Just International

Oil, Power and War: Global Repercussions of the West Asian Conflict

By Vikas Parashram Meshram

Politics in West Asia has for decades been trapped in a vortex of tension, distrust, and power rivalry. After years of maritime blockades, economic sanctions, diplomatic pressure, and covert operations, the United States and Israel have finally launched a large-scale attack on Iran. This operation, carried out with missiles and fighter jets, has pushed the entire West Asian region to the brink of a wider war. Soon after the attack, Iran responded by launching retaliatory missile strikes targeting Israel and several American military bases across the Gulf region. As a result, countries such as Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates are now witnessing heightened tensions and security concerns.

This conflict is no longer limited to two countries. Instead, it has begun to reshape political dynamics across the entire region. Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthi movement in Yemen have also initiated attacks against Israel. Consequently, the conflict is gradually transforming into a multi-front confrontation. Various states, armed groups, and regional actors are becoming directly or indirectly involved, making the situation far more complex and dangerous.

Reports suggest that in the attacks, more than two hundred people have lost their lives, including Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Defence Minister Amir Nasirzadeh, and the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, General Mohammad Pakpour. In southern Iran, a strike on a school reportedly killed more than eighty civilians, highlighting the devastating humanitarian consequences of the conflict. The incident has sparked intense anger across Iran, fueling a wave of grief and calls for retaliation.

These developments have raised serious questions about the strategic calculations behind the operation. Discussions are emerging about whether the attack was carried out using intelligence gathered during ongoing diplomatic negotiations. Some analysts argue that efforts could have been made to engineer a political transition within Iran rather than targeting its top leadership. The assassination of senior leaders may ultimately prove to be a grave diplomatic miscalculation, potentially escalating the conflict further.

Public opinion within the United States itself appears divided. According to recent surveys, only about one-third of Americans support the military strike on Iran. Opposition leaders have also criticized the administration for failing to consult the legislature before launching such a significant military operation. As a result, the government now faces the political challenge of justifying its decision both domestically and internationally.

The conflict has also triggered concerns among several countries regarding the safety of their citizens in the region. Many governments have begun exploring evacuation routes and opening land borders to facilitate the departure of their nationals from Iran and nearby areas. Citizens have been advised to relocate to safer zones, indicating that the possibility of a prolonged conflict cannot be ruled out.

Several American military bases across West Asia have now become potential targets. The Al Udeid Air Base near Doha in Qatar serves as a crucial headquarters for the U.S. Central Command. Around ten thousand troops are stationed there, and it coordinates military operations across a vast region stretching from Egypt to Central Asia. In Kuwait, bases such as Camp Arifjan and Ali Al Salem hold significant strategic importance due to their proximity to Iraq. Camp Buehring, built during the Iraq war, continues to serve as a key logistical hub for operations in Iraq and Syria.

The Al Dhafra Air Base in the United Arab Emirates is another vital installation for the U.S. Air Force, hosting advanced fighter aircraft and supporting aerial missions throughout the region. Meanwhile, the Jebel Ali port near Dubai is regarded as the largest logistics hub for the U.S. Navy in West Asia, regularly receiving warships and supply vessels.

In Iraq, the Ain al-Asad airbase remains a major operational center for American forces. It plays a crucial role in supporting Iraqi security forces and conducting training programs. Notably, Iran had previously launched missile attacks on this base in 2020. Similarly, the airbase near Erbil in northern Iraq serves as an important coordination center for intelligence sharing and military cooperation among allied forces.

Saudi Arabia’s Prince Sultan Air Base is also strategically significant, housing advanced missile defense systems. In Jordan, the Azraq airbase plays a key role in coordinating operations across the region. With rising tensions, all these installations now face increased risks of potential attacks.

The conflict has also exposed divisions within the Muslim world. While some countries appear to support the United States and its allies, others have called for restraint and dialogue. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has reportedly been in contact with several regional leaders as he closely monitors developments. The crisis may reshape political alliances and power balances across the region.

One of the most serious consequences of this conflict could be its impact on the global economy. If Iran decides to block the Strait of Hormuz, nearly twenty-five percent of the world’s oil supply could be disrupted. This narrow waterway is one of the most critical routes for global energy trade, and any disruption could cause a sharp spike in oil prices.

If oil prices rise by ten to twenty dollars per barrel, the economic impact on countries like India could be substantial. India is among the world’s largest importers of crude oil, and such a surge would significantly increase its import bill. This could trigger higher inflation, increased transportation costs, and rising food prices. In such circumstances, central banks may face pressure to raise interest rates to control inflation.

Another critical concern for India is the safety of its citizens working in Gulf countries. Nearly nine million Indians are employed across the region. In the event of an escalation, ensuring their safe evacuation could become a major logistical challenge. Moreover, remittances sent by these workers constitute an important source of foreign exchange for India, and prolonged instability could affect this financial inflow.

Nearly half of India’s crude oil imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Any disruption along this route would therefore pose a serious challenge to India’s energy security. At the same time, instability in the Red Sea region could further complicate global oil supply routes.

At the global level, the conflict also raises serious questions about international law and the rules-based world order. The world is already dealing with ongoing conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine war and the Israel-Gaza crisis. Another major conflict in West Asia could severely disrupt global trade, supply chains, and economic stability.

In this context, the United Nations Security Council must take urgent steps to de-escalate tensions. Diplomatic engagement, mediation, and dialogue are essential to prevent the situation from spiraling out of control. Countries such as Oman and Qatar could potentially play an important mediating role in facilitating negotiations.

For India, the greatest challenge lies in maintaining a balanced foreign policy. India has longstanding strategic relations with the United States, Israel, Iran, and the Gulf nations. Therefore, taking an openly partisan stance could prove risky. Strengthening energy security, expanding strategic petroleum reserves, and accelerating the transition toward alternative energy sources are crucial priorities in the current scenario.

Ultimately, the conflict in West Asia is unlikely to remain a purely regional war. Its political, economic, and humanitarian consequences will be felt across the world. In such a volatile environment, dialogue, restraint, and international cooperation remain the only viable path forward. For the sake of humanity and global stability, bringing this conflict to an immediate halt and restoring peace must become the foremost priority.

Vikas Parashram Meshram is a journalist.

3 March 2026

Source: countercurrents.org

Iran counters Israel and the USA with resilience

By Ranjan Solomon

Israel and USA in tandem may pose a formidable enemy to counter. That does guarantee victory. The US has lost multiple wars at the hands of supposedly weaker countries. Israel is in decay mode with a deepening economic crisis, and a rapidly slithering population.

The conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran as of early 2026 is characterized by a “decapitation” strategy and intense, direct military strikes, according to reports. In this illegal war, the stated objectives by U.S. and Israeli leadership, such as destroying Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities, preventing regional instability, and fostering regime change, are heavily contested, with critics describing the campaign as an illegal, non-defensive war of aggression.

The strategy, by itself, is viewed as, “fundamentally flawed,” and dishonest and based on, a “war of choice,” rather than necessity,” by many experts. The conflict is in an, “ongoing,” state of escalation, with both sides, “pursuing multiple objectives,” including a, “4-week timetable,” for the war.

The conflict follows 45 years of “anti-American stance,” and, “proxy-based hostilities,” and is fuelled by “maximum pressure,” campaigns. The critiques of the conflict who deem that the USA and Israel have acted illegally and against international law are multiplying in numbers. Many analysts and the UN General Assembly have characterized the unilateral attacks as a violation of the UN Charter, specifically regarding state sovereignty, with critics calling it a, “crime of aggression”.

As of July 2025, 28 countries, including the UK, Japan, and several European nations had officially called for an immediate end to the war in Gaza, marking increased international pressure on Israel. Earlier in June 2025, a UN General Assembly resolution demanding a permanent ceasefire was supported by 149 countries.

Following the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint US-Israel strike on February 28, 2026, the intent of “Regime Change & “Decapitation” stands doomed. The primary goal appears to be the total dismantling of the Islamic Republic’s power structure rather than just a, “non-proliferation” exercise. Israel and the U.S. have argued that Iran’s nuclear program, particularly its alleged new, underground, and, “impossible to attack,” sites, made an immediate, “pre-emptive,” war necessary.

As of March 3, 2026, the six nations of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman, and Bahrain) have been directly targeted by Iranian retaliatory strikes, with many calling for an immediate halt to the conflict. These are countries that host US Army bases. Additionally, Germany and other European nations have sought to de-escalate. Germany, along with the UK and France, has called for a negotiated settlement, with Germany explicitly ruling out active participation in military action against Tehran. Spain joined in calling for an immediate de-escalation of the conflict.

The strikes on Iran have resulted in significant civilian casualties, including reports of a, “girls’ elementary school in Minab,” being destroyed with an estimated 120 innocent girls dead. The conflict has rapidly spread, causing the, “closure of the Strait of Hormuz,” and retaliatory strikes on US allies in the region (Bahrain, UAE, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia) creating huge regional instability. On the other hand, Iran has confined itself to US military bases, and key locations in Israel.

Tehran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) launched retaliatory missile and drone strikes against multiple U.S. military facilities across the Middle East. The IRGC claimed to have targeted 14 U.S. military bases in the region. Al Udeid Air Base (Qatar), the forward headquarters for U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) was targeted. So too, the Erbil Air Base (Iraq) located in the Kurdish region, was hit by multiple missiles and drone strikes. The Al Dhafra Air Base (UAE) which hosts U.S. personnel, was targeted, with explosions reported in the vicinity.

Reports indicate Iranian missiles were also fired at Muwaffaq Al-Salti Air Base, Jordan. The US base Ain Al-Asad Air Base in western Iraq was targeted, with reports of explosions in the area. Jebel Ali Port (UAE), a large structure in a U.S. Navy recreational area within the port was hit.

In Camp Buehring (Kuwait), a drone was reported to have detonated within the perimeter of this base. The attacks, dubbed “Operation Truthful Promise 4” by Iran, were in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes that targeted Iranian nuclear sites and military facilities. While the IRGC claimed that hundreds of American troops were killed in the strikes, U.S. officials have not confirmed these high figures, with some reports noting that three service members were killed at Camp Arifjan, while other sources indicated lower casualties, and some locations suffered no casualties at all. The strikes in 2026 mark a significant escalation compared to previous, lower-level attacks by Iran-backed groups in 2023-2024.

Jeffrey Sachs writing in ‘Common Dreams” offered the lame pretext that the joint US-Israeli attacks were necessary because Iran “rejected every opportunity to renounce their nuclear ambitions, and we can’t take it anymore.” Sachs terms it as a “flat lie”. Sachs reminds us that Iran agreed a decade ago to a nuclear deal, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) that was adopted by the UN Security Council in Resolution 2231. It was Trump who tattered the agreement in 2018.

Last June 2025, Israel bombed Iran in the midst of US-Iran negotiations. This time too, the Israel-US war plans were set weeks ago when Netanyahu met with Trump, and the negotiations underway between the US and Iran were a charade. This seems to be the new modus operandi of the US: start negotiations and then aim to murder the counterparts. This entire US-Israel war is totally farcical.

At the UN Security Council, there are eight of the other fourteen Council members which host US military bases or grant the US military access to local bases. CIA bases are located right within. These include Bahrain, Colombia, Denmark, France, Greece, Latvia, Panama, and the United Kingdom. The US military bases house CIA operations, and the host countries constantly look over their shoulder to try to avoid US subversion in their own countries. Countries that host US bases end up being mere vassal states and are forced to bow to US commands and wishes.

European nations are navigating a complex, fractured, and often reactive approach to the escalating conflict between the U.S./Israel and Iran, following intense military action. While some critics describe the European response as “mute” or “pathetic” in comparison to their focus on Ukraine, others indicate a strategy of “cautious engagement” or “supportive restraint,” where European powers aim to prevent wider war while condemning Iranian actions.

Denmark will soon have to confront the ‘Question of Greenland’ and US intent to either buy it off, or simple take it away, according to its whims and fancies. The US will do what it pleases and the EU will come to the stadium to watch the takeover. Watching, European countries watch US and Israeli commit evil in Iran now, and earlier in Gaza, without even an iota of political ethics makes them contemptible in the face of the rest of the world.

Spain has been the only major European voice to explicitly condemn the US-led military strikes on Iran, calling them a “blatant violation of international law”. Spain refused to allow its military bases to be used for the operation, widening the divide within the EU. This author joins a mass of justice movements, individuals, progressive academics and social activists, peace movements, who view the EU as a non-entity in global matters. After being masters of the Universe in the time of colonialism, today they lie in the rubble of political ethics- dismantled, dishevelled, politically unkempt, rumpled, and disarrayed.

According to the ‘Iran Premier’, China provides tangible, though mostly indirect or “dual-use” military support to Iran, focusing on enhancing Iran’s defensive capabilities and technological infrastructure rather than direct combat intervention. China has been identified as a supplier of materials for Iran’s ballistic missile production, including components for solid-fuel propellants and guidance systems. Following the 2025 Iran-Israel conflict, reports indicated Iran ordered materials from China to rebuild its missile capabilities. China has supplied HQ-9B surface-to-air missile batteries to Iran to help rebuild its air defense capabilities, particularly after damage from strikes in 2024 and 2025.

Russia has significantly strengthened its military partnership with Iran, shifting from a transactional relationship to a more strategic, albeit conditional, alliance aimed at undermining U.S. influence, especially amid intensifying conflicts in the Middle East. While both nations are heavily sanctioned by the West, this cooperation is marked by advanced weapons transfers, intelligence sharing, and, in some cases, tacit or direct support for Iranian actions. Russia provides crucial, advanced military, and technical support to Iran to help it withstand Western pressure and act as a regional counterweight to the U.S., but this support is carefully calibrated to prevent Russia from being drawn into a direct, large-scale war.

India is navigating a delicate diplomatic tightrope, balancing its strategic, defense-focused partnership with Israel and the US against vital, long-standing interests with Iran. Amidst escalating Middle East conflicts and US-led pressure on Tehran, New Delhi seeks to protect its energy security, the Chabahar Port project, and its diaspora, while maintaining strategic autonomy. The Chabahar Port project in Iran’s Sistan-Balochistan province is a strategic, deepwater port that provides a crucial trade route to Afghanistan and Central Asia, bypassing Pakistan. It is the cornerstone of India’s maritime strategy, aimed at strengthening trade links and reducing dependency on traditional land routes. Count India out for an authentic mediatory role. The call from India emphasizing dialogue and stability is rhetorical and not backed by risk-taking and bold measures.

For now, we see two sides, stubbornly holding on to their positions. The US-Israel alignment wants Iran destroyed and a peoples’ uprising and an ultimate regime change, a pipe-dream from start-to-finish. best. With no clear winner, the conflict risks becoming a long-term, low-intensity war with massive economic disruption, where Gulf states are forced into the conflict despite.

The best-case scenario is this: Both sides see outright victory far too remote and engage in sincere negotiations. That alone be the X factor for peace in this conflict.

Ranjan Solomon has worked in social justice movements since he was 19 years of age.

3 March 2026

Source: countercurrents.org

The Writing On Trump’s War Room Wall: Operation Epstein Amnesia

By Phil Rockstroh

The dimwit fantasy of smart bombs renders dumb leaders even dumber

Following the war criminality model of the Israeli Defense Forces, the US/Zionist bombing campaign on Iran is engaged in targeting hospitals, schools and private residences, slaughtering all who happen to be on the premises. The tactic, rather than demoralizing civilian populations, galvanizes contempt and the will to resist a foreign aggressor.

Think about it. While I opposed rightwing Christian evangelist’s retrograde (back to the Bronze Age) agendas if the air force of a foreign power bombed their megachurch in my vicinity, I would deem the death-from-above delivering aggressor an existential threat and would find myself, on a provisional basis, in alliance, with my political adversaries.

Every bomb dropped, causing death and destruction, strengthens the Mullah controlled government of Iran.

The true believers in the efficacy of so-called smart bombs are very stupid people.

As an example: a reporter to Secretary Of War(mongering) Pete Hegseth: “As you’ve said, there are a large number of US service members who are in harm’s way right now. What is your prayer for them?”

Hegseth: “First of all, my prayer for them is that I do pray for them… I pray simply for the biblical wisdom to see what is right and the courage to do it.”

How about the biblical admonition regarding “the writing on the wall,” piss-drunk Pete?

The “writing on the wall” episode in the Old Testament is a tale told in the Book of Daniel, 5, in which a disembodied hand of numinous origin, materializes during a feast/orgy held at King Belshazzar’s palace in ancient Babylon.

The hand of divinity scribes four words on the wall of King Belshazzar’s ornate banquet hall: “Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin” (Aramaic: “Numbered, Numbered, Weighed, Divided”).

The Jewish prophet in exile Daniel interprets this as an augury of impending doom i.e., the imminent fall of the Babylonian Empire to the Medes and Persians.

The phrase has become axiomatic for: ignore looming reality at your peril. Withal, just hours before ordering his attack on Iran Trump attended a bacchanal of moneyed class excess at his Belshazzarian palace known as Mar-a-Lago.

At my son’s Hebrew school today, the class discussed the legend of Purim. Of course, the story is ahistorical; to wit, Queen Esther, the archetypal orphan rises to the throne of a great power, as told as dauntless hero figure for her courage and cunning in saving a besieged — threatened with genocide — Jewish people in perilous exile. Then there is Esther’s striking beauty providing a patina of glamour to the blood-drench story of royal court intrigue and denouncement that setting is ancient Persia, now present day Iran.

Today’s storylines remain being told with an equal lack of veracity. Unlike the tidy ending of the biblical yarn, the unpredictable consequences, engendered by the lies that enabled this war, await us.

A voice within me augurs that in the future the events transpiring in the Levant/Persian Gulf at present will not be celebrated, as, at Purim time, they were in the synagogue of my childhood, with children adorned in costumes of the royal Persian court and the baking of and indulgence in plum cookies and cakes.

The unfolding of events suggest, history will relate the war catalyzing the long overdue collapse of the US as a world-dominating power due to the unsurpassed idiocy and raging hubris of a wannabe US emperor man-infant and the beginning of the end of the Zionist ethno-supremacist state, war criminal enterprise.

So Trump, at Netanyahu’s command, has unloosed the dogs of war, and the snarling pack is peeing on his cackle inflicted leg. How long did Trump and Netanyahu believe they could commit mass murder with impunity? The Gods — i.e., the forces of life that cannot be controlled — strike down the hubristic, and this is particularly true of the God of War.

Israel is being afflicted with a world of hurt. Iranian missiles are raining down on Haifa, Jerusalem, and Tel Aviv. The Iranians have fired only a fraction of their arsenal. Israel has cornered and angered a dog of war with real teeth. This isn’t, as in Gaza, a war waged on women and children sleeping in tents, on emergency room doctors and nurses, on journalists and aid workers.

With Trump, he rained unprovoked death from above upon Venezuelan fishermen but now US soldiers have fallen in his war based on lies. The longer the war goes on, and the more hurt inflicted by Iran — the more Trump is going to long for the days when his biggest trouble was the revelations that remain hidden, for now, in the Epstein files.

Trump is a short con grifter. He lacks the depth, ability to reflect, and possess foresight insofar as apprehending all the variables in play in the dynamics of war. His proclivity, when things get rough, has been to declare victory and turn tail.

His main strength, tactic-wise, has been his cowardice. As a garden variety bully, he had an instinct to only pick a fight with those weaker or had no desire to fight. But as witnessed in Minnesota, when the citizenry, instead of rolling over and exposing their belly, collectively, growled and bared their teeth, Trump and his ICE bully boys turned tail.

The world is now taking note; hence, Trump, the shambling, over-reaching braggart, is the very emblem of US Empire’s undoing.

The current US/Israeli military campaign underway against the nation of Iran, Operation Epstein Amnesia, we are told involves an existential threat from a nation possessed of Weapons of Mass Destruction that poses an immediate danger to the forever blameless, forever innocent people of the US and Israel; hence, we are engaged in a massive bombing campaign upon the citizenry of an ancient civilization in behalf of their liberation.

Somewhere from the precincts of the distant past, ghosts of memory are being roused and are howling, “bullshit!”

Let’s query the people of Iraq, of Libya, and of Syria on the subject. The latter nation now has a US/Zionist installed government headed by ISIS head-choppers created by the US in their war of aggression against the people of the primary nation. As for Libya, they possess the freedom to be bought and sold in slave markets in public squares.

The US/Israelis just liberated over hundred Iranian school girls from this very life.

Of course the first words that come to mind when thinking of Trump would be: man of peace and good will…but never, on the doorstep of dementia, adult diaper-swaddled grifter, featured player in the Epstein files. The same is true with Trump’s war partner Benjamin Netanyahu…the description would never enter the mind: genocide-prone psychopath, with the eyes of a dead shark, perpetrator of massive crimes against humanity.

Perish such thoughts attempting to trespass, like fentanyl smuggling illegals, into the pristine precincts of our innocent and beautiful minds.

US/Israeli desperation is at the rotten, down to the root, military aggression against Iran. The source of the desperation: Recent polls reveal that large and growing numbers of the US citizenry now support the cause of Palestinians over that of the Israeli oppressors.

Thus Israel’s agenda, its standard operating procedure, is to sow destruction and chaos in the region. In this manner, the Israeli leadership believes their internal weakness will be mitigated by the destabilization of surrounding nations, as was the case with Iraq, Libya, Syria, Lebanon, and now Iran.

But the goal is not regime change. There is not a significant number of US ground troops in the Levant/Persian Gulf region, and the killing of Iran’s supreme leader is not going to do the trick. The latter is not only a war crime but will strengthen the resolve of the Iranian citizenry. Then add to the resolve factor: the slaughter of Iranian school girls.

As for Trump, he is a weak man, inflicted by a howling inner emptiness, who, manically, compensates by perpetual preening and clownish boasting about his greatness.

Thus “Trump’s (risible) “Board Of Peace” goes to war. This has to be reality — because a writer of farce would cut the joke for being too on the nose.

Phil Rockstroh is a poet, lyricist, and essayist.

3 March 2026

Source: countercurrents.org

Veterans For Peace Issues Iran War Talking Points

By Veterans For Peace

Veterans For Peace has condemned the U.S./Israeli attack on Iran, called for widespread resistance, and issued its own Iran War Talking Points.

“We call on our members, friends and allies to resist this dangerous and illegal war, said Michael McPhearson, Executive Director of the 41-year-old veterans’ organization. “We offer support and helpful information to members of the military who decide to refuse illegal orders and resist an illegal war.”

Iran War Talking Points:

The U.S. War on Iran Is Based on Lies
The Trump administration’s ever-changing rationales for going to war against Iran are lies. Iran posed no threat to the United States. This is not a defensive war, but rather a war of choice by Israel and the U.S., a war of aggression, a war for regime change – very much like the disastrous U.S. wars that killed millions of people in Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan – wars that many veterans remember with regret.

Iran Was Not Seeing to Build a Nuclear Weapon
Iran has no intention of acquiring nuclear weapons, as Iranian leaders have stated repeatedly. U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard told a Senate hearing in March 2025 that there was no indication Iran was pursuing a nuclear weapons program, at least not since 2003.

Rather, the United States, the only country to attack another nation with nuclear weapons, has unilaterally abrogated multiple arms control treaties, and is investing Two Trillion Dollars in a new generation of nuclear weapons. It was the U.S., not Iran that violated and withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA). Israel also has nuclear weapons – undeclared and uninspected. Two nuclear powers attacking Iran, claiming to stop it from pursuing a nuclear program is the height of hypocrisy.

The U.S. War on Iran Is Illegal
The U.S. war is a violation of the UN Charter, a treaty which is the “supreme law of the land” under Article VI of the US Constitution. Article 2(4) of the UN Charter states, “All Members shall refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state…”

The U.S. War on Iran is Unconstitutional
The unilateral war of aggression against Iran is a blatant violation of the U.S. Constitution, which explicitly grants Congress the sole authority to declare war (Article I, Section 8). This power was intentionally given to the legislative branch to prevent unilateral military action by a single executive.

Congress Should Vote YES on Iran War Powers Resolutions
Congress must uphold its Constitutional responsibility to decide whether and when the United States will go to war by voting YES on Iran War Powers Resolutions that are being put before the Senate and the House of Representatives. As the U.S. war against Iran is clearly illegal, unconstitutional and not in the interests of the people of the United States, we should demand that our Congressional representatives also speak out loudly against this regime-change war of aggression.

Military Members Have the Right to Refuse and Resist this Illegal War
U.S. armed service members have the right and the duty to resist and refuse illegal orders. Veterans For Peace will support members of the military who refuse illegal orders or who protest and stand against this disastrous and illegal war.

Civilians Also Have the Responsibility to Resist
Veterans and civilians also have the right and the responsibility to resist the illegal actions of our government at home and abroad. This is a very critical moment for the United States and the world.

We must be in the streets protesting.
We must be on our keyboards, writing letters to the editors
And on our phones telling our representatives to Vote Yes on the Iran War Powers resolution.
.

DEMAND AN IMMEDIATE HALT TO U.S. MILITARY ATTACKS ON IRAN!

For more information about Veterans For Peace, visit www.veteransforpeace.org.

Veterans For Peace is a 40-year-old organization with chapters in over 100 U.S. cities.

3 March 2026

Source: countercurrents.org

The Global Economic Shockwaves of the Attack on Iran

By Pon Chandran

As of March 2, 2026, the attack on Iran has already begun to reverberate far beyond the immediate theatre of war. Financial markets reacted within hours. Oil prices surged. Shipping routes were disrupted. Currencies weakened. The world economy, still fragile after years of pandemic recovery and the prolonged Ukraine conflict, now faces a renewed crisis centered on the most volatile strategic corridor on earth.

The Middle East remains the world’s primary energy tap. When that tap is threatened, the consequences are immediate and global. What we are witnessing is not a regional disturbance, but a systemic economic shock with potentially stagflationary consequences.

The Energy Shock: Oil and Gas as Weapons of War

The most immediate and dramatic impact has been in the energy markets. Roughly 20% of the world’s oil and nearly 20% of global liquefied natural gas (LNG) pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Even the possibility of disruption functions as a tax on global growth.

Brent crude has already jumped by 12–13%, trading around $82 per barrel. Analysts warn that if the Strait of Hormuz is closed or partially blocked, prices could rapidly climb to $100–$110 per barrel. Markets are pricing in risk — and in geopolitics, risk translates into higher energy costs.

For LNG-dependent nations such as Japan, South Korea, and several European countries relying on Qatari gas, the situation is equally serious. Supply disruptions would sharply raise electricity and heating costs, feeding into consumer inflation worldwide. Energy inflation is rarely contained; it spreads through transport, manufacturing, and food supply chains.

The lesson from previous Gulf crises is clear: oil shocks rarely remain confined to oil.

Supply Chain Disruptions: Trade Routes Under Siege

War in the Gulf transforms critical sea and air corridors into high-risk zones.

Major shipping carriers such as Maersk and MSC have reportedly suspended transits through the Gulf. Vessels are being rerouted around the Cape of Good Hope, adding 15–20 days to transit times between Asia and Europe. This not only increases freight costs but also insurance premiums and fuel expenses. The result: higher prices for goods across continents.

Air travel has also been severely affected. With Iranian and surrounding airspaces restricted or closed, flights between Asia and Europe are being rerouted over longer paths. Airlines face higher fuel costs, while cargo operations are delayed or grounded. Global supply chains — already vulnerable after pandemic-era bottlenecks — now confront renewed stress.

More alarming is the impact on fertilizer trade. Roughly one-third of the world’s fertilizer shipments pass through the Strait of Hormuz. A prolonged disruption would threaten agricultural production cycles globally. Food inflation, already politically sensitive across much of the Global South, could surge by late 2026.

Energy and food — the twin pillars of economic stability — are now both exposed.

Impact on Major Economies

The consequences of the attack on Iran are uneven but universally destabilizing.

India: High Vulnerability

India imports approximately 85% of its crude oil. Every $1 increase in crude prices adds an estimated $2 billion to its annual import bill. With Brent already climbing, pressure on the Indian Rupee has intensified.

Higher oil prices widen the current account deficit, strain fiscal balances, and complicate monetary policy. For the Reserve Bank of India, this presents a dilemma: raising interest rates to curb inflation could slow growth, while holding rates steady risks currency weakness and imported inflation.

For a developing economy that relies on stable energy inputs to sustain growth and employment, this is a dangerous equation.

China: Strategic Exposure

China imports about 90% of Iran’s oil exports. Any sustained disruption would force Beijing to compete for more expensive Atlantic or Russian crude supplies. That would raise manufacturing costs in the world’s largest industrial economy.

Given China’s central role in global supply chains, increased production costs there translate into higher prices everywhere.

Europe: Energy Fatigue

Europe is already economically strained following years of energy turbulence triggered by the Ukraine conflict. Higher oil and LNG prices risk pushing parts of the Eurozone back toward recession.

Energy-intensive industries, already weakened, may face renewed shutdowns or cost pressures. Political instability could follow economic contraction.

United States: Partial Insulation

As a net energy exporter, the United States is somewhat shielded from supply shortages. However, high “prices at the pump” directly affect American households. Rising fuel costs could fuel inflationary pressures and complicate domestic politics, especially ahead of midterm elections.

No major economy emerges untouched.

Financial Market Volatility

The financial markets have responded in predictable fashion.

Investors are fleeing “risk” assets and moving toward safe havens. Gold has surged. The US dollar has strengthened. Equity markets across Asia and Europe opened sharply lower.

Indian indices such as the Sensex and Nifty recorded significant losses, particularly in oil-sensitive sectors such as aviation, chemicals, and paints. Similar patterns are visible in Japan’s Nikkei and European bourses.

Markets are signaling uncertainty — and uncertainty dampens investment, hiring, and expansion.

If volatility persists, capital flows into developing economies could slow dramatically, further pressuring currencies and fiscal balances.

The Stagflationary Threa

If the conflict lasts only days, markets may stabilize. But if it stretches beyond a few weeks, the global economy could enter a stagflationary phase — stagnant growth combined with high inflation.

This is the most dangerous macroeconomic environment for policymakers. Inflation demands higher interest rates; stagnation demands stimulus. The two responses contradict each other.

For developing nations, the challenge is particularly acute. Currency depreciation amplifies imported inflation. Higher interest rates slow job creation. Fiscal stimulus becomes expensive due to higher borrowing costs.

The memory of the 1970s oil shocks looms large. Then, too, geopolitical conflict in the Middle East triggered global stagflation. The consequences lasted years.

Beyond Economics: Structural Realignments

The attack on Iran may also accelerate structural changes in global trade and energy systems.

Countries may intensify efforts to diversify energy sources. Strategic petroleum reserves could be drawn down. Alternative corridors — such as overland pipelines or expanded shipping infrastructure — may receive renewed investment.

At the same time, geopolitical blocs may harden. Energy flows increasingly follow political alliances rather than pure market logic. Sanctions, counter-sanctions, and retaliatory trade restrictions could further fragment the global economy.

This would represent a step away from globalization toward a more fractured world order.

A Conflict with Global Consequences

The attack on Iran is not merely a military development. It is an economic shock with cascading global consequences.

Energy prices have surged. Supply chains are under strain. Major economies face renewed vulnerability. Financial markets are volatile. The specter of stagflation looms.

For countries like India, the crisis poses immediate fiscal and monetary challenges. For Europe, it threatens economic relapse. For China, it raises production costs. For the United States, it risks renewed inflation.

In an interconnected global economy, war in the Gulf does not stay in the Gulf.

If diplomacy fails and escalation continues, the world may soon discover that the true battlefield is not only geopolitical — but economic.

Pon Chandran is part of PUCL, Coimbatore

3 March 2026

Source: countercurrents.org

US-Israeli strikes can raze buildings, but they cannot extinguish Iranian identity 

By Seyed Hossein Mousavian

The new round of coordinated military attacks by the United States and Israel against Iran marks a dramatic escalation in an already volatile confrontation.

The strikes, capping months of tensions since a previous wave of attacks in 2025, have pushed the region into one of its most dangerous moments in decades.

At a time when diplomatic channels had reportedly shown signs of progress, the renewed use of force has raised urgent questions about legality, legitimacy and the long-term consequences for regional and international security.

There is a broad global consensus that the US-Israeli military campaign constitutes a clear violation of the United Nations Charter and international law.

Article 2(4) of the UN Charter prohibits the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state, except in cases of self-defence or with Security Council authorisation. No such authorisation was granted, and international legal scholars have long emphasised that preventive or regime-change wars fall outside the Charter framework.

This is not the first time that Washington has faced accusations of undermining international legal commitments in relation to Iran. In 2018, the US withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal, despite the agreement’s endorsement by the UN Security Council. The withdrawal was widely criticised by European governments and other signatories, including Russia and China.

Now, through direct military strikes against Iran, Washington has been accused of violating core principles of the UN Charter – particularly those related to sovereignty, the prohibition on the use of force, and non-interference in the internal affairs of other states.

Political consciousness

History weighs heavily on current events. In 1953, the US, in collaboration with the UK, orchestrated a coup that overthrew Iran’s democratically elected prime minister, Mohammad Mosaddegh.

The consequences of that intervention shaped Iranian political consciousness for decades and directly affected bilateral relations. The 1979 revolution, and the subsequent occupation of the US embassy in Tehran and hostage crisis, cannot be understood without that context.

More than seven decades on, the shadow of 1953 still looms over US-Iran relations. But this time, the stakes appear even higher. The US has officially called for regime change. In the course of the operation, Iran’s supreme leader and several top military commanders were assassinated.

The targeting of a sitting head of state marks a profound escalation. It moves beyond deterrence or limited military objectives, and enters the realm of overt regime-change policy. It is therefore reasonable to assume that the negative consequences of this action could be broader and more far-reaching than those of the 1953 coup.

Both the US-Israeli military strikes on Iran in June 2025, and the attack that began this weekend, occurred at moments when negotiations had achieved significant progress, according to Oman’s foreign minister.

Oman was a key mediator, facilitating indirect talks. The chain of events suggests that military action coincided with diplomatic momentum. From this perspective, diplomacy has effectively been sidelined, perhaps indefinitely.

Many are convinced that the US pursued negotiations not as genuine diplomacy, but as cover, allowing it to prepare for war. When bombs fall at the height of talks, trust collapses.

The consequences of assassinating Ayatollah Ali Khamenei go far beyond the killing of an Iranian political leader. As one of the leading religious authorities in the Shia world, he held both political and theological significance. Some Shia clerics have already issued calls for retaliation, with Grand Ayatollah Naser Makarem Shirazi in Qom, Iran, saying revenge for Khamenei’s killing was the “religious duty of all Muslims in the world to eradicate the evil of these criminals from the world”.

Attacks have already occurred against US diplomatic missions in Pakistan and Iraq, resulting in casualties. Washington may now have to confront the prospect of long-term ideological hostility among segments of the global Shia population – a dynamic that cannot be addressed through military means alone.

Immense strategic costs

The collapse of a government because of a military attack does not produce a simple or controllable outcome. Even if Washington and Tel Aviv were to succeed in bringing about a political transformation in Tehran, the strategic costs could be immense.

For the first time since World War II, major US military bases across the region have come under sustained attack. The reputational impact on American prestige could surpass even the symbolic damage inflicted by the 1979-81 hostage crisis.

At the same time, Israel and Iran have entered what can only be described as an existential phase of conflict. Iran has sustained severe military damage, while Israel has faced the most intense strikes on its territory since its founding in 1948.

Iran’s heavy missile attacks have exposed vulnerabilities in Israel’s security architecture, despite its advanced defence systems. The perception of invulnerability – central to deterrence – has been shaken on both sides.

Yet within hours of Khamenei’s assassination, a three-member leadership council was formed to steer the process of transition, signalling that expectations of immediate state disintegration might have been misplaced.

The US-Israeli approach is troubling for several reasons. Firstly, by assassinating Iran’s supreme leader, they crossed a red line within Iran’s governing structure. Secondly, by officially declaring that its objective is regime collapse, the US framed the conflict as existential. Iran’s response is thus perceived domestically as a defence of national survival.

Thirdly, as anticipated, the conflict has become regional. Iran has launched missile strikes against US facilities in neighbouring countries, broadening the theatre of confrontation. The trajectory is deeply alarming: escalation breeds counter-escalation, as each side justifies its actions as defensive.

The risks of miscalculation grow with every exchange. Energy markets are destabilised. Regional actors are drawn in. Diplomatic space shrinks.

It would be wiser for US President Donald Trump to push now for an immediate ceasefire, to prevent further catastrophe. The longer this conflict continues, the harder it will be to contain.

Military force can destroy infrastructure and eliminate individuals, but it cannot extinguish national identity, religious conviction or historical memory. The lessons of 1953 still resonate. If history teaches anything, it is that interventions intended to secure stability often produce decades of unintended consequences.

The choice now is stark: continue down a path of open-ended confrontation, or halt the escalation and return to diplomacy – before the damage becomes irreversible.

The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye.

Seyed Hossein Mousavian is a Visiting Research Collaborator with Princeton University and a former Chief of Iran’s National Security and Foreign Relations Committee.

3 March 2026

Source: middleeasteye.net

Small Community Initiatives over the Years Together Led to Big Improvements in Ranavara Village

By Bharat Dogra

Visitors to Ranavara, a very remote village in Kherwara block of Udaipur district, are surprised by its many-sided progress as visible in its very impressive school building, pastures, trees, water conservation and supply works. This is the result of many years of community efforts and it is the small efforts over several years which have resulted in the highly impressive achievements that we see today.

Thavat Singh, an elder of this village says—ours was a typical neglected village of a remote area about three decades back. Then we had visitors from a sansthaa (voluntary organization) Seva Mandir who started an adult literacy campaign. In the course of this campaign there was increasing discussion of various development activities that are needed here.

Another elder Karma Singh, remembering old times, said—I think the real change came when we started thinking in terms of giving up various differences and started thinking in terms of working together for the development of our village. Our village has several communities, several settlements and it was important for people to start thinking in terms of working together for the welfare and progress of all people.

Narayan Joshi, a senior and long-time activist and member of Seva Mandir (SM) who has seen all these changes over the years said—the real change starts coming when people of all communities are willing to sit together on the basis of equality, leaving behind bhedbhav (all kinds of discrimination), that the possibilities of unity for achieving the welfare of all people are strengthened, and the jajam or the carpet on which people of all communities sit together without discrimination becomes the symbol of this.

The first big opportunities of reaping the gains of united efforts came with the pasture regeneration work. This was perceived to be beneficial to all community members, even though some touchy issues like the removal of some encroachments were also involved. Nearly 11000 trees, mostly of mixed indigenous species were planted. Under another individual farmer effort nearly 100 trees each were planted by about 150 farmers. Hence combining the community and individual efforts nearly 26,000 trees were planted.

In this as well as other environment protection work planned on watershed basis, three nearby villages or settlements—Reta, Karmla and Bhilwada– were taken together along with Ranavara.

This was followed up with a watershed project which further consolidated the earlier work with water conservation work including field bund related work. Some wells were also constructed.

Increasing green cover helped to raise the water table. Farm productivity increased. It was possible to keep more farm and dairy animals. With better water availability wheat could now be grown in fields which earlier could not support this crop.

Four water tanks were constructed and the water collected here could be used to meet the drinking water needs of many households, thereby reducing drudgery and the time spent in fetching water.

Vocational skill training particularly sewing work was introduced for women and several of the trainees could become skilled enough to also earn some income from this. Five self-help groups of women were formed and as their savings increased these could be used for various kinds of small development and income-earning opportunities. Villagers also contributed on the basis of their increasing income opportunities to create a village development fund which became an independent source of funding small development initiatives.

Villagers became very enthused about improving the village school and contributed from their own savings for its better furnishing and other improvements. As Narayan Joshi recalls, there were several unexpected problems in the course of efforts to improve the school but these could be overcome and the school could improve in significant ways.

An important part of such development initiatives should be try to ensure that the benefits reach all sections of people, all settlements and hamlets of the village. As Paro who leaves in the settlement of the Bhil community and had come from there to attend the group discussion said, the bhil community has also shared in the benefits of several of these initiatives. Nevertheless, there appears to be need for even greater awareness regarding higher concern for the needs of the weakest sections including the nomadic and semi-nomadic communities like the Kalbelia community who live in nearby areas.

Bharat Dogra is Honorary Convener, Campaign to Save Earth Now.

25 February 2026

Source: countercurrents.org

Taliban’s Gender Apartheid in the Name of Shariah

By V.A. Mohamad Ashrof

This paper examines the systematic legal framework enacted by the Taliban since their return to power in August 2021, through which the rights of Afghan women have been progressively dismantled under the stated objective of implementing Shariah. Focusing specifically on the 2025/2026 Penal Code—particularly provisions legalizing wife-beating without bone fracture and imposing imprisonment upon women who visit relatives without spousal permission—and the comprehensive bans on female education, this paper deploys the interpretive frameworks of Islamic scholarship to demonstrate the profound disjuncture between Taliban policies and the gender-just ethos of the Quran. This paper argues that Taliban jurisprudence represents not the application of Islamic law but its patriarchal distortion—a reading of scripture mediated through androcentric cultural traditions rather than the Quran’s fundamental affirmation of human equality before God.

The crisis of women’s rights in Afghanistan is not merely a regional political conflict; it is a global theological and humanistic emergency. When a state apparatus utilizes the vocabulary of the Divine to institutionalize the erasure of half its population, it necessitates a response that is both academically rigorous and morally resolute. This monograph seeks to dismantle the monopoly on “truth” claimed by the Taliban. By synthesizing legal documentation, human rights reports, and, most crucially, the liberatory exegesis of Islamic feminist scholars, we demonstrate that the Taliban’s anti-women decrees are an affront to the very religion they claim to defend. This is a scholarly project of reclamation—retrieving the Quranic spirit of ‘adl (justice) and rahmah (mercy) from the suffocating grip of patriarchal authoritarianism [1, 7].

The Codification of Erasure

In January 2026, the Taliban’s supreme leader, Hibatullah Akhundzada, signed into effect a new penal code (De Mahakumu Jazaai Osulnama) that formalized what human rights monitors had documented since August 2021: the systematic reduction of Afghan women to legal non-persons. This 119-article code, spanning three sections and ten chapters, represents the most comprehensive legal codification of gender apartheid in the twenty-first century [5, 12]. Yet its significance extends beyond the humanitarian catastrophe it produces; it poses fundamental theological questions about the relationship between divine revelation and its human interpretation.

The Taliban project is predicated on the claim of “purity”—a return to a perceived authentic Islamic social order. However, as this paper will argue, this “purity” is a modern construction, a hybrid of Deobandi-influenced revivalism and rigid Pashtun tribal codes (Pashtunwali), which ignores fourteen centuries of diverse Islamic legal thought. By examining two categories of Taliban restrictions—the juridification of domestic violence and the total ban on female education—we deploy the interpretive frameworks developed by scholars who read the Quran “with believers’ eyes” while refusing patriarchal mediation [1, 14].

We contend that the Taliban’s shariah is neither necessary nor authentic, but rather a contingent political project dressed in religious vocabulary. Through the lens of Maqasid al-Shariah (the higher objectives of the law), we find that these decrees violate the essential protections of life, intellect, and dignity [1, 6].

The Juridification of Violence

The February 2025/January 2026 Penal Code, bearing the authority of Supreme Leader Hibatullah Akhundzada, contains provisions that fundamentally restructure marital relations through state coercion. Article 9 of the code establishes a four-tier social hierarchy—religious scholars (ulama/mullahs), elites (ashraf), middle class, and lower class—with punishments determined not by offense but by the perpetrator’s social standing [9]. This stratification alone contradicts the Quran’s repeated affirmation that human dignity derives from taqwa (consciousness of God) rather than social status: “O mankind, indeed We have created you from male and female and made you peoples and tribes that you may know one another. Indeed, the most noble of you in the sight of God is the most righteous of you” (Quran 49:13).

Of particular concern for this analysis is Article 32. This provision permits husbands to discipline their wives physically, with state intervention triggered only when beatings result in “broken bones or open wounds” [4]. Husbands face a maximum of fifteen days’ imprisonment for using “obscene force” resulting in bruises or fractures, contingent upon wives proving abuse under evidentiary standards that render conviction nearly impossible. This “bone fracture” doctrine effectively decriminalizes soft-tissue damage, psychological trauma, and repetitive battery, transforming the marital home into a site of legally sanctioned violence.

The 2026 Code represents a radical departure from the 2009 Law on the Elimination of Violence Against Women (EVAW), which criminalized twenty-two acts of violence against women, including battery and forced marriage. By replacing a rights-based framework with a “minimal injury” threshold, the Taliban have institutionalized what legal scholars call “gendered vulnerability.”

Under Article 33 of the new code, the burden of proof is placed squarely on the victim. She must present her injuries in a court where she is often denied female legal representation, as the Taliban have effectively banned women from the legal profession. Furthermore, she must be accompanied by a mahram (male guardian), who is frequently a relative of the abuser or the abuser himself. This creates a “closed loop” of systemic disenfranchisement. As noted by UN experts, this framework does not seek to adjudicate justice but to enforce a hierarchy of “ownership” [12, 13].

The Taliban’s wife-beating provision derives from a particular, stagnant reading of Quran 4:34. The verse reads in part: “Men are qawwamuna over women… As for those from whom you fear nushuz, admonish them, then abandon them in bed, then idribuhunna.” Traditionalist and patriarchal interpretations have historically translated idribuhunna as “beat them,” providing the basis for juristic permission of corporal discipline.

However, gender just Islamic hermeneutics fundamentally challenges this reading. Asma Barlas, in her foundational work Believing Women in Islam, demonstrates that patriarchal readings of 4:34 violate the Quran’s holistic hermeneutic principles. Barlas argues that the Quran consistently describes marital relations in terms of mawaddah (love) and rahmah (mercy) (Quran 30:21). Any interpretation permitting violence must be reconciled with these fundamental descriptions. Barlas posits that “the Quran does not sanction domestic violence; rather, it provides a method for its cessation by restricting the husband’s response to nushuz (disloyalty) to a symbolic gesture aimed at reconciliation, not harm” [3].

Abla Hasan’s linguistic analysis in Decoding the Egalitarianism of the Quran pushes further. Hasan examines the semantic range of the root d-r-b across Quranic usage. She notes that the root appears in contexts meaning “to set an example,” “to travel,” or “to separate.” Hasan suggests that idribuhunna may indicate a temporary separation—a withdrawal that creates space for reflection—rather than physical violence [6]. The Taliban’s codification of “beating without broken bones” ignores these scholarly nuances, opting instead for a reading that reduces women to bodies subject to male disciplinary power.

The Taliban claim to follow the Sunnah (the path of the Prophet Muhammad), yet the Prophetic record (Hadith) provides a direct rebuke to the “bone fracture” doctrine [1, 3, 15]. Aisha, the Prophet’s wife, famously stated, “The Messenger of God never hit anything with his hand, neither a woman nor a servant” (Sahih Muslim 2328) [3, 5, 14]. Furthermore, the Prophet explicitly stated, “The best of you are those who are best to their wives” (Tirmidhi 1162) [3, 14, 15].

By legalizing “moderate” violence, the Taliban are not reviving the Sunnah; they are reviving the Jahiliyyah (pre-Islamic ignorance) that the Prophet sought to dismantle. The Quranic trajectory was one of progressive restriction of male violence, moving toward a state of total mutual respect. The Taliban have inverted this trajectory, moving from the legal protections of the 21st century back to a distorted, mid-century tribalism.

Enclosure of the Female Soul

In the 2026 Criminal Procedure Regulations (De Mahakumu Jazaai Osulnama), Article 34 stands as a definitive instrument of domestic enclosure. The article stipulates that if a married woman visits her parental home or the home of other relatives without the express permission of her husband—and refuses to return upon his demand—she is subject to criminal prosecution, carrying a penalty of up to three months’ imprisonment [4]. Crucially, the decree extends criminal liability to the woman’s family members if they “harbour” her, thereby dismantling the traditional social safety net that has historically protected Afghan women from domestic abuse.

This provision represents a radical shift from marital companionship to a carceral relation. By making a woman’s physical presence in her own parents’ home a “crime” against the husband’s authority, the Taliban have effectively codified the concept of women as mamluk (owned property) rather than sharik (partner). This legal framework creates a “total institution” within the home, where a woman’s social existence is entirely mediated by a male gatekeeper.

The Taliban justify these restrictions as a means of ensuring “domestic stability” and preventing fitna (social discord). However, an enlightened critique through the lens of Quranic ethics reveals that Article 34 constitutes a direct violation of one of Islam’s most sacred mandates: Silat al-Rahim (the joining of the ties of kinship).

The Quran places the maintenance of family ties in a position of supreme ethical importance, often linking it directly to the worship of God. The Quran commands: “Fear God, through whom you ask one another, and [do not cut] the wombs (al-arham). Indeed, God is ever, over you, an Observer” (Quran 4:1). The term al-arham (the wombs) serves as a metonym for the sacred bond between parents, children, and siblings. By criminalizing a daughter’s visit to her mother, the Taliban are forcing a woman to choose between a state-enforced “obedience” to a husband and a divinely-enforced duty to her parents.

Furthermore, the Quran explicitly commands “good treatment” (ihsan) of parents (Quran 17:23). This duty is not conditional upon a husband’s permission. In the Quranic worldview, marriage is a mithaqan ghalizan (a solemn covenant, 4:21) that enhances a woman’s status; it is not a contract of enslavement that nullifies her prior religious obligations to her lineage. As scholar Khaled Abou El Fadl argues, “Any interpretation that permits the severing of the most basic human bonds of mercy is a betrayal of the Shariah’s objective of preserving the family” [1].

Since August 2021, the Taliban have issued dozens of decrees (notably the 2022 Decree on Hijab and the 2024 Law on the Promotion of Virtue) mandating that women be accompanied by a mahram (a male blood relative or husband) for travel beyond short distances (approx. 45 miles/72 km). The stated justification is “protection” (hifz).

However, from a humanistic and liberatory perspective, the mahram system functions as a form of paternalistic surveillance. It treats women as perpetual minors who lack the moral and intellectual agency to navigate the public square. This contradicts the Quranic portrayal of women as autonomous moral actors. The Queen of Sheba (Bilqis), for instance, is depicted as traveling across borders, engaging in high-level diplomacy, and making independent theological decisions without a mahram gatekeeper (Quran 27:22-44).

Islamic scholarship, such as that of Fatima Mernissi, demonstrates that the restriction of female mobility in Islamic history was often a tool of the “male elite” to monopolize the public and political sphere [7]. In the context of 21st-century Afghanistan, the mahram requirement has catastrophic economic and health consequences. When a widow or a woman with no adult male relatives is barred from the market or a clinic, the “protection” offered by the state becomes a death sentence through starvation or medical neglect [13].

The Closure of Minds—Educational Restrictions as Intellectual Genocide

The Taliban’s war on women’s intellect has not been a single event but a compounding series of decrees designed to phase women out of the cognitive life of the nation. The trajectory reveals a systematic intent to create a permanent, uneducated female underclass:

•          September 17, 2021 (Directive Edu-786): Shortly after the fall of Kabul, the Ministry of Education ordered the reopening of secondary schools for boys; the deliberate omission of girls effectively banned education for females from grades 7 through 12.

•          March 23, 2022: Despite international assurances, the Taliban leadership in Kandahar issued a last-minute verbal decree keeping girls locked out as they arrived for the first day of the school year.

•          December 20, 2022 (Order HE-2022-011): Neda Mohammad Nadim, the Minister of Higher Education, issued a formal letter to all public and private universities suspending female attendance “until further notice.”

•          December 2024 (Order No. 402): In a move that signaled the end of any vocational path, the Taliban banned women from medical education, midwifery, and nursing training, effectively dismantling the future of female healthcare [11].

By early 2025, over 2.2 million girls were barred from secondary education. This is what international legal scholars now term “Gender Apartheid”—the systematic exclusion of a protected group from the fundamental resources of life, the most critical of which is knowledge.

The Taliban justify these bans by citing the need for an “Islamic environment” and “curriculum purification.” However, from an enlightened theological perspective, the ban on female education is not merely a human rights violation; it is an act of religious apostasy against the first command of the Quran.

The very first word of the Quranic revelation was Iqra—”Read!” or “Recite!” (Quran 96:1). This command was addressed to the Prophet Muhammad and, through him, to every human being (insan). The Quran does not contain a single verse that restricts the pursuit of knowledge to a specific gender. On the contrary, the text repeatedly asks: “Are those who know equal to those who do not know?” (Quran 39:9). The implied answer is a resounding no; knowledge is the primary source of human distinction and moral standing.

Islamic scholars, such as Amina Wadud, argue that because the Quran identifies both men and women as Khulafa (vicegerents or stewards) on earth (Quran 2:30), both must possess the intellectual tools to exercise that stewardship. To deny women education is to prevent them from fulfilling their divine purpose. It is a form of Zulm (oppression) that attempts to override God’s mandate for human growth [14].

The Taliban’s claim that Islam mandates a domestic-only role for women is historically illiterate. Aisha bint Abi Bakr, the wife of the Prophet, was one of the leading jurists, political leaders, and scholars of her time. She is credited with narrating over 2,210 Hadiths and was a primary source of legal knowledge for the male companions of the Prophet.

Prophet Muhammad himself stated: “Seeking knowledge is an obligation upon every Muslim” (Ibn Majah 224) [5, 14, 15]. In Arabic, the word “Muslim” in this context is a collective noun including both men and women [1, 5, 14]. The historical record shows that the Prophet even designated specific days for the education of women (Bukhari 101) [5, 11, 14]. By barring women from universities, the Taliban are returning to a pre-Islamic Jahiliyyah (ignorance). As scholar Muhammad Faizul Haque notes, “The restriction of education is a cultural projection of patriarchal fear… it stems from the realization that an educated woman is a woman who can challenge the misinterpretations of the state” [5].

The Morality Law and Auditory Erasure

On August 21, 2024, the Taliban’s Ministry for the Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice promulgated a 114-page law that codified the total auditory and visual erasure of women from the public square.

•          Article 13 (The Auditory Ban): This article stipulates that a woman’s voice is considered Awrah (an intimate part of the body to be concealed). Consequently, women are prohibited from singing, reciting, or reading aloud in public. Even within the home, a woman’s voice must not be loud enough to reach non-relative men outside [13].

•          Article 13 (The Visual Ban): It mandates the full-body covering and requires that the face be covered to avoid “temptation.”

•          Article 17 (The Ban on Images): Prohibits the publication of images of living beings, further erasing women from media and public documentation.

Islamic scholar Khaled Abou El Fadl argues that the Taliban’s interpretation is a “pathology of modesty” [1]. By categorizing a woman’s ordinary speech as a “temptation” (fitna), the Taliban shift the entire burden of male self-control onto the forced silence of women. This contradicts the Quranic mandate for men to “lower their gaze” (Quran 24:30).

The “Theology of Silence” contradicts Surah At-Tawbah: “The believing men and believing women are protecting friends (Awliya) of one another. They enjoin what is right and forbid what is wrong…” (Quran 9:71). To fulfil this duty, a woman must be able to speak. By silencing women, the Taliban prevent them from performing the very religious duty the Ministry of Virtue claims to promote. As Amina Wadud notes, “A silent woman cannot be a protector of the community” [15].

In December 2024, the Taliban mandated the total suspension of women from medical education (Order No. 402). By early 2025, this produced a “brain drain” of midwives and doctors. In a nation where maternal mortality rates are among the highest in the world, the removal of the next generation of healthcare workers constitutes an assault on the fundamental right to life [11].

In the framework of Maqasid al-Shariah, the preservation of life (Hifz al-Nafs) is paramount. The Quran establishes: “…if anyone saves a life, it shall be as though he had saved the lives of all mankind” (Quran 5:32). By dismantling the female medical workforce while simultaneously forbidding women from being treated by male doctors, the state is effectively sentencing the female population to death. This is not Shariah; it is a form of Zulm (gross oppression) [15].

The Shariah of Liberation vs. The Shariah of Erasure

What has been observed since August 2021—culminating in the January 2026 Penal Code—is a carefully constructed “closed loop” of disenfranchisement. The education bans ensure future dependency; the mobility bans (Article 34) remove social safety nets; and the legalization of battery (Article 32) removes bodily integrity. Synthesized, these decrees constitute Gender Apartheid [13].

The Taliban project fails on every metric of Maqasid al-Shariah (Teleological Spirit of the Shariah). It destroys the intellect (‘Aql) through education bans, life (Nafs) through medical prohibitions and normalized violence, and lineage (Nasl) by severing sacred bonds of kinship (Silat al-Rahim). True Shariah is not a static list of punishments but a dynamic path toward justice (‘Adl). As Ibn Qayyim al-Jawziyya (d.1350) profoundly affirmed, “the Shariah is entirely justice, mercy, benefit, and wisdom; any ruling that produces injustice, cruelty, harm, or folly cannot be attributed to God, even if cloaked in juridical language.” Measured against this classical criterion, the Taliban’s policies collapse morally, legally, and theologically.

This paper has demonstrated that the “Shariah of Erasure” implemented by the Taliban is a dead-end for civilization. It produces a society that is half-blind, half-silent, and entirely broken. In contrast, the “Shariah of Liberation” envisioned by the Quran is one of Rahmah (Mercy). It is a system where the education of a girl is a sacred duty and the voice of a woman is a moral witness. The daughters of Afghanistan continue to resist, testifying that the human spirit and the voice that carries it cannot be erased by decree. “Truth has come, and falsehood is bound to perish” (Quran 17:81).

Bibliography

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  2. https://www.egypttoday.com/Article/1/144809/Grand-Imam-of-Al-Azhar-announces-decisions-on-women%E2%80%99s-rights.
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V.A. Mohamad Ashrof is an independent Indian scholar specializing in Islamic humanism. With a deep commitment to advancing Quranic hermeneutics that prioritize human well-being, peace, and progress, his work aims to foster a just society, encourage critical thinking, and promote inclusive discourse and peaceful coexistence.

25 February 2026

Source: countercurrents.org

Europe never built a civilization

By Ranjan Solomon

When Prof. James Small stated that Europe never built a civilization, he was not indulging in exaggeration. He was dismantling a carefully constructed historical illusion – one that presents Europe as the natural source of human progress and the rest of the world as late, grateful recipients. That illusion collapses the moment history is allowed to speak honestly. Small argues that Empire Is Not Civilisation. War cultures are not true civilisations. Conquest, extraction, and domination — hallmarks of Europe’s imperial past — are death projects, not human ones. When a system is built on supremacy, equality becomes its greatest threat.
Parity exposes the myth of superiority — and that is what terrifies supremacists.

Civilization did not begin in Europe. Long before Europe emerged from scattered tribes and feudal loyalties, ancient civilizations had already laid the foundations of organized human life. Along the Nile, the civilization of Kemet – misnamed “Ancient Egypt”- developed mathematics, geometry, astronomy, medicine, engineering, moral philosophy, and monumental architecture more than three thousand years before Europe’s rise. The pyramids were not acts of primitive labour; they were products of advanced knowledge systems that Europe would only encounter much later.

The statement “Europe did not build civilization” is a core tenet of critical, post-colonial, and revisionist history that seeks to dismantle Eurocentrism. It argues that modern civilization is a global, cumulative achievement, not a singular product of European genius. If one were to conduct a breakdown of the historical, cultural, and political arguments supporting this perspective, the following dimensions would be what we arrive at within the scope of understanding inherited parts of Civilization. Several crucial affirmations follow:

Inherited Parts of Civilization*

The “Cradle” Was Not European: The earliest civilizations – Mesopotamia, Ancient Egypt, the Indus Valley, and China—arose in North Africa and Asia between 4000 and 3000 BC. These cultures developed writing, metallurgy, urban planning, and organized religion long before advanced complex societies formed in Europe.

Middle Eastern Roots: Western civilization traces its roots to the Middle East, not Greece. The foundations of urban life, scientific inquiry, astronomy, engineering, and the “religions of the book” originated in Sumeria and Egypt.

Borrowed Greco-Roman Foundation: Greek and Roman civilizations, the supposed, “cradle of Europe,” were heavily influenced by, and borrowed from, the older civilizations of Egypt and the Levant.

Borrowed Much of It

· The Islamic Golden Age Transmission: During the European “Dark Ages” (roughly 5th–10th century AD), knowledge was preserved and expanded in the Islamic world, Persia, and China.

· Scientific and Mathematical Contributions: Essential technologies and knowledge—including the compass, gunpowder, paper, the decimal system, and advanced medicine—were brought from China and the Islamic world to Europe.

· Translation and Anonymization: In the 12th and 13th centuries, Arabic texts were translated into Latin in Toledo. Often, the original Muslim and Persian authors (like Avicenna/Ibn Sina) were anonymized or misrepresented in later European tradition, casting them merely as “transmitters” rather than innovators.

Dominated Others and Erased Origins

· “Civilizing Mission” as Justification: During the 19th-century “New Imperialism,” European powers justified their global dominance by framing it as a “civilizing mission” to bring progress to “savage” peoples.

· Cultural Erasure: European colonization often aimed to eradicate indigenous languages, religions, and knowledge systems, replacing them with European models.

· Rewriting History: Eurocentric narratives, such as the “Ancient Greece to Dark Ages to Renaissance” model, often ignore or downplay the contributions of non-European cultures, presenting Western culture as the pinnacle of human development.

· Cartographic Distortion: Traditional maps (like the Mercator projection) visually distort the world to make Europe and North America appear much larger and more central than they actually are.

Civilization Belongs to Humanity, Not Empire

· Decolonizing Knowledge: Modern scholarship increasingly recognizes that global progress is a collaborative, cross-cultural process.

· Post-Colonial Perspective: Acknowledging this perspective is not a rejection of European achievements, but a call to restore historical truth—recognizing that the “modern world” was built through global interactions, including, but not limited to, European imperialism.

In essence, this viewpoint emphasizes that civilization was built by humanity over thousands of years, with many cultures contributing before, during, and after Europe’s rise to power.

In Mesopotamia, between the Tigris and Euphrates, the Sumerians, Akkadians, Babylonians, and Assyrians created writing, legal codes, irrigation systems, and city-states. The Code of Hammurabi articulated principles of justice when Europe had none. In the Indus Valley – Harappa and Mohenjo-daro—urban planning, sanitation, standardized measurement, and trade networks flourished around 2600 BCE. These cities had drainage systems that European capitals would lack for millennia.

China developed one of the world’s longest continuous civilizations. It gave humanity paper, printing, the compass, gunpowder, silk production, advanced metallurgy, agricultural innovation, state bureaucracy, and ethical philosophy rooted in Confucianism and Daoism. India produced profound philosophical traditions, advanced mathematics including zero and the decimal system, astronomy, medical science through Ayurveda, and universities such as Takshashila and Nalanda when Europe was still intellectually dormant.

In Africa beyond Kemet, Nubia, Axum, Mali, Songhai, and Great Zimbabwe built trading empires, centres of learning, architecture, and governance. Timbuktu housed universities and libraries when Europe’s literacy was confined to monasteries. In the Americas, the Olmec, Maya, Aztec, and Inca civilizations developed astronomy, mathematics, agricultural science, architecture, and governance independent of European influence. The Maya charted celestial movements with extraordinary precision; the Inca engineered roads, terraces, and water systems across the Andes.

At the time these civilizations were thriving, Europe was peripheral to human advancement. Its later intellectual awakening did not occur in isolation. Greece, often declared the cradle of Western civilization, openly borrowed from Egypt and Phoenicia. Greek thinkers studied African knowledge systems, absorbed them, and rearticulated them. Rome followed Greece, mastering administration and conquest, not original civilizational thought. Roman science, philosophy, medicine, and religion were largely inherited.

After Rome’s collapse, Europe entered centuries of stagnation. Meanwhile, Islamic civilization preserved and expanded global knowledge. From Baghdad, Cairo, Damascus, and Cordoba came algebra, optics, chemistry, medicine, cartography, hospitals, universities, and scientific method. Europe’s Renaissance was not a spontaneous rebirth; it was the return of knowledge Europe had previously lost, transmitted through Arab and Muslim scholars.

Europe’s later dominance was not the result of civilizational superiority but of militarized expansion, colonization, and extraction. Wealth accumulated through the enslavement of Africans, the genocide of Indigenous peoples, and the systematic plunder of Asia and Africa. Entire civilizations were dismantled, their histories erased, their achievements rebranded as “Western.”

Colonialism did not civilize; it de-civilized. It destroyed local economies, languages, governance systems, and educational traditions. India’s impoverishment, Africa’s fragmentation, and the Americas’ devastation were not signs of native failure but of European violence.

Even today, modern life rests on ancient, non-European foundations. Mathematics uses Indian numerals transmitted through Arab scholars. Medicine draws from African, Indian, and Chinese knowledge. Agriculture depends on crops domesticated outside Europe. Navigation, engineering, and philosophy all trace their roots beyond the European continent.

What Prof. James Small confronts is not Europe’s participation in civilization, but Europe’s false claim to authorship. Civilization is not white, Western, or European. It is human—built over thousands of years by African, Asian, Indigenous, and Middle Eastern peoples long before Europe claimed the title.

Europe did not build civilization. It inherited parts of it, borrowed much of it, dominated others, and erased origins to justify power. To acknowledge this is not to reject Europe, but to restore truth—and to remind the world that civilization belongs to humanity, not to empire.

*The section on “Inherited parts of civilization” are based on a google search

Ranjan Solomon has worked in social justice movements since he was 19 years of age. After an accumulated period of 58 years working with oppressed and marginalized groups locally, nationally, and internationally, he has now turned a researcher-freelance writer focussed on questions of global and local/national justice.

25 February 2026

Source: countercurrents.org

Method In His Madness

By Hiren Gohain

Frequent shocks from Donald Trump’s apparently wild and wayward decisions, contrary to all received wisdom and established practices of international relations, seem to have so benumbed observers and policy experts that they have been reduced to declaring Trump a mad maniac with whom no reasoning is possible. But after observing his acts and opinions, one may argue that, to borrow from Shakespeare, “there is a method in his madness.”

After all, 45 p.c. of American voters have voted him to power, and there are people in the establishment, in the administration, and in politics who are happy to serve under him.

Consider the recent deal (Trump’s favourite word) thrust down India’s throat with the threat of bringing to a grinding halt a big chunk of Indian small and medium manufacturing industries. India evidently buckled under the pressure. It was forced to concede that it would buy £500 billion of American goods. Now that specifically included agricultural goods, which would certainly hit our farmers hard. But obviously, that does not cover the entire amount.

Now, American manufactures constitute a small part of its exports. Back in the fifties and sixties of the last century, booming American plants were producing half the exports of the whole world. Now that has been reduced, inasmuch as services make up one-third of all exports and solid goods have registered a decline. It is China today that is playing the same role as American industries did in those days.

But America still has an advantage in the latest high-tech products like AI and robotics. Its biggest producers, like Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, and others, are Trump’s closest advisers. But they still have a narrow market, which receives protection from the economic sovereignty of once colonised countries. Since they played a big part in seeing him through a fraught election, he is obliged to treat their demands on a priority basis. And so he has done. Doubtless, a considerable part of the deal with India would be composed of such ‘knowledge-based’ industrial products.

That explains the extraordinary publicity given to the recently concluded GLOBAL AI SUMMIT, and the gloating hype about India being the ‘Vishwa…’

However, given the logic of imperialism, it is unlikely that the fillip to production and productivity given by AI will result in a fall in prices of goods in general demand. The hefty royalty, as well as other possible costs like initial installation fees, will most probably be passed on to the final consumer, raising prices further. The monopoly ownership by big business and government will also probably lead to attenuation of customer as well as civic rights. This development, unfortunately but predictably, increases imperialist influence on the economy and politics of our country.

The speed and alacrity with which such an event was organised within days of the signing of the Indo-US trade deal arouse some suspicion that the Modi government was hustled into holding it. Whether Trump’s repeatedly muttered threat that he could destroy Modi’s career at any time he chooses is true is quite another story.

I can’t make out what Youth Congress demonstrators were shouting about, but everyone, up to learned courts, is saying it is a disgrace to the country. But all this noise covers up the real and mortal shame during the event: the showcasing of a second-rate Chinese toy, a robotic dog, as a specimen of India’s prowess in AI and robotics. I am sure any IIT could have put up a much better show if it had been given sufficient notice. But there was little time. Everything was to be done to meet Modi’s impetuous demand. Trump’s style leaves no time for such considerations, as if there is no other option.

The logic behind Trump’s ‘go-it-alone’ policy is revealed in the choice of his contemplated objectives. He wants, for his new capitalist cronies, monopoly control over sources of rare earths, manufacturers of semiconductors, and the most common fuel driving modern industries—oil. Plus a prostrate market in the targeted country. As a consequence of such aims and methods, he is driven to back an aggressive Israel, which is expected to keep the oil routes open and browbeat countries that might revolt against American dominance in the Middle East. The current threat of all-out war against Iran is again in defence of Israel and of American stakes in Iranian oil. The aborted but once dangerously close seizure of Greenland also proceeded from the same logic.

These are immediate tactical issues, but the long-term strategy has roots in the familiar ground of imperialism. However, abandoning the orderly ‘rule-based’ system of yesteryears, Trump has revived the ‘gunboat diplomacy’ of an even earlier colonial era. Buoyed by the knowledge that it has the world’s largest and most advanced weaponry, and an army kept in readiness to spring into action at a moment’s notice, America under Trump tends to think like the mafia dons of thrillers and films: “I am going to make an offer they cannot refuse!”

The big idea, the contribution of Trumpism, is to hog the lion’s share of imperialist loot under the banner of international trade by systematic use of threat and force. (Cont.)

Trump, like many of his countrymen, is harking back to the good old fifties of the last century as typical of American ‘greatness’. At that time, GDP of the United States was growing at the rate of 3–7%. In the next decade, despite recessions, the ratio of investment to GDP was 24%. Today, it is between 15% and 16%. That includes both national and American imperialist capital’s share.

Since profit is the crux of investment decisions, American imperialist capital might invest more on foreign soil than at home, and moreover plough back the profit abroad too. Besides, sharing the imperialist ‘super-profits’ with labour also made for a substantial rise in wages in those days. But since then, there has been a striking decline in real wages. While productivity has increased by 74.4%, wages have risen by only 9.2%. The grim stagnation in workers’ wages may be gauged from the fact that while back in 1960 those in the highest salaried group used to receive, on average, a pay packet 24 times that of the average worker, by 2025 the difference has risen to as much as 262 times. (All figures culled from the internet.)

The situation has imposed on the government the release of funds for massive social security measures, reminding us of the GOI’s scrambling to hand over large amounts of cash under various schemes with fancy names to workers. But such measures, designed to blunt or lull popular fury, are hotly denounced by pro-capitalist right-wing journalists and think tanks as freebies and unearned income. They demand a ‘level playing field’ between ‘privileged’ workers and hard-working businessmen. (Cont.)

As long as the capitalist class is absorbed in activity to capture the national market and consolidate its power over the state apparatus to ensure policies in its favour, its commitment to nationalism is total. But when competition becomes intense and lowers the rate of profit, it starts thinking beyond national borders and exporting capital to maintain and raise profit margins. Correspondingly, its volume increases and the rate of exploitation on foreign soil also rises to deadly levels. This trend is accompanied by the transformation of nationalism into envenomed chauvinism and racism in support of imperialist capital, partly offsetting lukewarm investment at home and stagnation in productivity.

By the time we reach the stage of a neo-liberal economy, with transnational corporations and the increasing role of phantom financial production and profit, the urge to promote the growth of the national economy and raise productivity at home slackens. Profits are redirected to other regions rather than home as investments. Hence, in terms of national income and gain, the data appear rather listless and discouraging.

In the nineteen fifties, the USA actually accounted for 40% of the volume and value of world trade. By the nineteen eighties, it had slid down to a little above 24%, and by 2024 it had come down further to a little over 15%. China has overtaken it as the largest exporter of manufactured goods. It still remains the biggest importer of goods from other countries, and the volume of such imports amounted to a massive figure, £4.11 trillion in 2024. But the catch is that this has also been accompanied by serious trade deficits, which by 2024 had grown to £911 billion.

Partly, the deficit seems to be caused by tax-free imports like minerals and oil from African countries, which perhaps stem less from benevolence than from making such raw materials cheaper for American industry.

The huge trade gap, as well as state expenditure on social welfare programmes, have resulted in steadily rising national debt. At present, the ratio of national debt to the country’s GDP is 120%.

These figures have fuelled mounting anxieties about an epochal decline of the American economy and stagnation in the condition of the so-called middle class—actually its working class. 40% of American households today are in a debt trap they are unlikely to overcome.

Trump’s reading of the situation echoes these popular anxieties, and he is taking peremptory steps to reduce government expenditure by blunt and shocking refusal to honour long-term commitments and traditional responsibilities of the state. He is arbitrarily annulling many earlier obligations to other states, insisting on brand new ‘deals’. And if other states resist, he confronts them with punitive measures or plain military threats.

All conventional, time-honoured policy frameworks and customary strategies, which have done duty so far in order to avoid raw conflict, have been contemptuously junked. It is indeed as if the new American doctrine is the familiar law of the jungle: “might is right.”

Thanks to its superiority in arms, other countries are loath to offend it, but also wary of the one-sided ‘deals’, even when sweetened by fulsome praise of the victim.

No doubt, this approach—unless undone by some yet unforeseen development—is leading to extraordinary volatility in the world situation and the defeat of all calculation and prediction in world affairs. An expected crisis of capital, but exacerbated by the personal interventions of a dangerously unpredictable leader of a ‘great’ power.

Hiren Gohain is a political commentator

25 February 2026

Source: countercurrents.org