘information/counter-disinformation’, Bellingcat, might just fit the bill.[35] For according to David Miller, professor of political sociology at the University of Bristol and a propaganda specialist, the Integrity Initiative, the umbrella under which Bellingcat too operates, is such an intelligence operation, indeed a ‘military directed push’: ‘The  “charity” lead on this [Donnelly] was also appointed as a colonel in military intelligence at the beginning of the project —a truly amazing fact that suggests this is a military intelligence cut-out.’[36]

With their own links to the Atlantic Council (a major source of the ‘Russian meddling’ hysteria via in-house providers of fake news such as Ben Nimmo)[37] Higgins and Bellingcat operate as mouthpieces of the anti-Russia campaign and thus obtain the unreserved support of the mainstream media and politics. Indeed in sharp contrast to that other ‘citizen’, Julian Assange of Wikileaks, who has now been effectively locked up for eight years under conditions denounced by the UN as torture, Higgins ‘gained mainstream acclaim, in part, because “his findings” always matched up with propaganda themes peddled by the US government and its Western allies. Though most genuinely independent bloggers are ignored by the mainstream media, Higgins has found his work touted’.[38]

Bellingcat has meanwhile found its most supportive environment in the Netherlands, which already was prominently involved in the preparations for the Maidan movement and regime change in Kiev before it was granted the lead role in the two MH17 investigations.[39] Besides being invited to provide training courses for mainstream media journalists, Bellingcat in 2019 also received a subsidy of half a million Euros from the Postcode Lottery, which allows it to set up a new headquarters in The Hague. The Dutch government has also launched its own propaganda unit, Raam op Rusland (‘Window on Russia’). Like Bellingcat, Raam op Rusland collaborates with the University of Leiden, but it is also connected to the Institute for Statecraft/Integrity Initiative network. The Raam op Rusland website on 1 November 2019 carried a puerile piece by Mark Galeotti, of ‘Gerasimov Doctrine’ fame, claiming that Putin was actually a minnow when still a KGB agent.[40] Because several of its collaborators are former Moscow correspondents of Dutch newspapers such as NRC-Handelsblad, Raam op Rusland and the mainstream media are on the same page against Russia and unfailingly committed to the Gerasmimov Doctrine fiction of ‘Russian meddling’.

Summing up, the choice of the Netherlands as the country where the MH17 trial will be held is entirely fitting, as it is firmly embedded into several layers of propaganda accompanying the forward push of the West into the former Soviet bloc and the USSR.

First, the Dutch-led JIT has allowed what it has presented as evidence to be mainly or even exclusively sourced by the SBU and Bellingcat. The prior DSB technical investigation also was executed by the Netherlands, and has been compromised by the legal limits of its reporting combined with the confidentiality agreement with Ukraine. The JIT itself has been compromised too by the effective veto granted to Ukraine and the initial exclusion of Malaysia.

Secondly, the trial by its exploitation of the emotional potential of statements by the family members will be set up as a theatrical, ‘performative’ rather than strictly juridical process as in al likelihood, no defendants will turn up. This sort of show trial has been prepared by the ICCT seminars of terrorism specialist Ms Beatrice de Graaf, also held in the Netherlands.

Finally, public opinion in the Netherlands and in the West at large has been massaged into a solid anti-‘Putin’ consensus by the combined propaganda flows coming from the Institute for Statecraft/Integrity Initiative complex, amplified in the Netherlands by the blanket endorsement of Bellingcat narratives, by Raam op Rusland and by mainstream media and academia connected with it. This has resulted in a climate of opinion in which an acquittal for lack of evidence of the current suspects of the downing of MH17 would probably not be accepted (and if it would be, there is a solid propaganda apparatus in place to correct that).

This raises the question of how such a profoundly partisan form of justice, prone to serious miscarriage, has come into being in the first place.

  1. From Outlawing War to ‘Humanitarian Intervention’

 

The planned trial against the presumed perpetrators of downing Flight MH17 fits in the tradition of international criminal law, although in this case it will be a trial by a Dutch court dispensing justice under Dutch law. So although ‘nationalised’ in the final stage, the criminal investigation and prosecution were international and bear all the hallmarks of previous international criminal trials beginning with the Yugoslavia and Rwanda tribunals. In the case of MH17. the prosecution was the responsibility of the Joint Investigation Team (JIT), composed of the Netherlands, Belgium, Australia, and the coup regime in Kiev. That this regime had seized power following a false flag massacre among demonstrators and police,[41] its members designated by the United States, and were encouraged by the CIA and NATO to begin a civil war against an insurrection in the Donbass area (where the plane came down) was apparently not an obstacle, even though the Kiev regime is the only party in the conflict which has in its arsenal all the weapon systems that can have been used, intentionally or by accident, in the downing of MH17—if it was not a bomb placed on board.[42] As noted, in March 2015, Malaysia was finally admitted to the criminal investigation and became the fifth member of the JIT, only to dissent from its conclusions again later.

Several characteristics of this prosecution place it in the tradition of a new form of law that has taken shape in the 1990s, after the collapse of the Soviet Union. With only the United States left as a superpower, the idea of ‘American exceptionalism’ at the time assumed a new form, that of dispensing justice for the world as a whole, ‘extra-territorially’. This form of law, emanating from the ‘new World Order’ proclaimed by George H.W. Bush in 1991, entailed a straightforward assault on the anti-war order established in the United Nations Charter and in the Nuremberg Trials of the Nazi war criminals in 1945-’46. In this section I will situate the international criminal law tradition in the context of the shift from the outlawing of war to the rise of the notion of ‘humanitarian intervention’ in which war is made legitimate again if it serves the higher goal of ending suffering in other countries, to be decided by the United States and its allies and whomever they can bring on board in the United Nations Security Council, or if not, with a ‘coalition of the willing’.[43]

 

The UN Charter and Nuremberg

 

The principles laid down in the UN Charter and applied and expanded in Nuremberg  were the result of a movement against war that had been gathering strength in the course of the twentieth century. Already in the Hague Peace Conferences of 1899 and 1907, the Russian delegate unsuccessfully proposed the creation of a standing international criminal court to ensure the peace by making war illegal.[44] Again after the First World War, attempts were made to outlaw war, most notably in the Kellogg-Briand Pact of 1928, named after the foreign ministers of the United States and France. It was recognised early on that some form of justice would be needed to adjudicate conflicts that might spiral into war and in 1922 the League of Nations established the Permanent Court of International Justice (the precursor of the post-1945 International Court of Justice) to settle disputes between sovereign states by arbitration. These were instances of changing the rules governing the legitimacy of war. Older conceptions of just war, which go back to early Christianity, were now gradually abandoned. It needed the horrors of World War II with its 50 to 60 million victims to accelerate the drive towards outlawing war into an explicit prohibition.

The United Nations Charter replaced the right to go to war (jus ad bellum) by a right against war (jus contra bellum). Its Art. 2 (4) rules that ‘All members shall refrain in their international relations from the threat of use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state, or in any other manner inconsistent with the purposes of the United Nations.’ The only exceptions were: a threat to the peace, breach of the peace, or an act of aggression; individual or collective self-defence; and (only for the duration of the Second World War) the fight against the enemies of the United Nations.[45]  In this spirit the London Charter of August 1945, building on the work of the UN War Crimes Commission set up earlier, ruled that those politicians who had launched the war would be prosecuted as war criminals.

The Nuremberg and Tokyo trials (the latter of doubtful legal status given the unilateral way in which the US installed it) aimed to put the UN principles into practice. The Nuremberg Charter in its Article 6 defines the crimes of war under three headings. a) Crimes against the peace (the planning, preparation and initiation of a war of aggression); b) war crimes (killing, maltreatment or deportation of civilians, prisoners of war, and hostages, as well as wanton destruction), and c) crimes against humanity (killing, extermination, deportation and other inhuman measures against the civilian population on political, racial, or religious grounds). In 1946, the United Nations unanimously sanctioned the Nuremberg Charter as an integral part of positive international law, enlarging the Hague Convention of 1907 and the Geneva Convention of 1925.[46] Of course the designation of crimes against the peace, which only punished the country that went to war, as the supreme crime, solved the issue of Allied war crimes and crimes against humanity. For the nuclear bombardment of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, or the fire-bombing of  Hamburg en Dresden, were cases of these latter two categories of crimes, or at least should be investigated as such. Also, the issue of the conditions under which Germany and Japan went to war, such as the Versailles peace treaty and the debt and reparations regime imposed on Germany, or the economic blockade of Japan by the United States, were conditions without which the annexations of the Rhineland and what followed, or Pearl Harbor, cannot be understood.

Even so, the Nuremberg legacy must be considered a massive step forward for international legality and a peaceful world, compelling states to negotiate rather than fight. The Tribunal famously declared that

 

War is essentially an evil thing. Its consequences are not confined to the belligerent states alone, but affect the whole world. To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole.[47]

 

It was this principle that collapsed with the implosion of the USSR and the Soviet bloc, removing the counterweight in world affairs that had been established by the outcome of World War II.

 

The Vietnam Tribunal: Salvaging the Nuremberg Legacy Privately

 

Ever since Woodrow Wilson declared that the United States would enter World War I to ‘make the world safe for democracy’, the United States has sought to apply a superior jurisdiction over other states. Modelled on the Monroe Doctrine of 1823 that established US supremacy over Latin America, at the exclusion of the European powers, the Wilson programme of national self-determination and international organisation (through the League of Nations) sought to apply the Monroe principles to the world at large.

Because of the social linkages of the Democratic party’s historical voter base until the 1980s, Wilson’s call for economic liberalism, democracy and national self-determination, resonated most strongly with later Democratic presidents, from F.D. Roosevelt and H.F. Truman to J.F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson. In all cases, however, their international idealism led them into foreign wars—the First and Second World Wars, Korea, and the equally murderous interventions in Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia in the 1960s and early 70s. US and allied warfare in Southeast Asia, using all kinds of forbidden forms of warfare from chemical weapons and population displacement to  massacres of entire villages, caused world-wide uproar as they were still reported by the mainstream media and contributed to the resurgence of the anti-imperialist Left.

Since the Nuremberg principles concerning the illegality of a war of aggression seemed no longer applicable, an attempt was made to resurrect them by private means. Bertrand Russell, the British philosopher and peace campaigner, took the initiative for a Vietnam Tribunal, assembling leading lawyers and intellectuals. The Tribunal sat in two sessions, in Stockholm in May 1967, and in Roskilde, Denmark, in December of the same year. This Tribunal aimed to apply the principles of Nuremberg to the case of the Vietnam War.

The Stockholm session came to the conclusion that by the norms of international law, the US government had committed aggression against Vietnam. It ruled that the United States had intentionally, systematically, and on a large scale bombed civilian targets in Vietnam; committed repeated violations of the sovereignty, neutrality and territorial integrity of Cambodia; whilst the governments of Australia, New Zealand, and South Korea had made themselves accomplices in the US aggression against Vietnam.[48]

In the subsequent session in Roskilde, the complicity of the governments of Thailand, the Philippines, and Japan, was established. It was also found that the US armed forces had indiscriminately used napalm (petroleum jelly that sticks to the skin when burning), as well as fragmentation bombs, gas, and defoliants, all in violation of the Geneva Protocol and other legal obligations; that prisoners had been subject to illegal killing, torture, and other forms of abuse; and that the civilian population had been systematically subjected to US Army brutality, deportation, the introduction of ‘free firing zones’, and detention.[49] In 1971, a former prosecuting counsel at the Nuremberg trials, General Telford Taylor, confirmed that if the standards of that trial would be applied to the American war in Vietnam, its architects would in all probability meet the same fate as the war criminals who were hanged, or jailed for life.[50]

Given that the Russell tribunal was convened privately, it did not have an effect on positive international law. It did however contribute to the hardening mood against the policies pursued by the Johnson and Nixon administrations in the United States. It would take until the Carter administration elected in 1976 boldly recaptured the moral high ground by proclaiming the United States the champion of universal human rights. This would effectively restore the notion of ‘just war’ on human rights grounds, humanitarian intervention, and in the process effectively suspended the notion of ‘crimes against the peace’ for the West. The other consequence of this change was the positing of a superior right for the West in the process.

 

Human Rights and Intervention

 

In 1948, the United Nations adopted the Universal Declaration of Human Rights in an obvious attempt to shift the normative agenda towards a liberal, ‘Lockean’ interpretation centring on individual rights. As colonial and neo-colonial wars waged by the West were proliferating across the emerging Third World and the Cold War was heating up in the Northern Hemisphere, the UN Charter and Nuremberg were becoming obvious anomalies from the Western perspective. The Universal Declaration aimed to restore priority to the principles of liberalism against the directive, ‘Hobbesian’ state. This Declaration is not, as the legal arrangements aimed at outlawing war, meant to consecrate sovereignty whilst containing the excesses that sovereign exercise of power may entail. Rather it stands in the tradition of the French Revolution’s Déclaration des droits de l’homme et du citoyen and the idea of missionary dissemination of these rights. John Locke’s heritage here is packaged in a militant doctrine of liberation, which already made its appearance in US wartime pronouncements such as Roosevelt’s ‘Four Freedoms’ of 1941. In the Universal Declaration (the draft of which had been prepared by a committee under Roosevelt’s widow, Eleanor), there is an obvious implication that no state can organise its society on principles that limit individual freedom. Hence the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia abstained in the vote, not just because their states’ confiscatory power over society would be implicated, but also, as planned economies based on collective property and social organisation, they were in no position to assimilate a set of principles entirely constructed from the liberal, Lockean vantage point of the sovereign individual and private property. The English vintage is even more pronounced in the fact that the Declaration does not attribute human rights to any legislative act or treaty, but considers them innate, known to us through revelation.[51]

The Cold War was not initially conducive to a human rights policy, and it is perhaps a sign of the erosion of the hegemony of the liberal West at the time that the UN in 1966 specified the 1948 Declaration by elaborating a separate Pact on Civil and Political rights, and one on Economic, Social and Cultural rights. Article 1 of both pacts included the right of self-determination entitling them to a free choice of political status and the free pursuit of their economic, social and cultural rights.[52] Only after the US had withdrawn from Vietnam, could Jimmy Carter raise the banner of human rights as the guiding principle of his foreign policy. This was not just propaganda, because it had its roots in the return of a Democratic president to power, one who brought with him the aspirations of a society aspiring to revive the domestic economy at the heart of a burgeoning world market embedded in multilateral agreement. The opening of a new era of civil global aspirations activated the natural law tradition, and this is the source from which the universalistic conception of human rights emanates. The idea of humanitarian intervention now began to reassert itself, although Carter was still reticent in the use of violence.

Humanitarian intervention harks back to the idea of ‘just war’. A just war is a pacifism for the future; it will bring a peace which will be eternal, if only its current enemies will have been defeated once and for all. War in this perspective is inevitable, and acquires a new quality—that of cleansing the world of evil (hence its origins, since St. Augustine, in religion). Its more radical form even claims that it is ‘ethical’ to wage war against foreign peoples for their own good, or that whatever the cost to the civilian population, an embargo can be imposed on a nation to help it. All this worked to absolve the self-styled ‘international community’, in practice, the West led by the US, from the legal restraint on applying force; whereas local violence in the context of civil wars remains outlawed. However, as Peter Malanczuk writes, the problem with a human rights doctrine which claims that ‘justice’ (or ‘morality’ or ‘humanity’) is a sufficient ground for action without a need for further explanation, is problematic. ‘This new version of bellum justum is based upon questionable assumptions to support the alleged universality of a moral theory drawn primarily from certain modern legal philosophers such as John Rawls and Ronald Dworkin, whose theories… are not only controversial with regard to domestic legal systems, but seem to be confined… to Western, or rather, Anglo-American realities.’[53] These ‘realities’ dictated ‘the development of theory in international humanitarian law…, in which the notion of collective responsibility had gradually yielded to that of individual responsibility.’[54] In David Wippman’s words,

 

International human rights law … reject[s] the primacy of popular sovereignty rooted in national communities… the ultimate goal is to overcome national politics through claims of right asserted on behalf of individuals and against states and other individuals.[55]

 

This illustrates the role of the West as the self-appointed executor of a ‘global civil society’ in the absence of a state at that level. The US already in the 1960s began to apply its domestic legislation extra-territorially. Export prohibitions for US companies were applied to foreign subsidiaries in France and elsewhere, a policy ratcheted up under Reagan, creating tensions between transnationally applied domestic legislation and international law. A critical step was taken when the US Supreme Court in June 1992 ruled 6 against 3 that the US government is allowed to abduct people from foreign countries and bring them to trial in the US. This established, one year after the collapse of the USSR, the United States as the one supreme power entitled to overruling other states, including in this case, Mexico and Canada, whose protests were ignored.[56] Yet this was only the beginning of the  extraterritorial application of US prosecuting powers in criminal matters, which would acquire its full extent only in the War on Terror. However, the Supreme Court of decision of 1992 was significant in that it established that the citizenship of another state can be effectively suspended by the United States.

Against his background, the United States also arrogated itself the right to intervene in other countries on account of ‘human rights’, which essentially meant the individual’s rights against the state. In line with the neoliberal concept of civil society as the true source of a free economy and democracy, and the state as a likely obstacle to both (and certainly as an obstacle to capital operating from the West), Washington and its allies immediately after the Soviet demise stepped up their intervention in the dissolution of Yugoslavia. The doctrine of a ‘Responsibility to Protect’ (R2P) adhered to by the United States and its Western allies, attributed to them a superior right of armed intervention, by definition ‘humanitarian’.[57]

Since humanitarian intervention is strictly speaking illegal in international law, and the criminal prosecution of those targeted after the intervention therefore is also without legal basis, everything comes to depend on the massaging of public opinion by dramatising ‘humanitarian’ aspects such as the suffering of selected groups of people or the grief felt by the relatives of those who perished, as in the MH17 disaster. Clearly the project to cast ‘the court room as a stage in the struggle for publicity, public support and legitimacy’ (cited above as the subtitle of the ‘Terrorists on Trial’ project),[58] serves a very specific purpose, viz., to replace legality by emotional mobilisation, which already begins with the political or military intervention itself.

In the end we are looking at the extraterritorial application of a humanitarian re-interpretation of international law that is simultaneously an extension, by extraterritorial application, of American legal practice. This can be seen in the extension of the role of the prosecutor as a manager of public opinion. In the United States, prosecutors enjoy ‘exorbitant privileges’, whilst their ‘incendiary press conferences’ to build their case prior to the actual court session, contribute to a prejudicial climate against the accused. These in turn are subject to the humiliating practice of having their full names and portraits disseminated to the public prior to conviction, in a mockery of the presumption of innocence.[59] This is exactly what the JIT has been doing with its highly suggestive press conferences, rich in video animations, but poor in actual evidence and steadfastly followed, even after five years, by a call for witnesses. In its press conference of June 2019, the JIT published the names and pictures of three Russians and one Ukrainian who stand accused of mass murder on account of telephone intercepts. All this was based on a particular narrative in which the downing of MH17 was inserted into a narrative of a ‘Russian invasion’, downplaying the series of events that led to the breakaway of Crimea and the armed uprising in the Donbass. Only thus could the consensus of Russian guilt, played out in the sense of a Debord ‘spectacle’, be maintained. In this respect the equally illegal NATO intervention in Yugoslavia and the subsequent Yugoslavia tribunal were constructed around the one-sided notion of ‘Serbian guilt’, the Rwanda tribunal around Hutu perpetrators, and so on.

Below I sum up the main characteristics of three international criminal trials as a continuation of (different degrees of) Western intervention, and the one-sided verdicts that resulted. It must be feared that this will also happen in the MH17 case (Table 1).

 

Table 1. Three Precedents of the MH17 Court Case

 

Special court Context of criminal acts Western intervention … …in support of

(immunity from prosecution for)

Politically

targeted side

Prosecuted side (individuals from)
Yugoslavia tribunal Violent dissolution of federation, ethnic cleansing Arms supplies, NATO air wars

1990s

Croatia, Bosnian Muslims, Kosovo Liberation Army Bosnian Serbs, Serbia (mainly) Bosnian Serbs, Serbia
Rwanda tribunal Mass killings amidst ethno-political strife Invasion from Uganda & Tutsi seizure of power, withdrawal of UN forces 1990s Pro-Western Tutsi RPF Hutu gov’t, army Hutu government, army
Lockerbie court case US search for hostages in Israeli-occupied    Lebanon DEA/CIA involvement with drug lords

1980s

Drugs, arms dealers from Syria, Iran Libya

 

 

(regime change 2011)

Libya

 

 

MH17 court case Break-up of country, civil war Preparation & direction of seizure of power

2014

Ukrainian nationalists & fascists Pro-Russian separatistsRussia Pro-Russian separatists, Russia

 

 

 

There was also the International Criminal Court, which only convicted Africans, but it considered many separate cases not easily summed up in this way, and there were the Special Court for Sierra Leone, the Special Panels (in East Timor), and the tribunal for Cambodia. In all cases the same structure, that the politically targeted side becomes the prosecuted side in the juridical aftermath, whilst those supported are granted immunity from prosecution, can be detected. In the table are the cases I analyse in the present text and compare with the MH17 court case. As we will see, the Lockerbie case was special because the US search for hostages that got them involved with Syrian and Iranian drug lords active in Lebanon, and the downing of the PanAm flight in 1988, occurred when the existence of the Soviet Union still limited the possibility of Western regime change in countries allied formally or informally with the USSR, or in avowed neutrals. Hence the ‘postponement’ of the Libyan regime change to 2011.

  1. The NATO Intervention in Yugoslavia and the Yugoslavia Tribunal

 

If we want to grasp the significance of the events surrounding the violent dissolution of Yugoslavia for understanding the trial of the alleged perpetrators of the downing of Flight MH17, we must recognise the similarities between the (illegal) Western intervention and the subsequent criminal trial of those resisting that intervention. In the case of Ukraine, the intervention consisted of the US and EU interference in the country’s internal affairs to prevent Eurasian integration with Russia, culminating in the US-supported, armed seizure of power in February 2014, followed by the break-up of the country along the Ukrainian-nationalist and federalist fault-lines, and war against the Donbass rebellion.

In Yugoslavia, intervention consisted of an actual NATO military operation, first in 1995 over Bosnia targeting the Bosnian Serbs, and then, in 1999, the NATO air war against Serbia and Montenegro in support of the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA). Yet the main target were Serbians, who were accused of genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity. At the origin of these crimes was an alleged project for a ‘Greater Serbia’, a charge in which we may recognise that the individualisation of criminal responsibility for what in reality are always collective acts, somehow must ascribe to these individuals some grandiose criminal project; in Rwanda it would be the planned mass murder of Tutsi’s. In both cases it turned out this ultimately could not be proved.

In both the break-up of Yugoslavia and that of Ukraine the large continental EU countries (Germany, France, and Italy) were inclined to a more conciliatory attitude in the original conflict, even though Germany precipitated the Yugoslav collapse by recognising Croatian and Slovenian secession without proper guarantees for Serbians and other minorities. Yet in both cases, it was the Anglo-US combination that drove through the anti-Serbian/anti-Russian line over such (in Germany’s case, belated) hesitations. In Yugoslavia this happened when the US recognised the secession of Bosnia and NATO unleashed limited air strikes against Bosnian Serbs in 1995 and a full-scale air war against Serbia and Montenegro in 1999, in which the first signs of future aggression against Russian and Chinese interests were evident as well.

Bosnia was at the heart of the ethno-cultural dividing lines the Yugoslav communist leadership had to deal with. Already during the guerrilla war against the Nazi occupiers from which it emerged victorious, the Tito leadership decided that to prevent Serbian predominance in Yugoslavia as in the interwar years, the territory of Serbia proper should be reduced so that Serbians would also come to live in, notably, Bosnia and Croatia. Even in Serbia itself, two autonomous regions were created, Vojvodina for the Hungarian nationality and Kosovo for the Albanians in the south. The main cultural dividing lines in Yugoslavia were between Slovenia and Croatia, which prior to 1918 had been part of the (Roman Catholic) Austro-Hungarian empire, and Serbia, which had early on liberated itself from the Ottomans and was Christian Orthodox; and between all these nationalities and the Muslims of Bosnia (once a frontier bulwark of the Ottoman empire) and Kosovo.

When Tito died in 1980, the country’s financial situation came into the open and the Federation had to find ways of servicing a debt of $20 billion, one year after the US ended dollar inflation by raising real interest rates. Faced with stringent austerity measures, powerful centrifugal forces were unleashed, led by new privatising propertied classes often working with Western partners, and criminal elements.[60] The West initially was unanimous about keeping Yugoslavia’s federal unity intact, if only because the chances that the country would be able to service its debt, were greatest as a functioning entity. However, the Vatican, Austria and Germany, notably catholic Bavaria, were receptive to Slovenian and Croatian secession. In response, a new Serbian leadership under Slobodan Milošević, a former banker seeking to introduce capitalist reforms, mobilised the Yugoslav worker base amidst long-simmering anxieties in the population over the wartime genocide of Serbs now that a new, nationalist Croatian leadership appeared to condone wartime fascism. In 1989 Milošević became president of the federation, which was then sliding towards dissolution. When Germany unilaterally recognised the secession of Slovenia and Croatia in December 1991, the United States responded by recognising the Muslim government of Bosnia whilst siding with the radical separatists of Kosovo in an obvious attempt to restore some prestige in the Muslim world after the First Gulf War, and also rein in German influence.[61] At the Brussels NATO summit in April 1992, the Bush administration obtained the allies’ consent with this fateful step. Encouraged by Washington, the Muslim government promptly mobilised against the Serbs, obtaining support from a range of Islamic countries, and turning Bosnia into the key battleground of the Yugoslav civil war and target of NATO intervention in 1995. The massacre of Muslim men by Bosnian Serb militia at Srebenica would be one of the consequences of this constellation of forces.[62]

After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the United Sates not only proceeded to set itself up as the supreme source of human rights, but also indicated it would not tolerate political-economic contenders any longer, neither from among the former communist world now converting to (state) capitalism, nor from nominal allies, certainly not reunified Germany. In a draft Defence Planning Guidance (DPG) for the Fiscal Years 1994-1999, which was modified later but continues to inspire US strategy well into the 21st century, it was claimed that the United States should ‘sufficiently account for the interests of the advanced industrial nations to discourage them from challenging our leadership or seeking to overturn the established political and economic order’. This then would again include the aspect of justice, for what was most important, the DPG claimed, is ‘the sense that the world order is ultimately backed by the U.S.’[63] Thus the directive role that the US would assume with regard to the prosecution of suspects from the ranks of those resisting its declared pre-eminence, was part of a larger strategy.

Following Bill Clinton’s re-election in 1996, UN ambassador Madeleine Albright was promoted to Secretary of State. She would play the role in the Yugoslav collapse that Hillary Clinton would later play with respect to regime changes in Libya and Ukraine (although she resigned before the actual take-over there). In Albright’s case the Yugoslav crisis was turned into a moral drama in which Milošević was cast as a latter-day Hitler and ‘genocide’ became a term loosely applied to vigilante atrocities. Social Democratic governments elected one after another in France, Britain and Germany in the same period proved more inclined to support Washington’s human rights rhetoric than their conservative predecessors. Washington in turn used the Balkans situation to discipline the NATO allies, pressuring chancellor-elect Schröder and his Green foreign secretary Joschka Fischer to agree to a NATO campaign against rump-Yugoslavia without a UN mandate. Although other NATO countries, even Blair’s Britain, wanted a Security Council mandate for war, Madeleine Albright skilfully manoeuvred the alliance into actual operations without one, earning the label ‘Madeleine’s war’ for the ensuing NATO operations.[64] The air war over Kosovo then  entailed the inevitable war crimes such as the bombing of the Serb TV station, use of cluster bombs and depleted uranium, the mass displacement of civilians in Kosovo, bombing of bridges over the Danube far away from the contested province, and much more.[65]

Crucially, when European resistance to the NATO campaign began to mount due to the growing list of war crimes (‘collateral damage’), the chief prosecutor of the Yugoslavia Tribunal, Louise Arbour, a personal friend of Albright’s (she would later become a member of the Canadian Supreme Court), was provided with NATO satellite images to back up a claim that not the Atlantic alliance, but Milošević and a handful of fellow Serbian leaders were the war criminals. The timely indictment of the Serbian leadership had the effect of suspending all diplomatic dealings with the Yugoslav state.[66] This takes us to the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia, which was meant to become the showcase of international criminal justice even though it was set up to provide the illegal NATO intervention in the dissolution of the federation with a legal veneer and would end with the death of Milošević in his cell in the Netherlands.

 

The International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia

 

The ICTY and the subsequent tribunal for Rwanda, where a bloodbath took place in 1994 that killed hundreds of thousands of people, were instituted by the UN Security Council in 1993 and 1994. The UNSC has this prerogative under Chapter VII, article 29 of the UN Charter which regulates the right to use force to prevent aggression and preserve the peace. Hence these tribunals are part of the international police role of the Security Council and they cannot therefore be neutral; that would only be possible if the tribunal would be instituted by a treaty.[67] They are therefore, as noted already, the continuation of intervention and regime change by different means.

At first sight, the Yugoslavia tribunal (ICTY), established by UN Security Council resolution 827 (May 1993) appears to continue the line of development that runs from Nuremberg, even taking into account the Vietnam tribunal. However, the rise to global pre-eminence of the United States following the Soviet demise fuelled a desire to ‘constrain national politics and advance a human rights-oriented conception of international society.’[68] Hence the ICTY’s mandate includes war crimes and crimes against humanity, but not crimes against the peace; in addition, only individuals can be brought to trial, not states, organisations, or legal persons. In other words, the criminal sphere itself has been refracted to the individual level, blotting out the sphere of structures, organisations, and states. By turning a blind eye to the fact that the NATO actions were illegal, the ICTY (and also subsequent tribunals and the ICC) had to develop a ‘substitute legality’ by which to judge the actions of its opponents.[69]

The West, already absolved of the charge of crimes against the peace, could not, as it turned out, be accused of war crimes either. Thus in the case of the bombing of the RTS studio in Belgrade, in which 16 civilians were killed for the sole purpose, as Amnesty International put it, ‘of disrupting Serb television broadcasts in the middle of the night for approximately three hours’, both Louise Arbour and her successor as chief prosecutor, Carla del Ponte, only conceded that ‘mistakes had been made’. When pressed on the issue,  an anonymous committee was established to investigate, but it concluded that there was ‘insufficient evidence’ of war crimes.[70] As David Wippman points out, ‘the Nuremberg, Yugoslavia, and Rwanda tribunals were all imposed on particular states by other states whose own actions would not be subject to scrutiny’.[71]

The mobilisation of public opinion that we have seen in the press conferences of the DSB and JIT in the case MH17, amplified by media reports and interviews, in the case of Yugoslavia was achieved by NATO press conferences. These concentrated on Serbian brutality amounting to war crimes, whilst downplaying actions by Croat or Bosnian Muslim forces, let alone NATO’s. Croats prosecuted were given very light sentences with an eye to reinforcing the position of the Croat government unwilling to extradite generals involved in the ethnic cleansing of Serbs from the Krajina in north-eastern Croatia.[72] Louise Arbour claimed that the Serbians under Milošević had conducted ethnic cleansing in Kosovo, causing the death of two hundred thousand civilians, although observers on the ground contradicted this claim. Forensic team leader Brian Strongman, whose group had discovered mass graves holding up to two hundred victims in Bosnia, declared that he and his colleagues had found nothing like that in Kosovo.[73]

The Yugoslavia Tribunal was a straightforward case of continuing the NATO intervention by legal means; at every step, the origins of the tribunal in US strategy relative to the Balkans (and indirectly, relative to German aspirations) were in evidence. Indeed as Jamie Shea, the NATO spokesman during the Kosovo intervention, stated at a press conference on 17 May, 1999, the costs of the ICTY were covered by the NATO countries which had also set up the tribunal.[74] On the other hand, concerning the complaint by the Yugoslav government against NATO, submitted to the International Court of Justice two weeks earlier on 29 April, the Court considered there was no case to answer because the United States is not a signatory to the Genocide Convention on which the main accusation was based.[75] Thus the victim of NATO aggression was denied legal redress.

In the post-Cold War world, the United States was and would remain the director and stage manager of international criminal trials, often assisted by Britain and Canada and occasionally by France and the Netherlands. The impunity granted to the NATO countries demonstrated the extent to which the R2P doctrine represents a repudiation of the prohibition of war established by Nuremberg. By removing the crime against the peace for the West, the post-1991 ‘humanitarian turn’ (taking the place of the wars fought against communism rarlier such as Vietnam) also effectively ended the UN prohibition of violating state sovereignty.

 

Extradition, Trial and Death of Milošević

 

One of the most disconcerting aspects of international criminal law is the fate of those prosecuted and then acquitted. This concerns both the selectivity of the categories of alleged perpetrators, and more particularly, the fate of those whose guilt could not be established and who should accordingly have been released from custody, indemnified, or whatever would have been appropriate. As noted, the specific weakness of these tribunals has been the requirement to amplify individual guilt to make it fit into collective actions that constitute mass violence and war. Hence the accusation of grand conspiracies that in the end could not be proven because they did not exist.

In the case of the Yugoslavia Tribunal this applies to the president of Yugoslavia, Slobodan Milošević. Milošević was found dead in his cell in Scheveningen near The Hague on 11 March 2006, after the main charge against him, that of harbouring a secret plan for a ‘Greater Serbia’, had to be dropped for lack of evidence, and with it, the accusation of genocide implicit in that scheme. Milošević had been indicted in May 1999, and a month later the US even put a $5 million bounty on his head. All on the assumption that all Serbians active in the disintegration process of the Yugoslav federation were ultimately under his command.[76]

Following on its earlier indictment, the ICTY issued arrest warrants of Milošević and four other Serbian leaders on 23 January 2001. To this the US attached the condition that IMF and World Bank credit would only be granted after Milošević would have been extradited, with a deadline set for 31 March. Milošević, who had resigned the previous October to avoid a colour revolution turning into a civil war, was arrested on behalf of the new (rump-) Yugoslav government of prime minister Zoran Djindić. On 28 June the Yugoslav Constitutional Court declared the government’s extradition decision invalid, a decision confirmed by president Kostunica. However, at 6 o’clock that same evening Milošević was told to pack his things and without even being allowed to inform his wife, was transported by an SFOR (NATO stabilisation force) helicopter to the Bosnian SFOR base of Tuzla, where he was officially informed of the charges against him—war crimes and genocide. Shortly after midnight, Milošević was delivered to The Hague where a notorious photo shows him being escorted, manhandled by two police officers, to his prison cell.[77] In Yugoslavia, the dramatic abduction caused a cabinet crisis. President Kostunica had to read the news in the newspaper, and several ministers resigned. Djindić had acted on his own, believing Western promises would vindicate him—only to conclude he had been tricked when it turned out that credits for Yugoslavia’s reconstruction were much reduced and Tito-era debt was deducted as well (in March 2003 he would be assassinated).

Meanwhile the trial began with revelations that were most painful for the prosecution. Milošević initially had been accused only of the ethnic cleansing of Kosovo, something that turned out difficult to prove, after which the charges were enlarged by including Bosnia and Croatia. His first statement was to deny the tribunal the right to judge him, and that the tribunal was only set up to provide the NATO war against Serbia with a legal cover. Since his microphone was turned off when he began speaking, Milošević’s statement was passed on to a Belgrade newspaper which published it on 18 July 2001. Generally, the arguments of the accused in trials following Western intervention, considered ‘political’, are off-limits and the media have increasingly accepted this as well. However in the ICTY case, it was obvious early on that not all was going as planned. In the sessions of 24 to 27 July 2002, a former head of Serbian state security revealed under cross-examination that he had been promised immunity and a new identity if he would produce statements inculpating Milošević; if not, there would be ‘consequences’. In February 2004 Dutch newspapers reported that the trial was in disarray and on 28 February NRC-Handelsblad headlined ‘Case against Milošević “Falls Apart”’.[78]

In August 2005 the prosecutor, Geoffrey Nice, announced that Milošević would no longer be prosecuted for his presumed intent to establish a Greater Serbia by violent means. By removing this element, on the basis of which Milošević had been cast as the head of a criminal organisation and from which a whole series of subsidiary crimes had been derived, the entire complex of charges unravelled. On 28 November, after three years of trial and less than three months before his death, Milošević asked the judges what he actually was still charged with.[79] Up to that point the former Yugoslav president had produced evidence (mainly on the basis of testimony of Western witnesses) that the humanitarian catastrophe in Kosovo had been caused by NATO bombing and that until that time, it was the Kosovo Liberation Army that had committed war crimes.

In the meantime, as reported by his Dutch lawyer, Steijnen, several incidents had happened that began to raise doubts about whether Milošević was being consciously weakened to undermine his defence, or worse. On 1 September 2004, he himself told the judges how his food had been wrongly given to another prisoner, causing a lot of commotion although the food did not look any different from the meal intended for him. In fact on 23 November 2002 NRC-Handelsblad already published a report headlined ‘Milošević Was Given Wrong Medicine’. However, all his complaints and requests to be examined by independent medical experts were rejected. Russian experts travelled to The Hague to examine him and offered to treat him in their clinic in Moscow under a Russian government guarantee he would be brought back, but this too was denied.[80]

The incident with the confusion of dinners in 2004 happened just after the doctors had declared him sufficiently fit to conduct his own defence, only to state the opposite briefly after, causing him to be assigned a lawyer against his preferences (an amicus curiae, ‘friend of the court’ procedure); it was only after witnesses refused to testify under these circumstances that Milošević was allowed to conduct his own defence again.[81]

In January 2006 rifampicine was found in his blood, a medicine to treat lepra and tuberculosis and which happens to neutralise the medication Milošević took to control his high blood pressure and cardiovascular problems. The medical report on this was withheld for two months, whereas normally Milošević received his medical reports without delay.[82] All this happened at a stage in the trial where Milošević was not only gaining the upper hand but also, by calling scores of witnesses from NATO countries, might cause irreparable reputation damage to the West. On 8 March, one day after the rifampicine report had finally got to him, Milošević wrote a letter to the Russian government expressing his suspicion that his health was being consciously undermined; the rejection by the court of his request to be examined in Moscow (other defendants had in fact been allowed to travel abroad for medical examinations) may have been motivated by the fact that specialists there would be able to confirm that. Three days later he was dead.[83]

 

The ICTY Precedent

 

The death of Milošević, whether by conscious neglect or worse, should serve as a warning for anyone placing his trust in the state of law supposedly prevailing in the West and in the Netherlands in particular. Once targeted on geopolitical grounds and subjected to sanctions, regime change operations of various types, or overt military intervention, anyone on the receiving end would be well advised to stay away and take precautions against abduction, even by one’s own government as happened in the case of the former Yugoslav president. The effect of the ICTY and subsequent international criminal trials was to set a false precedent, the ‘Kosovo precedent’. Not a proper legal precedent, but the ‘open abandonment of legality itself as a fundamental point of reference in international relations’.[84]

Under the influence of the United States, the Statute of the ICTY excluded the crime against the peace from being investigated. Milošević was not allowed to cross-examine about the NATO war against Yugoslavia. An important precedent relevant to the JIT case concerning MH17 was that the ICTY, on the recommendation of an expert committee reporting to the Office of the Prosecutor, ‘tended to assume that the NATO and NATO countries’ press statements are generally reliable and that explanations have been honestly given’.[85] The same sort of impunity would be awarded to the Ukrainian government installed by the coup of February 2014, also a potential suspect placed above the law and uniquely, even made part of the prosecution team with a right to veto.

The Kosovo precedent also resonated in the theatrical use of press conferences.

 

In the course of the war, the ICTY prosecutor made dramatic announcements against Serb leaders targeted by NATO, often at press conferences with NATO leaders; unveiled a secret indictment of President Milošević at a time when enthusiasm for the war was flagging in the West; and even assigned NATO the task of pursuing ICTY indictees.[86]

 

Already at the time of the Tokyo trial of Japanese war criminals, the question arose whether a decision by the US commander, general Douglas MacArthur, was a sufficient basis for justice. In the ICTY, no questions as to the basis of justice were asked any longer. This was pure victors’ justice based on a prior assumption of guilt for selected war crimes and crimes against humanity, on the part of those in violation of the Nuremberg Principle IV and the UN Charter, but considering themselves above the law.

This does not mean that those under attack should be absolved of responsibility for war crimes of crimes against humanity in the context of defending their country and its inhabitants. However, by excluding the crime against the peace, and thus justifying the right to go to war, the logical connection established at Nuremberg and in the UN Charter is broken. Indeed the entire constellation of forces involved in the outbreak of violence is reduced to the sole acts of those indicted after the victorious onslaught of the West, supposedly acting for humanity. Yet in the words of Peter Gowan, ‘we know enough about the dynamics of politics to be able to identify not only the perpetrators of atrocities, but the international actors who helped and continue to help create the conditions in which such perpetrators arise.’[87] Those who create the conditions—the structures and agents of transnational capital demanding ‘reform’, the West backing up capitalist discipline by economic warfare or military means—know this too. There is, therefore,

 

Something deeply disturbing about a system of Western power-politics which can casually and costlessly make a contribution to plunging [countries] into turmoil and wars, can then use these wars to further their geopolitical ends and then seek to make political capital out of War Crimes Court judgements of perpetrators of atrocities, while themselves refusing all responsibility.[88]

 

So even if the actual shift in the relations of power has removed, for the West,  the prohibition of crimes against the peace, effectively allowing regime change by force; the legal structures put in place simultaneously are meant to allow the West and especially the US, to assume the mantle of justice in its aftermath. The rule of law itself, in other words, must be suspended to allow its spread, which of course is a contradiction that should be challenged. The tribunals for which the ICTY served as a precedent, were left with only small windows to prosecute crimes because the West was absolved beforehand from the supreme crime of breaking the peace.

 

  1. The Rwanda Tribunal and the International Criminal Court

 

On  8 November 1994, the UN Security Council in Resolution 995 established the tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR). Like the Yugoslavia tribunal it was instituted under Chapter VII of the UN Charter and initially shared its chief prosecutor, Louise Arbour, with the ICTY. Again like its Yugoslav counterpart, the ICTR process created important precedents that bring out the flawed nature of international criminal justice following on illegal foreign intervention, in this case the Western-supported invasion of Rwanda from Uganda and the subsequent invasion by RPF-ruled Rwanda of the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Here too the roles of the United States and Britain were essential, as they would be with respect to the tribunal’s operations.

The Rwandan Patriotic Front of Paul Kagame was effectively granted immunity from prosecution, as were the Ukrainian ultra-nationalists and fascists brought to power in Kiev in February 2014 (they of course were even invited to be part of the prosecution in the case of MH17, which is an all-time novelty). One result of the ICTR was that it entailed the effective inculpation of the continent of Africa as the ultimate bedrock of international criminality, whereas in the same period the NATO intervention in Yugoslavia took place without a UN mandate, just as in 2003, the Anglo-American invasion of Iraq initiated a series of regime change operations. That the International Criminal Court, which should have covered all countries, only prosecuted and indicted Africans, was preordained by the Rwanda tribunal and by Anglo-America’s claim of moral superiority, exclusively entitling it to ‘humanitarian intervention’.

 

Rwanda and the Inculpation of Africa

 

Like the other cases, the dubious nature of the eventual criminal prosecution in the case of Rwanda was presaged by criminal violence and aggression by forces later exempted from prosecution. The former Belgian colony of Rwanda is inhabited by an originally agricultural, majority Hutu population and a once mainly pastoral Tutsi people, victims of persecution in the past. The event at the root of the eventual massacres of 1994 was the invasion by troops of the (Tutsi-dominated and English-speaking) RPF led by Paul Kagame, in October 1990. This invasion was launched from neighbouring Uganda, and was supported by that country and by the US and the UK. The RPF army (RPA) for all practical purposes was part of the Ugandan army; they wore Ugandan uniforms and Kagame himself had served as director of Ugandan military intelligence in the 1980s. France dispatched 600 paratroops to the capital Kigali to protect its citizens resident there. [89]

By the time of the Arusha Peace Accords of August 1993, imposed under US pressure on the government of Hutu president Juvénal Habyarimana, the RPF troops had occupied much of northern Rwanda and driven out several hundred thousand Hutu farmers. The Arusha agreement among other things required Rwanda to integrate the RPA into the Rwandan army. In contrast to the prompt response by the UN Security Council to Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait, the Council did not respond to the RPF invasion until October 1993, after the Arusha Accords, when it dispatched an observer mission, UNOMOR, expected to comprise 5,500 men once fully operational. In December, France withdrew its troops again.[90] The Arusha agreement also included a commitment to new elections in 1995, but since the Tutsi represent only 15 percent of the population and given the resentment over the RPA invasion and the subsequent eviction of Hutus, this was not an attractive prospect for Kagame’s RPF.

In April 1994, RPF commandos shot down the plane carrying Habyarimana, his Burundian counterparty, Cyprien Ntaryamira, and the commander of the Rwandan army along with the entire delegation to the Arusha negotiations. Within two hours after the downing, 50,000 RPF soldiers moved into action on two fronts. Hutu extremists responded by massacres in which the population took part on a large scale, using French arms stockpiled in advance; hundreds of thousands perished (precise figures remain disputed), but the US and Britain still refused to speak of ‘genocide’ (which would have required an intervention) and the Security Council even reduced the strength of UNOMOR to less than 500 men over the protest of Secretary-General Boutros Boutros-Ghali.[91]

In July 1994, the RPF prevailed over the forces of the Habyarimana government and took Kigali. The US response followed promptly: by the end of the month Washington had recognised the RPF government, this time dispatching US troops and large-scale aid to Kigali.[92] The RPF aim was the ethnic cleansing of Hutus from the area adjacent to Tutsi-majority Burundi; millions of Hutus sought refuge in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) as the Kagame forces, the ‘heroes of the story’ for putting out the flames of genocide, in turn committed crimes against humanity too.  Gérard Prunier speaks of a ‘deliberate policy of terror which allowed a new power, both ethnically and politically a minority, to impose itself’. Hutus in all likelihood were the most numerous among the victims in the massacres and the RPF terror combined, ruling out a straightforward attribution of guilt to one ethnic group.[93] This then was the case placed before the Rwanda tribunal.

Yet the ICTR proceeded on the basis of a narrative which had the RPF fighting a government and army carrying out a well-planned genocide of Tutsis, not unlike the plan for a ‘greater Serbia’ attributed to Milošević. With US and British support, former Rwandan government and military leaders were arrested in various places and delivered to the seat of ICTR, also in Arusha, Tanzania.[94] Under the principle of judicial notice, the genocide was also declared non-international, which made evidence to the contrary inadmissible, even though the RPF invasion was launched from Uganda, and was followed by an invasion by Rwandan forces into the DRC.[95]

The RPF was effectively granted immunity from the start; not one of its members would be prosecuted by the ICTR. When in 1997 one of the investigators working for the prosecution, Michael Hourigan, found conclusive evidence that the RPF had shot down the plane of president Habyarimana, his inquiry was stopped by Louise Arbour, and his career terminated. A French investigation into the death of the French crew of the downed jet came to the conclusion that Kagame had to get Habyarimana and the Arusha Peace Accords out of the way to realise his aim, a seizure of power in Rwanda. The court’s request to the ICTR to prosecute Kagame was not followed up though.[96]

In 2000 Carla del Ponte was installed as the new prosecutor at the ICTR (and simultaneously at the ICTY). When she decided to broaden her investigation on behalf of the latter to NATO war crimes (when she had not yet been appointed chief prosecutor), she also wanted to begin an investigation into the role of the RPF for the ICTR. In 2000 she publicly stated that the RPF had shot down the government plane and that the history of the Rwandan massacres would have to be rewritten. In response the Kagame government took steps to prevent witnesses against the RPF from reaching the ICTR.[97]

In the case of MH17, the Ukrainian authorities brought to power by the US in the armed coup of February 2014 were likewise awarded immunity from prosecution, indeed they were even included in the criminal investigation. In the case of Rwanda, things never reached that stage but when it appeared that Del Ponte wanted to prosecute Kagame’s RPF, the American prosecutor for the ICTR in Arusha, Michael Johnston, in September 2002 put a stop to that prosecution without notifying her. When three months later Del Ponte ordered it to be resumed, the US Ambassador-at-Large for War Crimes Issues, Pierre Prosper, told her to discontinue any investigations into the RPF/RPA.[98] When she refused, the Security Council under US and British pressure decided to split the prosecutor’s office of the ICTR from that of the ICTY in September 2003. In a cable made public by Wikileaks, the US ambassador reported on a conversation with the ICTR president, judge Theodor Meron, in which Meron recommended that Del Ponte should not be renewed as prosecutor given how she had come to understand her role. A Gambian lawyer, Hassan Bubacar Jallow, appointed in her place, did not prosecute either the RPF or RPA for its crimes either.[99]

When Del Ponte later wrote a book about her experiences, she revealed that the Rwandan authorities kept a close watch on every step of the investigation. They were actually supplied by the Americans with equipment to monitor telephone calls, faxes and Internet traffic. In addition Rwandan intelligence had agents in the interpreter team and among other personnel of the Office of the Prosecutor in Kigali.[100] Thus the Rwandan Patriotic Front, the victorious party that took power in the wake of the massacres and imposed its own dictatorship by terror, secured its immunity from prosecution to the detail, assisted throughout by the United States and Britain.[101] Even though it was never given a mandate for such a selective prosecution, the Security Council did not hold the tribunal accountable for the fact it only prosecuted Hutu suspects. Even after the RPF invaded the eastern DRC, where it linked up with its local proxy, the M23 militia, this did not change. Not content with exculpating the RPF-RPA-M23 bloc, the ICTR went even further when it decreed that Rwanda could henceforth hold its own trials.[102] This gesture would later be repeated in the case of Libya, when the ICC, after first having inculpated Gaddafi and his sons, after the regime change suddenly made it known that the new authorities could be trusted to prosecute the surviving Gaddafi son, Saif al-Islam (cf. below). In other words, justice is in safe hands once ‘our’ side, the pro-Western forces, are in control.

Chief Taku concludes in his contribution to Justice Belied that the ICTR established a new concept of international law, viz., ‘genocidal, ethnic-based justice’. Instead of prosecuting those who had targeted their victims on the basis of their ethnicity, one category of perpetrators were prosecuted on the basis of their ethnicity. This established the myth of the Hutus as sole perpetrators, with dire consequences of their civil rights henceforth; and the Tutsi as sole victims.[103] ‘The moment the RPF seized power, the US gave them immediate recognition. They chose the strongman [Kagame] over the Arusha Peace Accord and arranged for the defeated government to go to the Arusha court.’ So what about the plan for the genocide?

 

All these years of imprisonment later, the courts have not found a conspiracy or orders to commit genocide. Supporters of the Arusha Peace Accord have been doing time, while a military adventurer, personally advised by former British Prime Minister Tony Blair, rules Rwanda, intervenes in Congo, assassinates opponents, and receives foreign admirers in Kigali.[104]

 

In a further confirmation that the treatment of Milošević by the ICTY was not an isolated incident, the fate of those whom the ICTR was not able to convict was equally appalling. Most acquitted remained in semi-detention in Arusha nevertheless, mocking the idea of a fair trial. In line with the idea of victors’ justice backed up by the US as the political director of the tribunal, ‘the prosecution served as a lifeline with which the Rwandan Patriotic Front consolidated its grip on power, ensured its political survival, and settled political and ethnic scores.’[105] Although the idea of a conspiracy, as with the alleged plot to create a Greater Serbia, fell through, its alleged architects were kept imprisoned. One of them, Protais Zigiranyirazo, was kept in detention for nine years before being cleared. The fate of other ‘conspirators’ was similar and besides their imprisonment, they were also not returned to Belgium (where they had been arrested)[106] Indeed in a direct repeat of Milošević’s fate, Dr Jean-Bosco Barayagwiza, who had been part of a Rwandan government delegation to the UN to plead for an intervention to save lives and guarantee the Arusha Peace Accord, died in prison.[107]

The ICTR in the end did not convict a single Hutu of the nation-wide conspiracy to commit genocide, allegedly agreed in April 1994. After seven-and-a-half years of trial of four high-ranking Hutu members of Rwandan army, all four were acquitted.[108] Yet the immunity of the RPF remained intact. When in 2006, a French magistrate again initiated legal proceedings against the presumed perpetrators of the downing of Habyarimana’s presidential plane, the Kagame government broke off relations with France, repaired only by Sarkozy four years later, with dire consequences for further legal procedure.[109]

Only when the Security Council established the International Residual Mechanism for International Criminal Tribunals in July 2012, the possibility of the ICTR to indict suspects was suspended. With it the impunity of the RPF and its ability to arrange the prosecution of its enemies should have ended as well. Thus the West and the RPF ‘lost a valuable tool of their Great Lakes, East, and Central Africa geopolitical strategy’, a loss partly compensated (for crimes committed after 2002) by the ICC’s enhanced prosecution of Rwandan Hutu perpetrators of war crimes, who no longer fell under the ICTR’s jurisdiction.[110] By declaring the genocide an internal affair and leaving out the causes of the extreme violence in Rwanda (the RPF invasion and the downing of the presidential plane), casting it instead as a planned genocide of Tutsis by Hutus, the ICTR failed in its mission. In fact, as the work of Judi Rever, based almost entirely on RPF and internal ICTR sources, has documented, there was a conscious RPF policy to exterminate the Hutus[111]. Yet the ICTR left behind a narrative of a Hutu genocide of Tutsis and few among those who still remember the events, would be able to dissent from that account, or even connect the tragedy to the prior invasion from Uganda and the subsequent war in mineral-rich eastern Congo with its death toll of an estimated four million. Nevertheless Kagame is showered with honorary doctorates in the United States and invited for lectures in places like the Oxford University business school—all thanks to the impunity awarded to him by the ICTR.[112]

There is no Dutch connection to the ICTR as there was in the Yugoslavia tribunal, the Lockerbie case, or the MH17 investigation, prosecution and trial, except for some Dutch investigators helping to gather evidence against minor suspects.[113] However it is worth citing the letter of resignation of the Belgian academic and expert witness, Filip Reyntjens, to the chief prosecutor of the ICTR, in which he took issue with the impunity protecting the RPF. As Reyntjens wrote,

 

[RPF] crimes fall squarely within the mandate of the ICTR. They are well documented, testimonial and material proof is available, and the identity of the RPF suspects is known… It is precisely because the regime in Kigali had been given a sense of impunity that, during the years following 1994, it has committed massive internationally recognized crimes in both Rwanda and the DRC.[114]

 

Had the ICTR done its duty, it would have prosecuted RPF members for crimes against humanity too, ‘and the special “heroic” status [of Kagame and his party] would have been undermined’.[115] In the same vein, one of the clear dangers of an MH17 trial on the current evidentiary basis is that it would enshrine the innocence of the Ukrainian coup regime as part of official history and set in stone a false, but ‘performative’ narrative enacted in a one-sided, theatrical prosecution. The ability of Kagame, wearing the ‘mask of virtue’ granted him by the ICTR, to ‘vet and choose who can serve in public life’ in Rwanda, would be repeated in Ukraine if a verdict of the Dutch court in the MH17 case would likewise exculpate and leave moral authority with the regime in Kiev.

 

The International Criminal Court (ICC)

 

In the slipstream of the Rwanda tribunal, the International Criminal Court has proven to be primarily if not exclusively a court to prosecute and convict Africans.[116] This is far from self-evident because the 2002 Rome Treaty establishing the ICC ‘potentially subjects nationals from all states to scrutiny and possible criminal prosecution.’[117]

However, chief among states refusing its jurisdiction over their citizens (which also include Israel, Sudan, and a few others) the United States has sought exemptions for its military. Right in 2002 the US Congress adopted the American Service-Members’ Protection Act to ‘protect United States military personnel and other elected and appointed officials of the United States government against criminal prosecution by an International Criminal Court to which the United States is not party’. The act earned its nickname ‘Hague Invasion Act’ because of the provision allowing the President to use military force to liberate any American or citizen of a US-allied country held by the court in The Hague.[118] Eventually Washington concluded a long series of bilateral treaties with countries ensuring no US subject will ever appear before it.

The US attitude was already well brought out when Washington called for an international tribunal to try the surviving members of the Khmer Rouge of Cambodia for war crimes, but demanded that it restrict its work to the period 1975-79; excluding, as a result, the period of the US decision to widen the war to Cambodia and the carpet bombing that killed an estimated three-quarters of a million people, amounting to crimes against the peace and war crimes; and also the period when the US actually collaborated with the Khmer Rouge against Vietnam and thus became an accomplice of its crimes against humanity.[119]

As to the focus on Africa, Chief Taku writes that in spite of the claim by the  ICC’s prosecutor, Fatou Bensouda, that she will protect victims wherever they may be threatened, it would seem the ICC mainly serves to shield ‘warmongers, Western economic predators, arms-dealers, and Western-protected promoters of the culture of impunity’.

 

Over the decade of the existence of the ICC, victims of war crimes, crimes against humanity, and other international violations have been crying relentlessly for prosecutorial intervention, from the streets of Gaza, the forests of Sri Lanka, the towns and villages of Iraq, the hills and villages of Afghanistan, to the forests of Colombia and Guatemala.[120]

 

It is not only the United States that is guilty of directing the focus of ICC prosecution on Africa. In fact, the provision in the ICC statute that the UN Security Council may make referrals to the court, tends to shift its attention to the weakest part of the geopolitical economy, Africa.[121] Only the United States has a special military command for Africa, ‘Africom’, established in 2008 but unable to be headquartered there until the removal of Muammar Gaddafi from power in Libya in 2011. By a strategy of identifying ‘terror threats’ the Pentagon would hen secure military access to the different states on the African continent. By 2014, only Zimbabwe, Eritrea and Sudan had no dealings with Africom through training, aid, or otherwise.[122]

ICC prosecutor Moreno Ocampo would later express his confidence in the post-Gaddafi forces enthroned by the NATO regime change intervention by declaring them capable of prosecuting Gaddafi’s son Saif al-Islam themselves (cf. below). However,  with respect to Kenya, he denied that that country was able to sort out the troubles after violence following elections in 2007. Chief Taku concludes from Ocampo’s attitude that he apparently considered that ‘African countries in which the ICC intervened had surrendered their sovereignty to the ICC’. Besides meddling in Kenya, two politicians from Côte d’Ivoire, Laurent Gbagbo and Charles Blé Goudé, were arrested in 2011, only to be summarily acquitted in 2019 after almost eight years’ detention. The humiliating treatment of Africa has given rise to calls for the continent to set up its own war crimes court through the African Union. However, the African Court on Human and People’s Rights, meant to fill the gap, would demonstrate an ‘alarming timidity’, effectively allowing African dictators a free hand against their subjects.[123]

Justice through special tribunals did not in practice contribute to closure and even less to reconciliation. Thus in the case of Sierra Leone, the United Nations through a treaty with Sierra Leone created a tribunal in 2000. The tribunal prosecuted different parties involved in civil war, but also president Charles Taylor of Liberia. Yet Taylor in fact contributed to the peace process in Sierra Leone that led to the Lomé peace accord of July 1999. Even so he was indicted, tried and convicted. As it turns out, closure and peace are actually much better served by the Truth and Reconciliation commissions as they were set up in Sierra Leone as well as in South Africa and Liberia, than by criminal justice under Western auspices.[124]

Taken together, the experience of the war crimes’ tribunals that prosecuted individuals responsible for war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide, but absolved those guilty of starting wars in the first place, is profoundly unsatisfactory. It has made the return to the Nuremberg principles more urgent than ever, but so far there has only been one instance, again private, to achieve that goal—the Malaysia War Crimes Tribunals.

 

 

 

 

A Return to Nuremberg? Malaysia’s War Crimes Tribunal

 

Echoing the Vietnam Tribunals at Stockholm and Roskilde in the 1960s, another initiative to fill a gap in international legal practice, also private but much closer to state power, was the Kuala Lumpur Initiative to Criminalise War. The initiative was taken by the Perdana Global Peace Foundation, set up in 2005 by Dr Mahathir Mohamad, who had been prime minister of Malaysia from 1981 to 2003. The foundation’s goal was to restore the Nuremberg rule that going to war for other reasons than self-defence was a crime against the peace, established by the Nuremberg trials as the supreme war crime from which all others follow. As founder and chairman of the Perdana Foundation, Mahathir wanted to initiate a ‘sustained struggle against war’, on the grounds that ‘it would be morally reprehensible for us to stand by and just watch people being killed while whole nations are being turned into battlefields and reduced to rubble.’[125] The Kuala Lumpur Initiative in fact goes further than Nuremberg by also looking at ‘economic processes which underlie the war economy’ and explicitly criminalises ‘all commercial, financial, industrial, and scientific activities that aid and abet war.’[126]

To prosecute such acts of war, the Kuala Lumpur Tribunal for War Crimes and the War Crimes Commission were instituted, and a number of cases opened for prosecution. The initial prosecution over the invasion of Iraq inculpated the US administration, inviting it to defend the actions of George W. Bush, Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld and the Attorney General, Albert Gonzales. The charges were communicated to the accused through the US embassy in Kuala Lumpur; in the absence of the accused, the amicus curiae procedure for the defence was followed.

The trial took two years, in which the tribunal heard witnesses giving testimony about the Abu Ghraib prison, about the punitive operation against the city of Fallujah, and also on the prison camp of Guantánamo. Ali Shalal, a professor of theology sent to Abu Ghraib, and whose image (hidden under a hood whilst being tortured) went all over the world, was one of the key witnesses for the prosecution. The Malaysian judges all had been active as judges before; one was a member of the Supreme Court of Malaysia; one or more foreign judges also participated throughout the sessions.[127] In November 2011 the tribunal unanimously arrived at the verdict that George W. Bush and Tony Blair by their decision to invade Iraq were guilty of crimes against the peace, crimes against humanity, and genocide. The judges ruled that the names of Bush and Blair be inscribed in the register of war criminals kept by the Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Commission and that the verdict be reported to the International Criminal Court in The Hague.[128]

In his memoirs, Mahathir relates how he initially was favourably impressed by Blair, but in the financial crisis of 1997-98 had been left out in the cold; then on the issue of going to war with Iraq on a false pretext, the British prime minister (like John Howard of Australia) sided with Bush. This made Mahathir lose all respect for Blair: ‘I now regard him as a war criminal who should be tried as the German and Japanese leaders were tried and punished after World War II.’[129] Since these leaders were hanged, this statement obviously did not go down well given that Blair continues to enjoy celebrity status as an elder statesman in the West.

In November 2013, the Kuala Lumpur Tribunal also condemned the state of   Israel for genocide of the indigenous Palestinian population in the areas occupied by the Israeli state since its foundation and after 1967. Three issues were specifically addressed: Sabra and Shatila, where Israeli troops under the command of Ariel Sharon allowed Lebanese Falangists to enter Palestinian refugee camps and massacre its inhabitants, and Gaza and the West Bank, on the basis of testimony going back to different periods.[130]

Once again, the views of Mahathir were an important source of inspiration. In October 2003, briefly before he stepped down as prime minister after 22 years (in which he had presided over Malaysia’s modernisation and international reorientation in ways not ingratiating him to the West), Mahathir gave a speech to the 10th summit of the Organisation of the Islamic Conference, which he chaired at the time. His avowed aim at the OIC event, hosted by Malaysia, was to inspire Muslims now that they had been identified as the target in the ‘War on Terror’ after 9/11. After the invasion of Iraq it was obvious that this was not mere rhetoric. Mahathir’s speech, provoking fury over its alleged anti-Semitism, actually spoke admiringly of the tenacity the Jews as a people had shown in their resistance to oppression over the centuries; an attitude he held up to Muslims as an example to follow. However, he also noted that although the Jews had suffered the loss of half their entire number in the Second World War, they had come back strongly and ‘today they rule Israel with an iron hand and wield influence and authority in countries like the US’. As a result they also ‘rule the world by proxy. They get others to fight and die for them.’[131]

Clearly these were strong statements, which to Western ears sound uncannily close to traditional anti-Semitic tropes about a Jewish world conspiracy. But this does not mean that they are therefore mistaken. In the meantime, former Italian president Cossiga and many others including people of Jewish background, have made similar statements in relation to 9/11 and the ‘War on Terror’.[132] Mahathir’s vehemence must also be related to the fact that his domestic nemesis, Anwar Ibrahim, was close to neoconservative hawk Paul Wolfowitz. As Deputy Secretary of Defence under Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz played key roles in both 9/11 and the Iraq invasion; along with figures like Richard Perle, he is a key player in the belligerent, dual-national Zionist bloc linking the United States to Israel.

Against this background, Mahathir’s speech at the OIC was very badly received in the West, and the verdict condemning Israel for genocide by the Kuala Lumpur Tribunal was met with fury as well. It is a different matter to connect this verdict, in November 2013, to the fact that Malaysian Airlines lost two passenger planes, MH370 and MH17, four and eight months later, respectively. In my book I argue that it is unlikely that Malaysia’s independent course angering the West including Israel, would be a  direct cause of those tragedies. However, if we are looking at conscious decisions in one or both of these cases, the nationality of the plane(s) may have worked to lower a moral barrier in the context of a more complex causal structure n which many other factors too have played a role.[133] But this is speculative as long as we, in spite of the JIT claims in the case of MH17, do not know the full story. Yet the above is again relevant in judging the response in the West to Mahathir’s reservations concerning the responsibility of Russia for the downing.

  1. Lockerbie and Libya

 

The story of the Lockerbie trial, held to judge those suspected of the downing of a PanAm jet over the Scottish locality of that name on 21 December 1988, is that of a flagrant miscarriage of justice and another dark chapter in the history of international criminal law. The disaster had its origins in the shady world of Israel’s war against its neighbours and the way it manipulated the United States into complicity with it. It is also imbricated with the drugs trade, which as Peter Dale Scott has shown, has all along accompanied US foreign policy as a means of financing covert operations not authorised by Congress. In many cases, and also in this one, such doubtful, clandestine allies at some point became uncontrollable and turned against their former, covert paymasters.[134]

In the Lockerbie case it was not different. The foreign minister of Australia, Julie Bishop, suggested not long ago that a Lockerbie-style tribunal might be the solution for the MH17 case after her earlier proposal to adopt a Security Council resolution to establish an international war crimes tribunal on the issue, was vetoed by Russia.[135] Hence the Lockerbie case is as important as a precedent as the Yugoslavia one, and an equally distressing precedent at that.

In 1982, Israel invaded southern Lebanon, long coveted as part of the Holy Land, also for its fresh water resources and to destroy the PLO, which had found refuge there. After PLO leader Yasser Arafat had been chased from the country in August, Ariel Sharon allowed Falangist militia into the Palestinian refugee camps where they committed their massacre of civilians, as noted above. A US-French multinational force was deployed in Beirut to try and contain further excesses. In October 1983 241 US Marines perished in a suicide bomb attack; a subsequent attack on a French military contingent killed 56 soldiers. The attacks were ascribed to Lebanese Shia militia (who would form Hezbollah in 1986), but a former Mossad officer later revealed that Sharon did not want US and French forces there and that Israel at the least had advance knowledge.[136]

With the US officially disengaging to avoid further losses, Shia militants took or still held a number of American hostages (including the CIA station chief, kidnapped in early 1985). Washington in the circumstances decided to bribe them free by using the covert arms supply route to Iran (then in a murderous war with Iraq and in dire need of arms and spare parts), later exposed in the Iran-Contra scandal. In January 1986, Reagan authorised the deal; national security adviser McFarlane, Oliver North and a team of CIA agents went to Iran to hammer out the details. At the NSC North handled the transfer of spare parts and anti-tank missiles, working with Israeli, Iranian and other arms traders. The huge profits made on the secret arms deliveries to Iran were then used to fund the Contras in Nicaragua in spite of the congressional ban, in what William Casey called ‘the ultimate covert operation’.[137] The operation also soon became mired in the networks of drugs and arms trafficking and organised crime exploiting the poppy and hashish growing areas concentrated in the then Syrian-occupied Bekaa valley.[138]

When Reagan authorised the Iranian arms-for-hostages plan, US narcotics agents of the Drugs Enforcement Agency (DEA) had become deeply involved in the Lebanese drugs underworld, along with the CIA, also with the aim of obtaining the release of hostages. US businessman Ross Perot, one-time independent presidential candidate, member of the President’s Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board, and active in a number of US prisoners of war and hostage affairs, told vice-president George H.W. Bush that on his searches for prisoners, he kept ‘discovering the government has been moving drugs around the world and is involved in illegal arms deals… I can’t get at the prisoners because of the corruption among our own covert people.’[139]

In the series of events that ended with the blowing up of the PanAm plane over Lockerbie, agents of the Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA), dispatched to Lebanon to find hostages, ran into the CIA-DEA arms-for-drugs operation that was part of the Iran-Contra network. Inter-service rivalry along with genuine exasperation led to a decision to return and report to Washington. However, Iranians and Syrians close to the Assad family in power in Syria, had infiltrated the drugs route to the US run by the CIA-DEA. Concerned about exposure, they arranged to have the plane carrying the DIA team back to the US blown up. The disaster was conveniently pinned on Libya, keeping the CIA’s contacts in Syria and Iran away from public view.[140]

 

The Lockerbie Trial in the Netherlands

 

Right after downing, the United States as the home country of the plane and Britain as the country over which it was blown up, dispatched detectives who immediately engaged in an investigation. After three years this led to the warrant for the arrest of two Libyans in mid-November 1991: one issued by the sheriff of the Scots village of Dumfries, the other by a US grand jury in Washington , D.C.[141] So the accusation came, not from an international prosecution but from two enemies of Libya, both deeply involved in the Middle East quagmire, none more direcly than the United States.

Libya had offered to try the accused itself on the condition of being provided by the evidence. Because in the meantime a French passenger plane had been brought down over Chad, France joined the UK and US in demanding extradition of the suspects and got the UN Security Council to adopt a resolution (731) ‘requesting’ Libya to comply. When it didn’t, a new resolution made the request mandatory under Chapter VII of the UN Charter (Resolution 748), which imposed a range of sanctions, expanded in 1993 under UNSCR 883. Thanks to mediation by South African president Nelson Mandela (who had to remind Tony Blair of the separation of powers when he observed that in a case like Lockerbie, ‘no one nation should be complainant, prosecutor and judge’—a remark still valid regarding the MH17 trial), the solution of a Scottish court sitting in the Netherlands was agreed on. The court was established in accordance with United Nations Security Council Resolution 1192, and obtained its authority and full control of the premises for the duration of the trial under a special treaty between the UK and the Netherlands.[142]

Two Libyans were charged with 270 counts of murder in connection with the bombing of PanAm Flight 103 in a trial held in the old school building of a former USAF base, Camp Zeist, in the province of Utrecht. It began on 3 May 2000, eleven years and four months after the disaster. Cynthia P. Schneider, US ambassador to the Netherlands at the time, organised a reception for the victims’ families on the eve of the first session,[143] a gesture casting the United States as a compassionate supporter of justice whereas in reality, the tragedy had been the result of its covert operations in Lebanon. On 31 January 2001 the court convicted Abdelbaset al-Megrahi of 270 counts of murder, acquitting a second Libyan. Megrahi appealed but the appeal was rejected on 14 March 2002 and he was imprisoned in Greenock prison in Scotland. On 28 June 2007 the Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission granted Megrahi leave for a second appeal against conviction. After having served eight years in prison, and before his second appeal had been decided on, he was diagnosed with cancer and allowed to return to Libya where he died in 2012.[144]

Five years after the trial, the former Lord Advocate, Lord Fraser, who issued the arrest warrants in 1991, was reported to have doubts on the reliability of the main prosecution witness, and considering the evidence unsatisfactory. At the second appeal by Megrahi, UN Observer Dr Hans Köchler in a letter dated July 2008 accused the British government of ‘delaying tactics’. Two months later, Köchler protested that Megrahi was defended by a lawyer designated by the court (an amicus curiae arrangement), stating that ‘In no country can the situation be allowed where the accused or the appellant is not free to have his own defence team, and instead someone is imposed upon him’.[145]

The representative of the families of the British victims in fact declared that he thought Megrahi was innocent. UN observer Köchler in hindsight considered the trial politically influenced, in breach of the rule of law, leading to a ‘spectacular miscarriage of justice’ and in 2008 he claimed the entire process bore ‘the hallmarks of an “intelligence operation”.’ For those familiar with the background, this should not have come as a surprise. But then, a trial like this is not necessarily about justice.

The verdict of murder was in the first place a matter of framing Libya as a source of terrorism. That was also the view of law professor Robert Black, who had devised the non-jury trial in Camp Zeist (a Libyan condition). Black called the murder conviction ‘the most disgraceful miscarriage of justice in Scotland for 100 years’. In spite of all this, Libya paid compensation of £4.5 million ($8 million) to each family of the 270 victims, a total of £1.23 billion ($2.16 billion), in August 2003.[146]

No wonder the Australian minister of foreign affairs thought of the Lockerbie trial as the model for a trial of MH17. In that way the accusation of three Russians and an Ukrainian of 298 counts of murder should then ideally lead to compensation by Russia—except that Russia is not Libya and has learned to live with sanctions.

 

Aftermath

 

The subtext of the Lockerbie trial and the willingness of Libya to collaborate, was the role the trial played in allowing the country’s return into ‘the community of nations’, as one observer put it. In December 2003, the Bush Jr. administration, eight months after the Iraq invasion that no doubt intimidated all potential regime change target countries, announced it had reached agreement with Libya that weapons inspectors would be allowed in. This was followed by the surrender and dismantling of equipment potentially usable for the production of weapons of mass destruction. In September of the next year, the payments to the family members were made.[147]

However, all of Gaddafi’s concessions on his weapons programmes, and also his willingness to undergo the humiliation of the Lockerbie trial, entailing the damages paid for something the country was not responsible for, eventually proved to have been in vain. In 2011, on the basis of a UNSC resolution instituting a no-fly zone over Libya and mandating the ‘protection of the civilian population’ against government forces, NATO conducted an air war supporting the armed insurrection that led to regime change.

Mindful of the Kosovo precedent, the ICC in the midst of NATO operations indicted Gaddafi and his sons, thus closing off any negotiations and providing the war with a veneer of pseudo-legality. The indictment was supposedly based on prior investigations, whilst NATO was indiscriminately bombing the country for eight months with no objections of a legal nature. However, when Gaddafi was caught and eventually murdered in cold blood, the prosecutor, Mr Moreno Ocampo, fell silent. He was heard of again when he declared, amidst the ruins of war and rival groups claiming power, that ‘the judicial system of Libya was well-equipped’ to try the surviving Gaddafi son, Saif al-Islam, invoking the principle of complementarity—in spite of having indicted him earlier.[148]

For the ‘Terrorism Trials as Theatre’ researchers, on the other hand, the murder of Gaddafi and the NATO regime change in Libya were only a fresh opportunity to reflect on the theatrical possibilities to uphold a particular narrative, and it was even reported at the ICCT event on Lockerbie that ‘the Libyan interim government would perhaps be ready to probe possible other Lockerbie suspects’.[149] Of course that would all come to depend on who the actual interim Libyan government would turn out to be, even apart from the fact that as explained above, the suspects would have to be looked for elsewhere in the first place.

The idea of a ‘third country trial’ did in no way invite repetition. Given the enormous efforts made, the time consumed and the incredible £150 million costs to conduct it, with a grave miscarriage of justice as the outcome, even David Andrews, hired as a legal consultant by the US State Department under Madeleine Albright (and not in any way contesting the final verdict) concluded that a ‘third country trial is not a model that we ought to consider lightly, if ever’. Indeed it is ‘hard to imagine a situation in the future that would lend itself to a similar solution’.[150]

For MH17, the Lockerbie model has obviously been found wanting too, not only for the reasons mentioned (cost, time, effort), but also given the overwhelming evidence that this was a miscarriage of justice. Therefore even the Australian government on reflection came up with the alternative of a domestic criminal prosecution, which has meanwhile turned out to be the Netherlands (Australia too had been named as a possible site for such a procedure). In the words of the Australian website cited above,

 

Domestic prosecutions may be mounted under ordinary criminal law—for  example, for the crime of murder—rather than under international criminal law. However, any such prosecutions would face the same (if not greater) challenges in terms of apprehending accused persons and acquiring necessary evidence as those faced by international or hybrid tribunals.[151]

 

They also share, as the DSB/JIT process so far has amply demonstrated, the same characteristics of political direction, manipulation of public opinion and ultimately, trial theatrics. ‘The verdict of murder was a matter, not of justice, but of framing Libya’—what if, on the basis of equally flimsy evidence in the MH17 case, the verdict of murder will be a matter, not of justice, but of framing Russia? That is what must be seriously feared unless the judges choose to uphold the state of law and reject the ‘evidence’. Otherwise a new, sad chapter will be added to the series of political show trials in the service of Anglo-American geopolitical strategy described here.

 

  1. International Criminal Justice and the Historical Record

 

The coming MH17 trial would be held, as argued above, on the doubtful legal basis of the DSB/JIT investigations; organised as a theatrical, ‘performative’ rather than on a strictly juridical basis, in line with the findings of the ICCT seminars of terrorism specialist Ms Beatrice de Graaf; and embedded in a propaganda offensive against Russia launched by the UK with the US, NATO, the Netherlands, and a range of  private organisations, linked together by the UK-based Integrity Initiative.

Whilst different in detail and in the actual balance between international tribunals such as Yugoslavia, Rwanda, and the ICC, and national law, the projected MH17 trial on the basis of the experience so far shares the worst aspects of those earlier prosecutions: the designation in advance of a guilty party, which happens to be, once again, the party which the West, and the UK and US in particular, see as an immediate obstacle to the West’s global pre-eminence—in this case, Russia. These similarities are

  • the theatrical presentation of the final report of the Dutch Safety Board in October 2015, the press conferences by the JIT and the use of video animations with swirling, butterfly-shaped Buk missile particles (the tell-take ammunition of the Russian version of a surface-to-air missile allegedly responsible for downing the plane, of which two were found out of the 2,800 or so in a Buk missile warhead),[152]
  • abandoning the presumption of innocence of the suspects by accusing, with picture and full name, a number of people of murder on the basis of the flimsiest of evidence, and
  • the use of grieving relatives of victims to play on emotions and mobilise an impatient media and public opinion demanding convictions. In the case of MH17, the Dutch relatives were used to try and prevent the return of Russia to the Council of Europe and by having them send a letter of protest to Prime Minister Mahathir of Malaysia when he publicly expressed his doubts on the merits of the accusations levelled against Russia.[153] And as the author himself learned in Kuala Lumpur in August 2019, Malaysian family members were also encouraged to withdraw from the MH17 conference they earlier had agreed to address.

 

But then, as argued above, the prosecution in international criminal cases in the lineage in which we must also situate the Dutch trial of the MH17 suspects, from Yugoslavia and Rwanda via the International Criminal Court to Lockerbie, has revealed a steady growth of theatrical, politically directed elements confirming the fundamentally flawed nature of this type of judicial process. As a spectacle meant to keep the public in thrall, the coming MH17 trial too relies on a prior consensus established by galvanising public opinion along a broad front with massive media backing of the official account.

Why then is it important that a court operating in the context of an international criminal prosecution in the end arrives at a balanced judgement, comparable in terms of legitimacy to a verdict in a purely national court? This concerns both historical truth and the general legitimacy of the principle of impartial justice. If the evidence presented to support the conviction of suspects identified prior to any investigation, but representing a publicly designated adversary, departs too much from the observed reality, the value of a judicial verdict is seriously devalued. Also, because in the past, international criminal prosecutions turned out to have been the continuation of Western intervention by different means, a miscarriage of justice works to continue the conflict in which the intervention took place by lodging in the collective memory a narrative in which the original ‘enemy’ is conformed as such ‘in court’.

Court cases can also contribute to peace and reconciliation by reconstructing an accurate rendition of events but with an eye to achieving closure. Even if there is no real closure, a proper judicial process can help prevent that a verdict in a criminal case continues to be undermined by subsequent accusations from either side, leaving a legacy of lingering suspicions of guilt.[154]

In the case of MH17, a trial in spirit of the accusation of murder along the lines of the JIT press conference on 19 June 2019, and on the basis of profoundly contestable evidence of doubtful provenance, would only serve to confirm the .biased attitude towards Russia, which then once again would be confirmed as the villain. in the story. The aim of the present dossier is to document the weak or even fraudulent evidentiary basis of the MH17 trial as currently envisaged. In that respect it fits entirely in the young tradition of international criminal law: for the weak link of all international criminal prosecutions has been their weak evidentiary basis. On the basis of the Rwanda tribunal, the Special Court for Sierra Leone, and the Special Panels (in East Timor), Nancy Combs concludes that they ‘operate in a fact-finding fog of inconsistent, vague, and sometimes incoherent testimony that leaves them unable to say with any measure of certainty who did what to whom’.[155]

Because of the individualisation of guilt in collective political processes involving violence, on which international criminal prosecutions are based, and the need that a verdict identifies a guilty party in a conflict, there will never be a generally accepted dossier.[156] In the case of MH17, the JIT is effectively acting for the NATO-backed Ukrainian coup government (viz., the government ruling on account of an illegal seizure of power in February 2014) facing secession and armed insurrection. The accused represent Russia and the Donbass insurgents, who have refused to accept the seizure of power. The aim of the West is to humiliate Russia once again, destabilise its political structure, and confirm its president, Putin, as the ultimate villain who should be deposed. The trial over MH17 planned for March 2020 is intended to provide a spectacle to convince the public that these are worthy aims. When it will be over and done with, the West will once again have ratcheted up, in its own eyes, its moral superiority over the rest of the world. On that basis, further geopolitical manoeuvres will follow, with fresh prosecutions against those in the way—unless   justice prevails.

 

 

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[1]       This is Part I of a project jointly undertaken with Hector Reban and Max van der Werff after the author’s return from attending a conference MH17—The Quest for Justice, in Kuala Lumpur in August 2019. Many thanks to Mr. John Philpot, international criminal lawyer, for valuable comments.

·           [2]             Bonanza Media, MH17—Call for Justice (Yana Yerlashova, Max van der Werff) 2019. (online);  Cyril Rosman, ‘Brandbrief MH17-nabestaanden aan Maleisische premier: “Stop met verdeeldheid zaaien”. ’ Algemeen Dagblad 30 August 2019 (online).

 

[3]       Hague District Court, ‘About the MH17 Trial’, 2019 (online). Emphasis added.

[4]       Michael Mandel, How America Gets Away With Murder. Illegal Wars, Collateral Damage and Crimes Against Humanity. London: Pluto Press, 2004..

[5]       Hague District Court, ‘About the MH17 Trial’, and see below.

[6]       Rijkswet Onderzoeksraad voor veiligheid. 2010 (online).

[7]       See my Flight MH17, Ukraine and the new Cold War. Prism of disaster. Manchester: Manchester University Press, 2018, pp. 139-43.

[8]       Flight MH17, Ukraine and the new Cold War, pp. 137-8 on the circumstances of the establishment of the JIT. Numbers of victims in Hague District Court, ‘About the MH17 Trial’.

[9]       Bonanza Media, MH17—Call for Justice. A separate 143-page report on the falsification of the phone taps is available as Digital Forensic Services. 2019. Project MH17. Digital Forensic Reporting—Final Report V1.0. (Bonanza Media. MH17 Video and Audio Forensic Analysis) (online).

[10]     Guy Debord, La société du spectacle. Paris: Gallimard, 1992 [1967]. I was reminded of this reference by Hector Reban.

[11]     International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT). ‘Terrorists on Trial: The Lockerbie Case’, Netherlands Institute for Advanced Studies in the Humanities and Social Sciences (NIAS) 2011 (online), emphasis added. I came across this project when investigating the Lockerbie case but others are scrutinised by it as well.

[12]     Rosman,‘Brandbrief MH17-nabestaanden aan Maleisische premier’; Johan van Heerde,. ‘Nabestaanden MH17: Geef Rusland pas stemrecht in Raad van Europa als het meewerkt met onderzoek’. Trouw, 23 June 2019 (online).

[13]     Kees van der Pijl, ‘Towards an alternative international investigation of Flight MH17? Personal impressions from the conference MH17: The Quest for Justice, Kuala Lumpur, 17 August 2019.’ (21 August 2019).(online).

[14]     Hague District Court, ‘About the MH17 Trial’, gives a detailed list of who qualifies as a relative to be granted this privilege.

[15]     ICCT, ‘Terrorists on Trial: The Lockerbie Case’, emphasis added.

[16]     Paul McKeigue, David Miller, Jake Mason, and Piers Robinson. ‘Briefing Note on the Integrity Initiative’, Working Group on Syria Propaganda and Media, 21 December 2018 (online).

[17]     Moon of Alabama,  ‘The ”Integrity Initiative”—A Military Intelligence Operation, Disguised As Charity, To Create The “Russian Threat”.’ 15 December 2018 (online).

[18]     Max Blumenthal and Mark Ames, ‘New Documents Reveal a Covert British Military-Intelligence Smear Machine Meddling In American Politics’. TheGrayZone, 8 January 2019.(online)..

[19]     Cited in Mohamed Elmazi and Max Blumenthal,  The Integrity Initiative and the UK’s Scandalous Information War’, MintPress, 18 December.2018 (online); Moon  of Alabama, ‘British Government Runs Secret Anti-Russian Smear Campaigns.’ 24 November 2018 (online)..

[20]     Initially the Dutch partner was the Hague Institute of Strategic Studies, but this was discontinued, Moon  of Alabama,. ‘British Government Runs Secret Anti-Russian Smear Campaigns.’

[21]     Blumenthal and Ames, ‘New Documents Reveal a Covert British Military-Intelligence Smear Machine Meddling In American Politics’..

[22]     George Eliason, ‘The Terrorists Among US – The Coup Against the Presidency’, The Saker, 16 September 2019 (online). Emphasis added.

[23]     Blumenthal and Ames, ‘New Documents Reveal a Covert British Military-Intelligence Smear Machine Meddling In American Politics’.

[24]     McKeigue et al. ‘Briefing Note on the Integrity Initiative’.

[25]    Keir Giles, Philip Hanson, Roderic Lyne, James Nixey, James Sherr and Andrew Wood, The Russian Challenge. London: The Institute of International Affairs, 2015; Moon  of Alabama. ‘British Government Runs Secret Anti-Russian Smear Campaigns’.

[26]     Blumenthal and Ames, ‘New Documents Reveal a Covert British Military-Intelligence Smear Machine’; Moon of Alabama,  ‘The ”Integrity Initiative”—A Military Intelligence Operation, Disguised As Charity’.

[27]     Craig Unger, ‘Trump’s Russian Laundromat. How to use Trump Tower and other luxury high-rises to clean dirty money, run an international crime syndicate, and propel a failed real estate developer into the White House.’ The New Republic, 13 July.2017 (online).

[28]     Moon  of Alabama. ‘British Government Runs Secret Anti-Russian Smear Campaigns’.

[29]     Hector Reban, ‘MH17 and open source intelligence, a suspicious narrative–part 1.’ MH17, 26 September (online)

[30]     Flight MH17, Ukraine and the new Cold War, p. 139. Meanwhile the Douma gas incident has been exposed by an OPCW whistleblower as a false flag attack (already revealed by BBC Syria producer Riam Dalati in February), further undermining Elliott Higgins’ credibility.

[31]     Yevgeniy Golovchenko, Mareike Hartmann and Rebecca Adler-Nissen, ‘State, media and civil society in the information warfare over Ukraine: citizen curators of digital disinformation’ International Affairs, 94 (5) 2018.

[32]     Oliver Boyd-Barrett, Western Mainstream Media and the Ukraine Crisis. A study in conflict propaganda, London: Routledge 2017, and my own Flight MH17, Ukraine and the new Cold War.

[33]     Flight MH17, Ukraine and the new Cold War, p. 147.

[34]    Golovchenko et al., ‘State, media and civil society’, pp. 991 and  986, Figure 1, respectively. Meanwhile Omtzigt has come to champion the cause of the Magnitsky Act, the anti-Russian sanctions project of the fraudster, William Browder, who is a member of the Integrity Initiative UK cluster, Moon  of Alabama, ‘British Government Runs Secret Anti-Russian Smear Campaigns’.

[35]     Golovchenko et al., ‘State, media and civil society’,  p. 992..

[36]     Cited in Mohamed Elmaazi, and Max Blumenthal, ‘Inside The Temple Of Covert Propaganda: The Integrity Initiative & UK’s Scandalous Information War’. Zero Hedge, 26 December 2018  (online).

[37]     Moon of Alabama,  ‘The ”Integrity Initiative”—A Military Intelligence Operation, Disguised As Charity’.

[38]     Boyd-Barrett, Western Mainstream Media, p. 115.

[39]     Flight MH17, Ukraine and the new Cold War, chapter 3..

[40]     Mark Galeotti, ‘Putin’s KGB record: not a high-flier or leader, but a solid B’.  Raam op Rusland, 1 November 2019  (online).

[41]         Ivan Katchanovski.,‘The “Snipers’ Massacre” on the Maidan in Ukraine’. Paper, American Political Science Association, San Francisco, 3-6 September, 2015 (online).

[42]         Flight MH17, Ukraine and the new Cold War, pp. 109-13.

 

[43]     I will rely extensively on my Global Rivalries from the Cold War to Iraq. London: Pluto Press; New Delhi: Sage Vistaar, 2006, especially chapter 11.

[44]     Chief Charles A. Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts: Discriminatory International Justice and the Quest for a New World Judicial Order’. In Sébastien Chartrand and John Philpot, eds., Justice Belied. The Unbalanced Scales of International Criminal Justice. Montréal: Baraka Books 2014, p. 19.

[45]     Peter Malanczuk, Humanitarian Intervention and the Legitimacy of the Use of Force [inaugural lecture, University of Amsterdam]. Amsterdam::‘t Spinhuis 1993, p. 14.

[46]     Ton Regtien and Maarten van Dullemen, Het Vietnam-tribunaal Stockholm-Roskilde 1967. [preface, Jean-Paul Sartre]. Amsterdam: Polak & van Gennep 1968, pp. 18-9.; Arthur Eyffinger, The Hague—International Centre of Justice and Peace. The Hague: Jongbloed Law Booksellers, 2003, pp. 74-5.

[47]     Cited in David Jacobs, ‘How the International Criminal Law Movement Undermined International law—Michael Mandel’s Groundbreaking Analyses’. In Chartrand and Philpot, eds. Justice Belied, p. 241.

[48]     Regtien and Van Dullemen, Het Vietnam-tribunaal Stockholm-Roskilde 1967, p. 174.

[49]     Regtien and Van Dullemen, Het Vietnam-tribunaal Stockholm-Roskilde 1967, pp. 174-83

[50]     Cited in Christopher Hitchens, The Trial of Henry Kissinger, rev. ed.,  London: Verso, 2002, pp. 24-6.

[51]     René-Jean Dupuy, La clôture du système international. La cité terrestre. Paris: Presses Universitaires de France, 1989, p. 104.

[52]     Dupuy, La clôture du système international, p. 103; private communication of Mr John Philpot.

[53]     Malanczuk, Humanitarian Intervention, p. 5.

[54]     Eyffinger, The Hague—International Centre of Justice and Peace,  p. 78, emphasis added.

[55]     David Wippman, ‘The International Criminal Court’ in C. Reus-Smit ed. The Politics of International Law. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2004, p. 163 emphasis added

[56]     See my Global Rivalries, p. 402, citing International Herald Tribune, 16 June, 1992.

[57]     Wikipedia, ‘Responsibility to Protect’.

[58]     ICCT, ‘Terrorists on Trial: The Lockerbie Case.’

[59]     Francis Pryer, ‘Ce que révèle l’affaire Epstein. Une justice américaine sous influence’. Le Monde Diplomatique, December 2019, p. 10.

[60]     Cathérine Samary, Yugoslavia Dismembered [trans. P. Drucker]. New York: Monthly Review Press, 1995, p. 11; Susan L. Woodward, Balkan Tragedy. Chaos and Dissolution After the Cold War. Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 1995, .p. 155.

[61]     Woodward, Balkan Tragedy, pp. 159-60.

[62]     Cees Wiebes, Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten [vol. 2 of Nederlands Instituut voor Oorlogsdocumentatie, eds., Srebenica, een “veilig” gebied, 5 vols.].Amsterdam: Boom, 2002, pp. 166-7, 185, 189, 205-6.

[63]     Defence Planning: Guidance  FY 1994-1999 (16 April 1992, declassified 2008). (online)

[64]     See my Global Rivalries, p. 277, citing State Department spokesman James Rubin in Financial Times, 30 September/1 October 2000.

[65]     Alan W. Cafruny, ‘The Geopolitics of U.S. Hegemony in Europe. From the Breakup of Yugoslavia to the War in Iraq’, in A.W. Cafruny and M. Ryner, eds. A Ruined Fortress? Neoliberal Hegemony and Transformation in Europe. Lanham, Maryland: Rowman and Littlefield., 2003, p. 106.

[66]     Xavier Bougarel, ‘Du bon usage du Tribunal pénal international’. Le Monde Diplomatique, April 2002. (CD-ROM ed.); Cf. Global Rivalries, chapter 8, ‘America over Europe in the Balkans Crisis’; indictment of  the Serbian leadership on p. 279, cf. sources

[67]     Sébastien Chartrand and John Philpot, ‘Conclusion’, in Chartrand and Philpot, eds. Justice Belied. The unbalanced Scales of International Criminal Justice. Montréal: Baraka Books, 2014, p. 274.

[68]     Wippman, ‘The International Criminal Court’ 2004, p. 156

[69]     Jacobs, ‘The International Criminal Law Movement’, pp. 240-41.

[70]     Nicholas J. Wheeler, ‘The Kosovo Bombing Campaign’. In C. Reus-Smit, ed. The Politics of International Law. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press., 2004, pp. 208-10

[71]     Wippman, ‘The International Criminal Court’, p. 152.

[72]     Bougarel, ‘Du bon usage du Tribunal pénal international’.

[73]     Cited in Robin de Ruiter, Het Joegoslavië-Tribunaal : De vermoorde onschuld van Slobodan Miloševič, n.p.: Mayra Publications, p. 107. The use of ‘innocence’ in the title in my view is not appropriate for leaders in wartime. At issue is whether he was guilty of the charges against him or not.

[74]     Cited in N.M.P. Steijnen, ‘Het tribunaal had een motief voor Miloševič’ dood’. De AntiFascist , May 2006, p.  5; the ICTY cost rose from $276,000 in 1994 to $96 million in 2001. Cathérine Samary, ‘Fiasco à La Haye’, Le Monde Diplomatique, April 2002 (CD-ROM ed.).

[75]     Cited in De Ruiter, Het Joegoslavië-Tribunaal, p. 143.

[76]     De Ruiter, Het Joegoslavië-Tribunaal, p.128.

[77]     De Ruiter, Het Joegoslavië-Tribunaal, pp. 132-5. Eight years later, when ‘Putin’ had been substituted for Miloševič as the incarnation of evil, the Dutch mainstream newspaper De Volkskrant carried a photo montage in which the head of the Russian president was pasted on the figure being manhandled on the way to the Scheveningen prison.

[78]     Both cited in De Ruiter, Het Joegoslavië-Tribunaal, p. 31.

[79]     Ibid..

[80]     De Ruiter, Het Joegoslavië-Tribunaal, p. 21; Samary, ‘Fiasco à La Haye’.

[81]     Steijnen, ‘Het tribunaal had een motief’, pp, 22-3.

[82]     Steijnen, ‘Het tribunaal had een motief’, pp. 20, 22.

[83]     Steijnen, ‘Het tribunaal had een motief’, p. 21. Six days earlier, another Serbian defendant, Milan Babič, had been found dead in his cell already, De Ruiter, Het Joegoslavië-Tribunaal, p. 23.

[84]     Michael Mandel cited in Jacobs, ‘The International Criminal Law Movement’, p. 242.

[85]     Expert report cited in Jacobs, ‘The International Criminal Law Movement’, p. 244.

[86]     Jacobs, ‘The International Criminal Law Movement’, p. 244.

[87]     Peter Gowan, ‘The NATO Powers and the Balkan Tragedy’, New Left Review, 234, p. 103.

[88]     Gowan, ‘The NATO Powers and the Balkan Tragedy’,  p. 104.

[89]     Edward S. Herman, and David  Peterson, ‘Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo in the Propaganda System’. Monthly Review, 62 (1) 2010, p. 2, Le Monde Diplomatique, ‘Rwanda 1994’opération “Turquoise”’.December 2011.

[90]     Le Monde Diplomatique, ‘Rwanda 1994 opération “Turquoise”’.

[91]     Colette Braeckman,.’Rwanda, retour sur un aveuglement international. Dix ans après le génocide’. Le Monde Diplomatique, March 2004.

[92]     Herman and  Peterson, ‘Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo’, pp. 24-5, 30.

[93]     Gérard Prunier, ‘Au Rwanda, le génocide tel qu’il s’est produit’. Le Monde Diplomatique, October 1999; Herman and Peterson, ‘Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo’, p. 25.

[94]     Phil Taylor, ‘“The ICTR is war by other means”—Ramsey Clark.’ In Chartrand and Philpot, eds. Justice Belied, p. 180.

[95]     John Philpot, ‘The Dubious Heritage of the International Tribunal for Rwanda.’ In Chartrand and Philpot, eds. Justice Belied, p. 169.

[96]    Herman and Peterson, ‘Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo’, pp. 26-7.

[97]     Philpot, ‘The Dubious Heritage of the International Tribunal for Rwanda,’ p. 163.

[98]     Chief Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts’, pp. 24-5.

[99]     Philpot, ‘The Dubious Heritage of the International Tribunal for Rwanda’, p. 164.

[100]    Philpot, ‘The Dubious Heritage of the International Tribunal for Rwanda’, p. 163.

[101]    Jacobs, ‘The International Criminal Law Movement’, p. 246.

[102]    Philpot, ‘The Dubious Heritage of the International Tribunal for Rwanda’, p. 165.

[103]    Chief Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts’, p. 27.

[104]    Taylor, ‘“The ICTR is war by other means”—Ramsey Clark,’, p. 181.

[105]    Chief Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts’, p. 28

[106]    Philpot, ‘The Dubious Heritage of the International Tribunal for Rwanda’, pp. 166-7.

[107]    Taylor, ‘“The ICTR is war by other means”—Ramsey Clark.’, p. 183. Taylor notes in passing that Alison Des Forges of Human Rights Watch sought to undermine the Rwandan delegation to the UN and later even became a witness for the prosecution at the ICTR.

[108]    Herman and Peterson, ‘Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo’, p. 23.

[109]    Benoît Francès, ‘France-Rwanda, le prix d’une réconciliation : Vers l’enterrement des dossiers du génocide’, Le Monde Diplomatique, September 2010.

[110]    Chief Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts’, pp. 28-9

[111]    Judi Rever, In Praise of Blood. The Crimes of the Rwandan Patriotic Front, Toronto: Penguin Random House 2018.

[112]    Philpot, ‘The Dubious Heritage of the International Tribunal for Rwanda’, p. 176.

[113]    Private communication of Mr. John Philpot

[114]    Cited in Herman and Peterson, ‘Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo’, p. 32.

[115]    Taylor, ‘“The ICTR is war by other means”—Ramsey Clark.’, p. 182.

[116]    Sébastien Chartrand and John Philpot, ‘Introduction’, in Chartrand and Philpot, eds. Justice Belied, p. 13.

[117]    Wippman, ‘The International Criminal Court’, p. 152.

[118]    Human Rights Watch, ‘U.S.: ‘Hague Invasion Act’ Becomes Law’ (3 August 2002) (online).

[119]   Chalmers Johnson,. Blowback. The Costs and Consequences of American Empire, rev. ed. London: TimeWarner, 2002 [2000], pp. 12-3.

[120]    Chief Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts’, p. 29.

[121]    Chief Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts’, p., 33.

[122]    Glen Ford, ‘The Ailing Empire’s Full Spectrum Dominance’. In  Chartrand and Philpot, eds. Justice Belied.‘

[123]    Chief Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts’, pp. 34-6; Ocampo characterisation on p. 37

[124]    Chief Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts’, pp. 30-32.

[125]    Mahathir, A Doctor in the House. The Memoirs of Tun Dr. Mahathir Mohamad, rev. ed. Petaling Jaya: MPH Publishing 2018 [2011], p. 795.

[126]    Michel Chossudovsky, ‘The Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Tribunal: Interview with Professor Michel Chossudovsky’.In Chartrand and Philpot, eds. Justice Belied, p. 211.

[127]    Chossudovsky, ‘The Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Tribunal’, p. 212.

[128]    Richard Falk,‘Kuala Lumpur Tribunal: Bush and Blair Guilty’. Al Jazeera, 28 November.2011 (online); Chossudovsky, ‘The Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Tribunal’, pp. 212-3.

[129]    Mahathir, A Doctor in the House, p. 438.

[130]    Chossudovsky, ‘The Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Tribunal’, p. 214.

[131]    Mahathir, A Doctor in the House, pp. 772-3.

[132]  Cited in my ‘Academic Corruption, the Israel Lobby, and 9/11’ (online).

[133]    Flight MH17, Ukraine and the New Cold War, p. 117.

[134]    Peter Dale Scott, Drugs, Oil, and War. The United States in Afghanistan, Colombia, and Indochina. Lanham, Maryland: Rowman & Littlefield., 2003; The Road to 9/11. Wealth, Empire, and the Future of America. Berkeley, Cal.: University of California Press, 2007, and  Scott and Jonathan Marshall, Cocaine Politics. Drugs, Armies, and the CIA in Central America. Berkeley, Cal.: University of California Press, 1991.

[135]    The Conversation, ‘Lockerbie experience is no model for the effective prosecution of MH17 bombers’, 5 October 2016 (online).

[136]   Cited in Christopher Bollyn, Solving 9/11. The Deception That Changed the World [foreword, G. Stanish]. n.p.: www.bollyn.com., 2012, p.  66..

[137]    Cited in Anthony Sampson, The Arms Bazaar in the Nineties. From Krupp to Saddam, rev. ed. London: Coronet. 1991 [1977], Sampson, 1991, p. 357.

[138]    Details in Peter Dale Scott, ‘Transnationalised Repression: Parafascism and the U.S.’ Lobster, 12, 1986, pp. 18, 26.

[139]    Cited in Thomas Ferguson, Golden Rule. The Investment Theory of Party Competition and the Logic of Money-Driven Political Systems. Chicago: Chicago University Press, 1995, p. 317. In 1987, in a later interview Perot added that ‘if you go back and follow the trail, these guys have been working together since the Bay of Pigs.’ Ibid, p. 318.

[140]    Roy Rowan, ‘Pan Am 103: Why Did They Die?’ Time, June 24, 2001 (online). The original cover story by Rowan in Time, 27 April, 1992, which was much more detailed and had boxes summarising other plane crashes related to the Iran-Contra scandal; has disappeared and only the sanitised web version remains. For the original account and further sources see my Global Rivalries, pp. 340, 371.

[141]    David R. Andrews, ‘A Thorn on the Tulip—A Scottish Trial in the Netherlands: The Story behind the Lockerbie Trial’. Case Western Reserve Journal of International Law, 36 (2) 2004., p. 308.

[142]    Wikipedia, ‘Scottish Court in the Netherlands’ and ‘Pan Am Flight 103 Bombing Trial’; Andrews, ‘A Thorn on the Tulip’, pp. 309-10, 317.

[143]    Cynthia P. Schneider, ‘International Justice and Diplomacy’, Brookings, 21 August 2009 (online).

[144]    Wikipedia, ‘Scottish Court in the Netherlands’ and ‘Pan Am Flight 103 Bombing Trial’.

[145]    Wikipedia, ‘Pan Am Flight 103 Bombing Trial’.

[146]    Wikipedia, ‘Pan Am Flight 103 Bombing Trial’.

[147]   Andrews, ‘A Thorn on the Tulip’, pp. 307-8.

[148]    Jacobs, ‘The International Criminal Law Movement’, p. 245; Ocampo cited by Chief Taku, ‘African Court and International Criminal Courts’, p. 33.

[149]    ICCT, ‘Terrorists on Trial: The Lockerbie Case.’

[150]    Andrews, ‘A Thorn on the Tulip’, p. 318.

[151]    The Conversation, ‘Lockerbie experience is no model’

[152]    Flight MH17, Ukraine and the new Cold War, pp. 141-2.

[153]    Van Heerde,. ‘Nabestaanden MH17: Geef Rusland pas stemrecht in Raad van Europa’.

[154]    Fannie Lafontaine and Érick Sullivan, ‘And Justice for All? International Criminal Justice in the Time of High Expectations’. In Chartrand and Philpot, eds. Justice Belied, p. 223.

[155]    Beth S. Lyons, ‘Prosecutorial Failure to Disclose Exculpatory Material: A Death Knell to Fairness’. In Chartrand and Philpot, eds. Justice Belied, p. 135, citing Nancy Combs, Fact-Finding Without Facts: The Uncertain Evidentiary Foundations of International Criminal Convictions. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010, p. 174;.

[156]    Lafontaine and Sullivan, ‘And Justice for All?’, p. 225.

Israel’s Next Move: The Real Danger in US Decision to Normalize Illegal Jewish Settlements

By Dr Ramzy Baroud

It is hardly shocking that the United States government has finally decreed that illegal Jewish settlements which have been built in defiance of international law, are, somehow, “consistent” with international law.

US foreign policy has been edging closer towards this conclusion for some time. Since his advent to the White House in January 2017, President Donald Trump has unleashed a total and complete reversal of his country’s foreign policy regarding Palestine and Israel.

Let us not have any illusion regarding the American approach to the so-called ‘Israeli-Palestinian conflict’ prior to Trump’s Presidency. The US has never, not even once, stood up for Palestinians or Arabs since the establishment of the State of Israel over the ruins of historic Palestine in 1948. Moreover, Washington has bankrolled the Israeli occupation of Palestine in every possible way, including the subsidizing of the illegal Jewish settlements.

However, Pompeo’s statement at a State Department press conference on November 18 that, “the establishment of Israeli civilian settlements is not, per se, inconsistent with international law,” is still very dangerous and it does, in fact, constitute a political departure from previous US policies. How?

Historically, the US has struggled in its understanding of international law, not because of its lack of legal savvy but because, quite often, US interests clashed with the will of the international community. A recurring case in point is the Israeli occupation of Palestine, where the US has vetoed or voted against numerous United Nations Security Council and General Assembly resolutions that either criticized Israel or supported the rights of the Palestinians.

Only in 1978, did an American Administration dare describe Israeli settlements as “inconsistent with international law”. That declaration took place during Jimmy Carter’s Presidency, when Washington began earnestly fiddling with the “peace process” political model, which eventually led to the signing of the Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty, signed at Camp David in 1979.

“Since then,” Joseph Hincks wrote in Time Magazine online, “Republican and Democratic Presidents have referred to settlements as ‘illegitimate’ but declined to call them illegal—a designation that would make them subject to international sanctions.”

That said, it was Reagan himself – although objecting to the principle of illegality of the settlements – who deemed them to be an “obstacle to peace”, demanding a freeze on all settlement construction.

Pompeo’s statement is, in fact, compatible with Washington’s self-contradictions regarding the construction of Israel’s illegal settlement in occupied Palestine.

In December 2016, the Barack Obama administration declined to veto a UN Security Council resolution that described the settlements as a “flagrant violation” of international law, adding that they have “no legal validity”.

Although Obama chose to abstain from the vote, that very decision was, itself, seen as a historical departure from traditional US foreign policy-making, further highlighting the US unconditional and, often, blind support for Israel.

While, in some way, the Trump administration’s support for Israel is a continuation of the dismal trajectory of American bias, it is also particularly unique and disturbing.

Previous US administrations attempted to maintain a degree of balance between their own interests and those of Israel. Trump, on the other hand, seems to have aligned his country’s foreign policy regarding Palestine and Israel entirely with that of Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, and his right-wing camp.

Indeed, for over two years, the State Department has been giving Israel political carte blanche, agreeing to all of Israel’s demands and expectations and asking for nothing in return. As a result, Washington has accepted Israel’s designation of Jerusalem, including occupied East Jerusalem, as Israel’s “eternal and undivided capital”; agreed to Israel’s sovereignty over the occupied Golan Heights; and actively plotted to dismiss the issue of Palestinian refugees altogether. The latest announcement by Pompeo was but one of many such steps.

One theory regarding the ongoing surrender of US foreign policy to Israel is that Washington is slowly, but permanently, withdrawing from the Middle East, a process that began in the later years of George W. Bush’s presidency and continued unabated throughout the two terms of Obama administration as well. The current succumbing to Israel’s wishes is like America’s departing gift to its most faithful ally in the Middle East.

Another explanation is concerned with the apparently defunct “deal of the century”, a vaguely defined political doctrine that seeks to normalize Israel, regionally and internationally, while keeping the status quo of occupation and Apartheid untouched.

For that deal to be resurrected after months of inertia, Washington is keen to prolong Netanyahu’s premiership, especially as the long-serving Israeli Prime Minister is facing his greatest political challenge and even a possible jail time for various corruption charges.

Currently, Israel is undergoing a political crisis – two general elections within six months, with the possibility of a third election, coupled with a historic socio-economic and political polarization among the people. To keep Netanyahu politically alive, his allies in Washington have thrown him some major lifelines, all in the hope of winning him more support among Israel’s dominant right-wing political camp.

By rendering the illegal settlements “consistent” with international law, Washington is paving the road for Israel to annex all major settlement blocs in the occupied West Bank.

Israel, which was never truly concerned with international law in the first place, urgently required this American nod to move forward with annexing at least 60% of the West Bank.

With the hemorrhaging of US concessions to Israel, Netanyahu is eager for more. Desperate to strengthen his faltering grip on power, the Israeli leader agreed on November 20 to advance a bill that calls for the annexation of the Jordan Valley.

The bill was drafted by a member of the Israeli Likud – Netanyahu’s party – Sharren Haskel, who tweeted following Netanyahu’s decision, that the US announcement was “an opportunity to promote my law for sovereignty in the [Jordan] Valley.”

The US decision to defy international law on settlements is not dangerous because it violates international law, for the latter has hardly been a concern for Washington. The danger lies in the fact that the US foreign policy regarding the Israeli occupation has become a mere rubber stamp, that allows Israel’s extreme right-wing government to single-handedly determine the fate of the Palestinian people and sow the seed of instability and war in the Middle East for many years to come.

Ramzy Baroud is a journalist, author and editor of The Palestine Chronicle.

27 November 2019

Source: countercurrents.org

Hong Kong Poll Results X-Rayed

By Ramakrishnan

(This is Part-1 of a two part Report)

Landslide victory for Hong Kong pro-democracy parties in de facto protest referendum : This ( it was CNN’s) is the tone and tenor of headlines in mainstream media.There is nothing new in this kind of reportage for Indians fed on inobjectivity and hyperboles. This notion however needs to be objectively analysed, more so in the wake of the turmoil there.That will help a better understanding of the implications of this election.

Background

What was held on November 24 Sunday was the Sixth-term District Council Ordinary Election of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR), and counting was completed as of noon on Monday.

Hong Kong, once a British colony, is part of China since 1997, and its special status (“One Country, Two Systems”) is set to expire in 2047, as per an agreement between UK and China . The current protests started in May- June against a planned law which would have cleared the way for criminal suspects to be extradited to the mainland. The bill was withdrawn in September, but protest demonstrations continued. The election was held in spite of such a turmoil.

Hong Kongers have described legal, social, political and cultural differences – and the fact Hong Kong was a separate colony for 150 years – as reasons for why they don’t identify with their compatriots in mainland China.

The election was held just a four days after the well-timed passage on November 19-20, unanimously and bipartisanly, by both the Senate and House of Representatives of USA, of the so-called Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act 2019. The US is a bully brazenly and solidly for gross interference in China’s internal affairs.

aljazeera.com reported : For the past few weeks, doubts loomed over whether the elections would even take place. Several candidates on both sides were attacked and multiple pro-democracy candidates were arrested… Patrick Nip, the secretary for constitutional and mainland affairs, said the violence “reduced the chance of holding the elections”. Hong Kong’s Electoral Affairs Commission had called on the public to “stop all threats and violence to support the holding of elections in a peaceful and orderly manner”.

For her part, ruling chief, Lam, when asked whether elections would be postponed, said the government “hopes that the elections can continue as planned”. Some pro-establishment voters, too, hoped to use their vote as a call to restore order.

Neither Mainland China nor its supporters in Hong Kong made any efforts to prevent the elections despite all the turmoil.

The Numbers

With a record turnout rate of 71.2 percent, a total of about 2.94 million registered voters cast their ballots in the election, for 452 seats, contested by mainly two coalitions, the outgoing being the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong (DAB). Polling for the election started at 7:30 am and concluded at 10:30 pm.

Some 2.94 million people voted in the election, compared with 1.4 million in 2015: A last- minute surge in registrations added nearly 400,000 voters to the electoral rolls – most of them young – and a wave of novice pro-democracy candidates meant that for the first time in Hong Kong’s history every seat was hotly contested.

About one-tenth of the city’s 4.1 million voters are newly registered since 2015. Of the total registered voters, about half of them are in the 18-35 age group. A veteran Hong Kong-based news editor told China Daily that besides political affinity, perhaps age affinity also played a role in this year’s election, as young voters are more likely to vote for young candidates who hold similar views to them: the election result showed that a large number of successful candidates are in the 18-40 age group. The outgoing coalition acknowledged they could not connect with this segment of the voters.

According to the HKSAR Electoral Affairs Commission, 452 seats in 18 electoral districts have all been decided. All except one district were won by parties that were in Opposition before the election.

Pro-democracy ( a sort of coalition) candidates won close to 60% of the total vote, but achieved a landslide in terms of seats – 347 of the 452 (76 % seats) – because of the first-past-the-post system. Pro-Beijing candidates won 60 seats (13 % seats with 40 percent vote); while independents got 45, according to the South China Morning Post.

In the last election four years ago, pro-Beijing councillors won 298 seats, but the distribution of these seats meant they then took control of all 18 district councils. Now they lost all but one, the Islands District Council in this election.

Held Despite And Amidst Violent Protests

Given the background of the violent turmoil, DAB alliance (which won only 21 seats, and lost 160 seats) chairman, Lo Wai-kwok, said, the ruling coalition was at the receiving end of violence : “Black terror” and threats spread and imposed by radicals during the months-long social unrest is one of reasons that the party had a worrying situation in the election, Lo said, referring to the violence and vandalism meted out by mostly black-clad anti-government protesters.

Some DAB candidates, volunteers and supporters were threatened; some councilors’ offices were vandalized before the election, with some having been torched with gasoline bombs, Lo said.

The Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions, FTU, a member of the coalition, which held 30 seats in the District Council before the election, won only five seats.

Nearly 30 of the FTU’s training centers, medical clinics and councilors’ offices were vandalized. Many candidates’ posters were torn down and destroyed.

FTU president Stanley Ng Chau-pei said that the election was held in an “extremely unfair and disorderly environment”, which saw repeated violent attacks against FTU candidates.

For those familiar with the opposition’s vandalism, with scores of visuals in the western media too, during the last few months, it is easy to understand that.

The results showed that candidates’ records of long service at community levels counted little in the election, FTU president Stanley Ng Chau-pei said. Despite the FTU’s solid foundation in serving the community at the grassroots level, we still have failed to turn the tide,” Ng told a news briefing after the election. “We will reflect deeply on our failure and improve our work in future.” He added that political demands had overridden livelihood issues.

The Business and Professionals Alliance for Hong Kong — another major party of the pro-establishment camp —won only three of the 452 seats during this election.

How to read, and not to read the election

Admittedly, it is defacto, it is not de jure, technically, or formally, though there is something noteworthy in it.

It was not a referendum, strictly speaking, because no such question was posed as such.Given that the poll took place in the wake of mass protests going on for the last five months, it was projected as if it was a referendum.

It was not exactly a landslide, though we in India are given to such phrases like a wave, sweeping the polls, tsunami even though such a thing did not happen. For instance in India, from 1952 till now, no party ever got 50 percent plus of the polled vote.( Rajiv Gandhi’s 1985 vote, aided by Indira’s murder, was the only one nearest that.). Still we always had Tsunamis of reportage.

To put it in perspective, the losing coalition polled around 40 percent of polled vote, that is a little higher than the vote ( 37. 36 % vote, but 303 seats for BJP and 353, 65% seats, for NDA) polled by Modi-led BJP in the latest Loksabha poll, which is often colorfully painted as a massive mandate. During NDA-1, they got less than 32 % vote. Even that was described as a Tsunami.

This was not a setback to China or CPC, strictly speaking.

Nor is it a victory for democracy: For instance, nobody in Hong Kong is legally allowed to be a member of CPC even now, let alone contesting as a communist. How can any one call it is a democratic election in the real sense, when communist are banished in a country that is headed by communists? No one can call China or CPC as authoritarian, more so in this sense.

It was not a victory of pro-democracy parties in the sense that the defeated coalition is NOT, and not led by, a communist party; it is also a party of liberal politics, and it had won the same election last time (2015) in a similar way. Basically, they are like two parties in US or UK.

In fact, the Head of the defeated party, which had polled 40 percent vote, was more dignified, more humble, and more democratic than any party in India.

Members of the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong take a deep bow at a news conference on Monday by way of expressing their gratitude and offering apologies to supporters a day after their massive setback in the District Council Election.

Chief executive says SAR will listen to voters, but violence also needs to end : This is the caption of a candid report in China Daily of PRC soon after the results were out:

Hong Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor of the ruling party voiced her hope on Monday that the people of Hong Kong will continue to express their views in a peaceful manner. The district poll was conducted in very difficult circumstances due to incidents that have taken place over the past few months, Lam said. She thanked the voters for their participation, through which, she said, they hoped to express their views.

BBC reported :

Hong Kong’s leader Carrie Lam has said the government will “seriously reflect” after local elections saw massive gains by pro-democracy candidates. In a statement released online on Monday, Ms Lam said the government respected the results. She said many felt the results reflected “people’s dissatisfaction with the current situation and the deep-seated problems in society”. The government would “listen to the opinions of members of the public humbly and seriously reflect”, she said. (https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-50541627)

China Daily’s report was candid :

“Various analyses said the result reflected people’s dissatisfaction with the current situation and the deep-seated problems in society.

“Hong Kong’s pro-establishment camp pledged to continue serving the community and to proactively improve people’s livelihoods after suffering a massive setback in local elections. The promise follows the opposition camp’s victory in grabbing majority control of district-level affairs in the city’s District Council elections on Sunday.”

(https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201911/26/WS5ddc75baa310cf3e35579ea7.html)

Limited Significance Of The Election

This was an election where Hong Kong level politics, or its ties with mainland, were NOT under the scrutiny of the voters, with no manifestos thrown in. The elected body has no powers to take any political or policy decisions; only civic issues come under its purview. They are more like Municipal Corporation elections in Mumbai, much smaller in scale : Greater Mumbai’s population is over 20 million, the city itself being 13 million; they are somewhat like local body election in Kashmir, with little political import; they are not even comparable to Union Territory Delhi’s elections to choose between BJP-Congress-AAP. But imperialists have bigger stakes there.

Trump claimed his election had an adversary role of Russia. Comparatively, this election had a more brazen,undisputed, declared role and funding of the West, particularly USA, backing the Opposition.

BBC said : The territory’s district councillors have little political power and mainly deal with local issues such as bus routes and rubbish collection, so the district elections do not normally generate such interest.

Political commentator Paul Yeung told China Daily the results showed that political disputes, usually occurring in elections of high-level authorities, such as the government and legislature, are affecting more ordinary elections. He stressed that according to the Basic Law, the city’s district councils are not an organ of political power. Yet this year’s election seems to have become a kind of “referendum” aiming to decide Hong Kong’s future, which is not the purpose of its original set-up.

However, the councillors also get to choose 117 of their number to sit on the 1,200-member committee that selects Hong Kong’s chief executive, who is then formally appointed by the Chinese government. The landslide results mean all of those 117 seats are now likely to go to pro-democracy candidates, so they will have a greater influence over that decision, which is set to be made in 2022.

The implications

Jonathan Head, BBC News, Hong Kong wrote :

So what now? Will the protests resume? It seems almost certain they will, unless the government starts responding to protesters’ demands.

But there are challenges too for the opposition, (now elected). The new intake of young councillors will have to take on the responsibility of addressing local concerns, like public transport and other amenities, rather than the grander ideals of democracy.

They will need to work together more effectively than they have in the past, and work out how the demands and tactics of more radical protesters can most effectively be channelled to get concessions from a Chinese central government unnerved by yet another show of defiance in Hong Kong.

Voters were lost in political passions forgetting it was basically an election on civic issues:

Lau Siu-kai, vice-president of the Chinese Association of Hong Kong and Macao Studies, said most voters, affected by the protracted social unrest, were driven by the political turmoil and failed to discharge their duties to bring benefits to the community. The election results showed that many voters made the choice based only on the candidates’ political backgrounds instead of their ability to serve the community, Lau said. This time, many pro-establishment candidates, despite their rich experience of participatory community work, were defeated by some political greenhorns in the opposition camp who were parachuted into the races.

In Lau’s opinion, some voters might not wholeheartedly support those opposition candidates, but they just wanted to vent their anger with the SAR government at the expense of pro-establishment politicians.

He cautioned that such “protest vote” tactics may hurt the voters themselves, as some winning candidates, with little expertise and experience in serving the community, may fail to identify and serve their respective neighborhoods’ needs. More importantly, they may prioritize political issues after assuming office, which may bring no good to livelihood improvement and fuel the ongoing unrest, he added.

The district council historically deals with local livelihood issues, such as traffic and hygiene. But the protests have dramatically elevated their significance, at least symbolically.

CNN reported about the content of the election:

District councils are elected on four-year terms, and largely handle local affairs. They lack much in terms of real power, serving mainly to advise the government on issues affecting their neighborhoods and the allocation of funds for local projects.

While some candidates ran on fairly standard local council issues — “eliminate illegal parking,” “build an animal friendly community,” “strengthen environmental conservation” — a substantial minority, around 13%, included the key protest phrase “five demands, not one less” in their election material :

Those five demands are: withdraw the extradition bill that kicked off the entire crisis (since achieved); launch an independent inquiry into allegations of police brutality; retract any categorization of a protest on June 12 as a “riot”; amnesty for arrested protesters; and introducing universal suffrage for how the Chief Executive and Legislative Council are elected. (https://edition.cnn.com/2019/11/24/asia/hong-kong-district-council-elections-intl/index.html)

The class divide could be seen : In the working-class neighbourhood of Yau Ma Tei, a regular scene of clashes between police and demonstrators, no one waiting in line wore black, surgical masks or chanted slogans – all hallmarks of the pro-democracy protest movement. (www.aljazeera.com)

China’s Approach And Stakes

This was not as if authoritative China was adamantly trashing the election. It has viewed the polls rationally, and soberly, as the following extract, quoted at some length, shows:

In Beijing, Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said at a regular news conference that halting destruction and chaos is still the city’s top priority. “The most pressing task in Hong Kong is to stop violence and restore order,” he said.

The spokesman reaffirmed that the Chinese government is determined to safeguard national sovereignty, security and development interests, implement the “one country, two systems” policy, and oppose any foreign interference in Hong Kong affairs.

Foreign Minister Wang Yi, speaking on Monday,in Japan, reiterated that “no matter what happens, Hong Kong is a part of China”. “Any attempt to mess up Hong Kong, or even damage its prosperity and stability, will not succeed,” he said. (China Daily – Xinhua)

“Hk District Council Election Result Needs Rational Analysis”

This editorial, with the above heading, of China’s leading Daily, Global Times (published on 2019/11/25) sums up China’s stance. Unlike the Establishment in India, China did not seek to pick holes, despite the results that are not palatable to it.

It said that the “elections were held in a largely safe and orderly environment.” A few radical opposition figures, it said, attempted to disrupt the proceedings to make it difficult for pro-establishment candidates and their supporters, but it did not have much impact. People had worried that unrest sparked by the now-withdrawn extradition bill could force the cancellation of elections, but that didn’t happen.

Matter of factly, it said :

“Hong Kong district council is different from the legislative council. As a publicly elected institution of 18 districts of Hong Kong, the district council’s function is to serve the community, express public’s appeal regarding livelihood, such as transportation, environment, and living conditions. This year’s district council elections were full of political slogans because of the extradition bill controversy. But regardless, neither side has much room to politicize the district council elections.

”The unrest sparked by anti-extradition bill is still ongoing, which is conducive for pro-democracy camps to mobilize support in a short span of time. …Election result showed that there is still emotion within Hong Kong society, affecting rational thinking over the key issue of how the city should walk out of its current predicament. ”

It exposed Western meddling :

“It must be pointed out that the West has been helping HK opposition in district council elections in the past week. Australian media suddenly broke a story of a Chinese spy infiltrating HK defecting to Australia (The man is a convicted fraudster). A former employee at British Consulate General in HK detained 3 months ago on the mainland for soliciting prostitutes told BBC last week he was tortured during detention. They are intended to influence public opinion on Hong Kong. US lawmakers hastily passed Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act, also targeting district council elections.

“Hong Kong radical forces and Western supporters behind them wanted to stage a political demonstration during the voting. They tried to deny the urgency of ending chaos in Hong Kong. But we want to say that the pro-democracy camp winning more seats doesn’t mean Hong Kong voters support violent demonstrations. Majority of Hongkongers are tired of violence and are yearning for order to be restored.

“It is conceivable and impossible that majority of Hongkongers would encourage violence, support political confrontation against the mainland, and back the city to become a bridgehead for US political forces to pressure China. This is because it will severely undermine the interests of Hongkongers and push the city into an environment of uncertainties. It is crucial to rationally interpret the result of Hong Kong’s district council elections, lest mobs should be emboldened by misreading them.”

It put things in perspective :

“Hong Kong and the Chinese mainland follow different political systems. Expressing views by constitutional provisions such as votes should be encouraged in Hong Kong. The district council elections have had their impact but such influence has its limits. Both sides should be respected by all. All forces in Hong Kong, including the opposition, must compete for influence in the establishment. No one should follow the devious path of street politics.

”It is hoped that the pro-establishment groups in Hong Kong will not be discouraged, and Hongkongers who love the country and the city will not be disheartened after the district council elections. As long as elections are held, there will be swings. What’s more, in such an unfavorable situation, the pro-establishment camp still received about 40 percent of the votes.

“China’s development and progress are unstoppable. Hong Kong’s politics will certainly be increasingly linked to China’s development and progress. This is the major historical trend. The country will never abandon Hong Kong, and will never ignore the people and forces who love the motherland and the city. Hong Kong’s problems need objective analysis and practical solutions. The country will always provide guarantees for Hong Kong.

Its main thrust is :

”It is believed that whatever the ups and downs in Hong Kong polls, all elections in the city are held within the aegis of the special administrative region (SAR) of the People’s Republic of China, and they can’t impact the basic framework of “one country, two systems.” (The extract is from an editorial of the Global Times. opinion@globaltimes.com.cn)

(Part- 2 will be a Review on “one country, two systems” : Chinese socialism Vs Hong Kong’s capitalism)

Ramakrishnan, Political Observer, who contributed to Countercurrents.org.

27 November 2019

Source: countercurrents.org

Argentina’s president-elect Alberto Fernandez rejects remaining IMF money

By Countercurrents Collective

Argentina’s leftist president-elect Alberto Fernandez said Tuesday that he would renounce the remaining $11 billion tranche of the country’s International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan as soon as he takes office next month.

Outgoing center-right President Mauricio Macri agreed a massive $57 billion loan package last year, but the austerity measures he imposed failed to right the economy.

“What I want is to stop asking (for money), and that they let me pay,” said Fernandez, who takes office on December 10 after ousting Macri in last month’s elections.

“I have an enormous problem. And I’m going to ask for $11 billion more?” the incoming president said in an interview Argentina’s Radio Con Vos.

Fernandez said he will “try to revive the economy in order to pay and solve the debt problem sensibly.”

The return to power of protectionist Peronists has raised fears of yet another debt default, and eroded the peso’s value.

The poverty rate has risen to more than 35 percent; inflation for the year to September was at almost 38 percent, while the peso has depreciated 70 percent since January 2018.

The president-elect has insisted his government would not default but rather seek to renegotiate the terms of the IMF loan, and sought to reassure voters in last month’s election that their bank deposits would be safe under his administration.

“It’s like a guy who drinks a lot and is a little drunk. The solution is not to continue drinking. The solution is to stop drinking,” he told the radio.

Debt soared by about 100 billion under Macri and now exceeds 90 percent of GDP. At the time of his election in 2017, it was 38 percent of GDP.

“I try to be a serious person. A person who tells you ‘I’m going to do such and such a thing,’ and you know he’s going to do it.

“I don’t want to sign agreements that I’m not going to fulfill. Those agreements were already signed by Macri. He signed one, two, three and fulfilled none,” said Fernandez.

The IMF suspended the release of a $5.4 billion disbursement in September following the government’s failure to meet inflation targets.

“We want them not to lend us more money, but to let us develop. Let’s discuss the time I need to develop, but don’t give me more money.”

Debt soared by about $100 bln under Macri and now exceeds 90 percent of GDP. At the time of his election in 2015, it was 38 percent of GDP.

There was no immediate response from the IMF.

In recent days, the IMF named a new head of mission in Argentina, to replace the outgoing Roberto Cardarelli.

The Italian official’s replacement in Buenos Aires is Venezuelan Luis Cubeddu. The 53-year-old has experience of Argentina, having worked in the country between 2002 and 2004.

According to reports, Cubeddu has come across Fernández before, when the president-elect served as cabinet chief for then-president Néstor Kirchner.

The Frente de Todos leader said in the interview that his goal is “to revive the economy in order to pay and solve the debt problem sensibly.”

“If you have a problem, because you are in debt, do you think the solution is to continue borrowing?” he added.

Argentina’s economy has spent the last 20 months in recession. According to IMF estimates, economic activity will decline by 3.1 percent this year.

Debt under the Mauricio Macri administration has grown by around US$100 billion and now exceeds 90 percent of gross domestic product, according to international organizations. When President Macri took office in 2015, debt stood at 38 percent of GDP.

Last week, Fernández told IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva that he would seek a “sustainable” solution to both Argentina’s debt with the multilateral lender and private bondholders.

Bloomberg reported Tuesday that the president-elect’s team would seek to hold simultaneous negotiations with both parties in a bid to find a better solution.

Argentina has around US$28 billion in debt held by private investors and international organizations that will mature in 2020, Treasury Minister Hernán Lacunza said this week.

While Fernández has, for the most part, shied away from giving details about his future Cabinet officials, he did confirm Tuesday that Marco Lavagna would head the INDEC national statistics bureau.

Speaking to local news channels, the Frente de Todos leader said it was “expected” that Lavagna – the son of ex-presidential candidate and former economy minister Roberto Lavagna – would take up the position.

INDEC was a source of controversy under the previous government led by Fernaández’s vice-president-elect, Cristina Fernaández de Kichner, after it became subject to political pressures that put in doubt the credibility of official data.

27 November 2019

Source: countercurrents.org

The Choice Is Ours: Extinction or Rebellion?

By Simon Whalley

Due to capitalism’s rapaciousness, our species is hurtling towards ecocide at a frightening pace.

In the early twentieth century, tens of millions died under the Stalinist regime. We blame these deaths on the wickedness of socialism. Later, in Germany, around 6 million Jews were systematically murdered in gas chambers. We blame these deaths on the ills of fascism. At the other end of the Eurasian continent, around 22 – 45 million died under Chairman Mao between 1958-1962. These deaths are blamed on the evils of socialism. Further south, Pol Pot was responsible for the deaths of between 13 percent and 30 percent of the population. The deaths of up to 2.8 million people in Cambodia’s Killing Fields were attributed to the peril of communism.

In 2019, a staggering 795 million people, or one in nine of us, does not have enough food to lead a healthy active life. By 2025, around 1.8 billion people will live in areas plagued by water scarcity, and two thirds of the world’s population will be living in water-stressed regions. If there is no water, then there will be no food.

While the future famines will be caused by a lack of water, the malnourishment we see today isn’t the result of a lack of food on our planet. In fact, there are now more people suffering from obesity than those that are malnourished. The problem stems from our current system of capitalism. Why do we not call capitalism out for all this suffering as we do with socialism, communism or fascism?

This system deems it fair for 13 of the richest billionaires to enjoy as much wealth as the poorest 50 percent. This system regards it rational for these 13 individuals to extract and use as much of the world’s natural resources as 3.6 billion people. If the world’s 13 richest billionaires wished to use their money to buy half the world’s resources, there would be nothing in this current system to stop them doing so. How can this be ethical?

This is why today, people in wealthy countries can spend their days in comfort, chowing down on steaks, whiling their time away playing video games and watching endless TV series and movies, and then go on to talk about these video games and TV shows in an endless loop of nothingness. All while people with the mere misfortune to be born in a different geographical space in time are trying their best to survive in harsh conditions we in the global north car barely imagine. We have more money and more money equals the right to use more resources. We can enjoy ourselves at the expense of the poor.

Due to capitalism’s rapaciousness, our species is hurtling towards ecocide at a frightening pace. All of us in the global north are to blame, some more than others. The fossil fuel companies that have lied to us for decades to keep us hooked on their products, the large conglomerates profiting from the destruction of entire ecosystems to keep us hooked on the flesh of animals even as we are awakening to the fact that plant based diets are healthier and more sustainable, the agrochemical corporations that enrich themselves and their shareholders by forcing farmers to use their chemicals on the food we eat which in turn makes us sick and decimates insect populations and contaminates our soil and kills our earth worms, the car companies that lie about emissions and lobby our elected leaders so we buy more of their products are largely responsible for our current predicament. These companies and the humans that lead them are complicit in nothing short of the manslaughter of millions, the destruction of the ecosystems we rely on for our survival, and the extinction of up to 10,000 species a year. They will also be responsible for the mass starvation of billions of humans in just a decade or so. This is the work of the greed that capitalism encourages and desires in us. Capitalism only survives by us buying more and more things so investors receive returns. The GDP must keep going up and up and up forever or the system collapses. But we all know this is not possible. We have extremely limited resources, and for the GDP to keep rising, we need more and more people. We cannot continue to expand our population in perpetuity. The system was flawed at the outset, and its flaws have never been more apparent than now as we start to see our life systems unravel before our very eyes.

The capitalists and our corrupt governments are largely to blame for this destruction and the extinctions. They will also be to blame for the deaths as food and water runs dry. They were told by scientists that this would happen if they didn’t change course, but they continued anyway to keep the system going, and they ignore the reality of our distress as they fly around in private jets and moor their yachts off shore in the same place they hide their wealth.

But, just as the left in Germany were complicit in the rise of Nazism, we are also complicit in this crime of ecocide. We all benefit from the system that is eating itself. Every day that goes by that we continue to talk about trivial nonsense instead of accepting our dire situation and acting. Every day that goes by as we bury our heads in the sand. Every day that goes by that we carry on buying pointless crap. Every day that goes by that we continue to feed 70 billion farmed animals in factory hell holes while almost a billion humans go hungry. Every day we stay silent as ecosystems collapse, we are complicit in the manslaughter of the global south. We are complicit in the needless resource theft of future generations. We are complicit in the future starvation and conflict that is surely going to arrive at our children’s door. We are enabling the worst to happen to our own children.

If we must blame historical deaths on socialism, communism or fascism, then let’s be honest with ourselves and blame capitalism for ecosystem collapse, extinctions and mass starvation. But, let’s not forget that as we stay silent and act like children, while children act like adults, that we too are to blame.

It doesn’t have to be this way. We have options open to us, but time is running out. Will you play video games and watch TV shows tonight, or will you awaken from this drunken stupor and rise up with humanity to demand a just transition to a fairer and more equal system that encourages love not fear and bridges not walls.

Do you want Extinction or Rebellion?

Simon Whalley is a an English teacher at a university in Japan and co-founder of Extinction Rebellion Japan.

27 November 2019

Source: countercurrents.org

Is Netanyahu ready to inflame war to escape his legal troubles?

By Jonathan Cook

Nazareth: The decision to indict Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on three separate criminal counts pushes the country’s already unprecedented electoral stalemate into the entirely uncharted territory of a constitutional crisis.

There is no legal precedent for a sitting prime minister facing a trial – in Netanyahu’s case, for bribery, fraud and breach of trust. Former Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert was charged with corruption in 2009 but only after he had resigned from office.

Israeli commentators are already warning of the possibility of civil war if, as seems likely, Netanyahu decides to whip up his far-right supporters into a frenzy of outrage. After a decade in power, he has developed an almost cult-like status among sections of the public.

He called for mass protests in Tel Aviv by supporters on Tuesday night under the banner “Stop the coup”.

The honorable thing would be for Netanyahu to step down quickly, given that the two elections he fought this year ended in deadlock. Both were seen primarily as plebiscites on his continuing rule.

He is now the country’s caretaker prime minister, in place until either a new government can be formed or an unprecedented third election is held.

His departure would end months of governmental near-paralysis. The path would then be clear for a successor from his Likud party to negotiate a deal on a right-wing unity government with rival Benny Gantz, a former army general.

Gantz’s Blue and White party has made it a point of principle not to forge an alliance with Netanyahu.

Previous experience, however, suggests that Netanyahu might prefer to tear the house down rather than go quietly. If he is allowed to press ahead with another election in March, he is likely to stoke new levels of incitement against his supposed enemies.

Until now, the main target of his venom has been a predictable one.

During the April and September campaigns, he railed relentlessly against the fifth of Israel’s citizenry who are Palestinian as well as their elected representatives in the Joint List, the third largest faction in the Knesset.

Shortly before last Thursday’s indictment was announced, Netanyahu was at it again, holding an “emergency conference”. He told supporters that a minority government led by Gantz and propped up from outside by the Joint List would be a “historic national attack on Israel”. The Palestinian minority’s MPs, he said, “want to destroy the country”.

Such a government, he added, would be an outcome “they will celebrate in Tehran, in Ramallah and in Gaza, as they do after every terror attack”.

This repeated scaremongering had an obvious goal: rallying the Jewish public to vote for his far-right, now overtly anti-Arab coalition. The hope was that he would win an outright majority and could then force through legislation conferring on him immunity from prosecution.

Now he appears to have run out of time. After three years of investigations and much foot-dragging, the attorney general, Avichai Mandelblit, has finally charged him.

According to the Israeli media, Netanyahu turned down opportunities for a plea bargain that would have seen him resign in return for avoiding jail time.

According to the most serious allegation, he is accused of granting media tycoon Shaul Elovich benefits worth $500 million in exchange for favourable coverage.

Weighed against the crimes he and other Israeli leaders have perpetrated over many decades against the Palestinians in the occupied territories, the offences he is indicted for seem relatively minor.

Nonetheless, if found guilty, Netanyahu faces a substantial prison sentence of up to 10 years. That makes the stakes high.

All the signs now are that he will switch his main target from Israel’s Palestinian minority to the legal authorities pursuing him.

His first response to the indictment was to accuse the police and state prosecutors of an “attempted coup”, claiming they had fabricated the evidence to “frame” him. “The time has come to investigate the investigators,” he urged.

As one Blue and White official told the veteran Israeli reporter Ben Caspit: “Netanyahu will not hesitate to sic [unleash] his supporters on those institutions of government that represent the rule of law. He has no inhibitions.”

Technically the law allows a prime minister to continue serving while under indictment and before a trial, which is still many months away. Assuming Netanyahu refuses to resign, the courts will have to rule on whether this privilege extends to a caretaker leader unable to form a new government.

Netanyahu is therefore likely to focus his attention on intimidating the supreme court, already cowed by a decade of tongue-lashing from the Israeli right. Critics unfairly accuse the court of being a bastion of liberalism.

But bigger dangers may lie ahead. Netanyahu needs to keep his own Likud party in line. If its members sense he is finished, there could be a rapid collapse of support and moves towards an attempt to overthrow him.

The first hints of trouble emerged on Saturday when Gideon Saar, Netanyahu’s most likely challenger in Likud, accused him of “creating an atmosphere of chaos” by denigrating the legal authorities. On Tuesday he went further calling on Netanyahu to quit.

After the failure by both Gantz and Netanyahu to put together a coalition, the task was passed last week to parliament. Its members have just over a fortnight left to see whether one of their number can rally a majority of MPs.

This brief window could provide an opportunity for Saar to move against Netanyahu. On Sunday he submitted an official request for the Likud party to hold a snap leadership race.

Observers fear that to allay this danger, Netanyahu might consider not only inflaming his base but also setting the region alight with a conflict to rally the rest of the public to his side and make his removal impossible.

In fact, the Israeli media reported that shortly before September’s election, he had tried to pull precisely such a stunt, preparing a war on Gaza to justify postponing the ballot.

He was stopped at the last minute by Mandelblit, who realised that the cabinet had been misled into approving military action. Netanyahu had reportedly concealed from them the fact that the military command was opposed.

In recent weeks, Netanyahu has stoked severe tensions with Gaza by assassinating Palestinian Islamic Jihad leader Baha Abu Al Atta. Last week he launched airstrikes on Iranian positions in Syria.

When Olmert was being investigated for corruption in 2008, Netanyahu sagely warned of the dangerous confusion of interests that might result. “He will make decisions based on his own interests of political survivability rather than the national interest,” he said.

And that is precisely the reason why many in Israel are keen to see the back of Netanyahu – in case his instinct for political survival trumps the interests of stability in the region.

A version of this article first appeared in the National, Abu Dhabi.

Jonathan Cook won the Martha Gellhorn Special Prize for Journalism.

26 November 2019

Source: countercurrents.org

CHAINED TO THE BOTTOM OF THE OCEAN

By Soraya Sepahpour-Ulrich

When protests in Hong Kong, Iraq, and Lebanon erupted, I was fully anticipating protests in Iran to follow. In 2018 alone, the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) had spent millions of dollars in these countries (and elsewhere) to promote America’s agenda. However, I did not expect unrest in Iran to take place while I was visiting the country. In retrospect, I am glad that I was here to be witness to these latest events.

On Thursday, November 21st, friends took me to a very charming Iranian restaurant in the heart of the city. During our lunch, they talked about there being a price hike in gasoline. After lunch, we walked around the charming downtown area of Tehran, visited shops and exhausted climbed into a cab. We asked the cab driver if he had heard anything about prices going up. He told us that this was just a rumor. As such, the increase in the price of gasoline took Iranians by surprise. Regrettably, the government of President Rohani had not explained the rationale behind the price increase PRIOR to the increase itself. In several parts of Iran, protests erupted. Perhaps justified; and they were peaceful. One could argue they were disruptive in that cars blocked roads making it difficult for others, causing traffic jams, but there was no vandalism on the first day – not to my knowledge.

But calm soon gave way to violence. A friend who lives in the suburbs of Tehran, in Karaj, told me that on a single street in that sleepy suburb, protestors had set 4 banks on fire. Elsewhere, police stations were attacked, banks and gas stations set on fire. Businesses were set on fire and destroyed. People were sending text messages to each other giving locations of alleged protests in the hopes of gathering people in one spot or another.

This did not surprise me. I was certain that “swarming” tactic was being implemented (as I believe it was elsewhere mentioned above). First developed by RAND as a military and tactical tool, RAND’s publication “Swarming & The future of Conflict” states:

In Athena’s Camp, we speculated that swarming is already emerging as an appropriate doctrine for networked forces to wage information-age conflict. This nascent doctrine derives from the fact that robust connectivity allows for the creation of a multitude of small units of maneuver, networked in such a fashion that, although they might be widely distributed, they can still come together, at will and repeatedly, to deal resounding blows to their adversaries. This study builds on these earlier findings by inquiring at length into why and how swarming might be emerging as a preferred mode of conflict for small, dispersed, internetted units. In our view, swarming will likely be the future of conflict.”

“Social conflict also features pack-like organizations, as exemplified by modern-day “soccer hooligans.” They generally operate in a loosely dispersed fashion, then swarm against targets of opportunity who are “cut out” from a larger group of people. The use of modern information technologies—from the Internet to cell phones—has facilitated plans and operations by such gangs (see Sullivan, 1997)”.

Swarming depends on robust information flow and is a necessary condition for successful swarming. In other words, by controlling communication and sending texts to ‘protestors’, random groups are mobilized together in one or various spots. Chaos ensues which naturally draws reaction. One is never aware of the origin of the messages. In one of her talks, Suzanne Maloney of Brookings seemed to know the exact number of cell phones in use in Iran. These messages increased in number, as did the vandalism and reaction to the destructive behavior. This was not the first time that this tactic had been used in Iran. But it was the first time that Iran’s adversaries were surprised, shocked even, to see that Iran was capable of shutting down the internet so quickly in order to put a stop to the spread of violence and restore calm.

I drove around in Tehran from end to end, either with friends or in a cab and took note of the streets. I watched both Iranian tv news and foreign media such as BBC Persian, VOA, Radio Farda, Saudi funded Iran International broadcasted into Iran through satellite (at times jammed) to encourage people to get out on the streets and to protest. Iran was covered under a blanket of snow. With freezing temperatures, I was amused to see BBC Persian show pictures of ‘demonstrators’ in T-shirts. I was angry to see Reza Pahlavi, the deposed Shah of Iran appear on Iran International encouraging people to get out onto streets. I felt insulted on behalf of every Iranian when Secretary Pompeo retweeted an old tweet and then tweeted again that ‘he was with the Iranian people’ – not to eat, not to receive medicinal goods, not to address their desire for peace and security, but to endure all kinds of hardship and to be subjected to American terrorism (sanctions) and go out on the streets to protest in order to promote America’s agenda.

The hostile foreign media even showed pictures of a ‘protestor’ handing out flowers to security personnel – a symbol first used against the Pentagon in 1967 by a woman protesting the war in Vietnam (and later in the 2014 US backed coup in Ukraine). Except I could not tell if the picture I saw streaming through the foreign media’s satellite television was Iran or not. The viewer was told it was. The symbol was powerful, but I doubt very much that it was an indigenous one.

With the internet disconnected, foreign media propaganda then had its viewers believe people were calling from inside Iran; eyewitnesses reporting events. A voice telling BBC, or Iran International, or …… what was going on. Just a voice which would not doubt then be picked up as eyewitness testimony and shared in all media outlets. The ease with which individuals in various target countries always manage to get directly through to a television stations has always fascinated me. No automated answer – just straight to the newsroom.

In all this, I can’t help but ask why it was that none of the banks and gas stations set on fire, buildings burnt and businesses ruined, were not located in the pro-West parts of Tehran. Their life continued without a hitch – homes safe, business safe. After all, the main reason for the gasoline price increase was to help the less affluent and the poor. Perhaps as Daniel McAdams of the Ron Paul Institute said of the CIA’s role behind the uprisings, Michael D’Andrea, aka “Ayatollah Mike” wanted them safe. Regardless of the reason, CIA/NED spent millions and failed – again.

*

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Soraya Sepahpour-Ulrich is an independent researcher and writer with a focus on US foreign policy. She is a frequent contributor to Global Research

25 November 2019

Source: globalresearch.ca

Turmoil or State Terror in Kashmir

By Junaid S. Ahmad

“They weren’t like us and for that reason deserved to be ruled”
-Edward Said

The parallels with the Zionist state are impossible not to notice. This should be no surprise considering the close collaboration between Israel and India in virtually all domains of ‘security,’ i.e. containing the ‘Muslim threat.’ The completion of the fascist Hindutiva project of completely annexing the entire of Indian-occupied Kashmir, utterly unlawful considered the territory’s internationally-recognized status as disputed territory, comes straight from the Israeli playbook. Classic Zionist cliches of ‘transfer’ (i.e., ethnic cleansing) and settler-colonialism based on the absurd mantra of “a land without a people for a people without a land” has become New Dehli’s modus operandi toward Kashmiris.

As Said notes, “they weren’t like us.” In India today, there are entire populations designated by the Hindu right government of the BJP, with its fascist ‘brownshirts’ in the form of the RSS and Shiv Sena, as not like ‘us.’ These include Dalits, tribal peoples resisting ‘development’ that further impoverishes and marginalizes their existence, the Naxalites demanding their own autonomy, refugees of many generations and others in Assam all of a sudden denied citizenship, and of course the most venal form of state terrorism, the more than 700,000 troops that militarily occupy, kill, injure, blind, rape, and detain indefinitely the Kashmiri people who refuse, decade after decade, to submit to a state of subjugation to such immense cruelty.

The 20th century fascist Hindutva project for a ‘Hindu Raj,’ it must be noted, is a a modernist fundamentalist movement that actually despises and is embarassed by the majority of Hindus themselves. It is an upper caste movement that despised ‘weak Hindus’ that refused the sociopathic psychology of violence and toxic masculinity that the ‘strong Hindus’ (and their twisted mindset) desired. Hence, their assassination of Gandhi.

The current repugnant predicament that the Indian state has imposed on Kashmiris is unbearable. The participants in this major international conference clearly recognized this, and were well-intentioned in attempting to develop strategies of assistance and resistance.

However, there was a noticeable absence of voices of Kashmiris themselves, and this has been a perennial problem. One of the lessons learned from the latest Indian assault on Kashmir is that mistakes of the past must be avoided at all costs. Kashmiri voices and Kashmiri lives must be centered, not those of Pakistanis and certainly not those of Indians. One of the other critical points raised was the sheer bankruptcy of much of the Indian liberal-left intelligentsia, both within India and abroad, to openly criticize and condemn New Dehli’s actions, and to stand in solidarity with Kashmiris. Indian academics and the diaspora in general have been abysmal when it comes to the question of Kashmiris and their right to self-determination.

While it is undoubtedly the case that we have witnessed commentary in mainstream Western media like the New York Times and The Washington Post that, perhaps after virtually thirty years, have openly criticized India’s butchery in Kashmir, it still very much seems that the economics of a market of over a billion people will trump the blood and lives of eight million Kashmiris. The so-called international community, with murmurs here and there about how unfortunate this situation is, once again proves itself to be utterly useless in upholding international law and applying any pressure to the Subcontinent’s hegemonic power.

Nevertheless, all is not lost and the seeds of hope, of ongoing formidable Kashmiri resistance for liberation, were underscored. There were some who raised the usual canard of where is the ‘peaceful’ Mandela in struggles like Kashmir and Palestine. Some of us respectfully reminded them that Mandela did not go to jail for being ‘peaceful’: he was jailed for founding the MK, the armed wing of the African National Congress. And he could have been released at least ten years earlier from jail, but he refused to renounce the armed struggle against the oppressive minority white Apartheid regime. Armed struggle against colonial occupation has always been an internationally guaranteed right for all colonized peoples. It’s just that we live in such Islamophobic times that ‘anti-colonial/occupation’ struggles are only seen through the prism of ‘Islamic terrorism’ when it involves just Muslim resistance to oppression.

One controversial issue was that of the language used to describe the current scenario in Kashmir. Just like in the Zionist Occupied Territories, if the Palestinians had F-16s, tanks, cutting edge missiles, and defense systems, then you can call it what most of the mainstream media call it: the Israeli-Palestinian ‘conflict.’ Calling it a conflict is a farcical ploy to conceal the routine Zionist festivals of slaughter against Palestinians, shooting at them like pigeons. And the exact same problematique of semantics applies to the similar plight of Kashmiris living under the most militarized occupation in the world.

Finally, it would be unfair to say that there is public activism on Kashmir at the moment unlike we’ve seen for a long time. Just in the US alone, the ‘Stand Up for Kashmir’ movement of academics, activists, and ordinary concerned citizens has taken off like wildfire. In particular, Kashmiri women have powerfully conveyed their sordid narratives under Indian occupation to Western civil society utterly clueless about the situation.

Prime Minister Imran Khan unquestionably made a remarkably powerful plea to the world at the UN to not ignore the degradation to which Kashmiris are subject. However, Imran Khan, just like leaders before him like Martin Luther King, would be nothing if there is not a budding mass movement to put pressure on civil society, academic institutions, companies, and governments to adopt the Palestian strategy toward India: Boycott, Divestment, and Sanctions.

The Kashmiris are waiting for us to be in solidarity with them in confronting the terrorist behemoth that wants to completely subdue them, but never will.

25 November 2019

Junaid S. Ahmad is the Director of the Center for Global Studies, UMT, Lahore, Pakistan. He is also a JUST member.

China – The Belt and Road Initiative – The Bridge that Spans the World

By Peter Koenig

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), also called the New Silk Road, is based on a 2,100-year-old trade route between the Middle East and Eastern Asia, called the Silk Road. It wound its ways across the huge landmass Eurasia to the most eastern parts of China. It favored trading, based on the Taoist philosophy of harmony and peaceful coexistence – trading in the original sense of the term, an exchange with “win-win” outcomes, both partners benefiting equally.

Today, in the western world we have lost this concept. The terms of trade are imposed always by the ‘stronger’ partner, the west versus the poorer south – the south where most of the natural resources are lodged. Mother Earth’s assets have been and are coveted by the west– or north – for building and maintaining a lifestyle in luxury, abundance and waste. This trend has lasted for centuries of western colonialism: Exploitation, loot, esclavisation and rape of entire peoples of the Global South by the Global North, to use the current soothing World Bank lingo.

The New Silk Road, or BRI, is Chinese President Xi Jinping’s brainchild.It’s based on the same ancient principles, adjusted to the 21st Century, building bridges between peoples, exchanging goods, research, education, knowledge, cultural wisdom, peacefully, harmoniously and ‘win-win’ style. On 7 September 2013, Xi presented BRI at Kazakhstan’s Nazarbayev University. He spoke about “People-to-People Friendship and Creating a better Future”. He referred to the Ancient Silk Road of more than 2,100 years ago, that flourished during China’s Western Han Dynasty (206 BC to 24 AD).

Referring to this epoch of more than two millenniums back, Xi Jinping pointed to the history of exchanges under the Ancient Silk Road, saying,“they had proven that countries with differences in race, belief and cultural background can absolutely share peace and development as long as they persist in unity and mutual trust, equality and mutual benefit, mutual tolerance and learning from each other, as well as cooperation and win-win outcomes.”

President Xi’s vision may be shaping the world of the 21st Century. The Belt and Road Initiative is designed and modeled loosely according to the Ancient Silk Road. President Xi launched this ground-breaking project soon after assuming the Presidency in 2013. The endeavor’s idea is to connect the world with transport routes, infrastructure, industrial joint ventures, teaching and research institutions, cultural exchange and much more. Since 2017, enshrined in China’s Constitution, BRI has become the flagship for China’s foreign policy.

BRI is literally building bridges and connecting people of different continents and nations. The purpose of the New Silk Road is “to construct a unified large market and make full use of both international and domestic markets, through cultural exchange and integration, to enhance mutual understanding and trust of member nations, ending up in an innovative pattern with capital inflows, talent pool, and technology database”. BRI is a perfect vehicle for building peacefully a World Community with a Shared Future for Mankind – which was the theme of an international Forum held in Shanghai, from 5-7 November, a tribute to China’s 70th Anniversary of her Revolution and achievements – with a vision into the future.

BRI is a global development strategy adopted by the Chinese Government. Already todayBRI has investments involving more than 150 countries and international organizations – and growing – in Asia, Africa, Europe, the Middle East and the Americas. BRI is a multi-trillion investment scheme, for transport routes on land and sea, as well as construction of industrial and energy infrastructure and energy exploration – as well as trade among connected countries.Unlike WTO (World Trade Organization), BRI is encouraging nations to benefit from their comparative advantages, creating win-win situations. In essence, BRI is to develop mutual understanding and trust among member nations, allowing for free capital flows, a pool of experts and access to a BRI-based technology data base.

At present, BRI’s closing date is foreseen for 2049 which coincides with new China’s 100th Anniversary. The size and likely success of the program indicates, however, already today that it will most probably be extended way beyond that date. It is worth noting, though, that only in 2019, six years after its inception, BRI has become a news item in the West. Remarkably, for six years BRI was as much as denied, or ignored by the western media, in the hope it may go away. But away it didn’t go. To the contrary, many European Union members have already subscribed to BRI, including Greece, Italy, France, Portugal – and more will follow, as the temptation to participate in this projected socioeconomic boom is overwhelming.

Germany, the supposed economic leader of Europe, is mulling over the benefits and contras of participating in BRI. The German business community, like business throughout Europe, is strongly in favor of lifting US-imposed sanctions and reconnecting with the East, in particular with China and Russia. But official Berlin is still with one foot in the White House – and with the other trying to appease the German – and European – world of business. This balancing act is in the long run not sustainable and certainly not desirable. At present BRI is already actively involved in over 80 countries, including at least half of the EU members.

To counteract the pressure to join BRI, the European Union, basically run by NATO and intimately linked to Washington, has initiated their own ‘Silk Road’, attempting to connect Asia with Europe through Japan. In that sense, the EU and Japan have signed a “free trade agreement” which includes a compact to build infrastructure, in sectors such as energy, transport and digital devices. The purpose is to strengthen economic and cultural ties between the two regions, boosting business relations between Asia and Europa. It is an obvious effort to compete with or even sideline China’s BRI. But it is equally obvious that this response will fail. Usually initiatives taken in ill-fate are not successful. And China, non-belligerent China, is unlikely to challenge this EU-Japan competitive approach.

In another approach to counter BRI, The U.S. Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC), Australia’s Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), and Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC), launched on 4 November the Blue Dot Network (BDN), an initiative supposedly run entirely by private actors, funded by private banking, intended to bring together governments, the private sector, and civil society “to promote high-quality, trusted standards for global infrastructure development in an open and inclusive framework.”
It is not clear how the BDN will interact with or counteract BRI. Anything run entirely by the private sector, especially western private banking, is no good omen for the country their “development effort” touches. Such investments’ objectives are primarily shareholder profits, not socioeconomic development benefitting the countries where they plan to invest. No competition for China’s BRI. Again, non-aggressive China is unlikely to react.

China’s New Silk Road is creating a multipolar world, where all participants will benefit. The idea is to encourage economic growth, distributed in a balanced way, so as to prioritize development opportunities for those most in need. That means the under-developed areas of western China, eastern Russia, Central Asia, Central Europe – reaching out to Africa and the Middle East, Latin America, as well as to South East Asia and the Pacific. BRI is already actively building and planning some six to ten land and maritime routes, connecting Africa, the Middle East, Europe and South America.

The expected multi-trillion-dollar equivalent dynamic budget is expected to be funded by China, largely, but not exclusively, by the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB), by Russia – and by all the countries that are part of BRI and involved in singular or multi-country projects. The long-term return on these massive investments in people’s wellbeing is an exponential multiple of the original investments and cannot be limited to numerical economics, as social benefits of wellbeing cannot be defined by linear accounting.

Implementing BRI, or the New Silk Road, is itself the realization of a vision of nations: Peaceful interconnectivity, joint infrastructure and industrial development, as well as joint management of natural resources. For example, BRI may help with infrastructure and management advice resolving or preventing conflicts on transboundary water resources. There are some 263 transboundary lake and river basins, covering almost half the earth’s surface and involving some 150 countries. In addition, there are about 300 transboundary aquifers serving about 2 billion people who depend on groundwater.

The Chinese government calls the Silk Road Initiative “a bid to enhance regional connectivity and embrace a brighter future”. Today, John Lennon’s “Give Peace a Chance” is more relevant than ever. And China is a vanguard in promoting peaceful development across the globe. BRI, China’s foreign policy flagship, is clearly an initiative towards world Peace.

Peter Koenig is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization.

25 November 2019

Source: countercurrents.org